Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for NISARGA-20
in India
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NISARGA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Pakistan, India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 112 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (03 Jun 08:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 112 km/h 0.6 m 125 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 0.7 m 259 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

115 km/h

Up to 24.7 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Jun 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormPakistan, India24,714,467
+
Pakistan103,998 
India24,610,469 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 02 Jun 2020 18:00 83 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 2 03 Jun 2020 00:00 112 -
- - - - - Pakistan, India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Jun 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndia7,370,797 
50-100 mmIndia59,302,270 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 02 Jun 2020 18:00 143 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 03 Jun 2020 00:00 200 7.4 million
- - - - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Bankot, India. This height is estimated for 03 Jun 2020 08:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Jun 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Jun 2020 08:45 Bankot India  0.6
03 Jun 2020 08:45 Kelshi India  0.6
03 Jun 2020 08:45 Anjanwel India  0.6
03 Jun 2020 06:15 Boria India  0.6
03 Jun 2020 06:15 Guhagar India  0.6
03 Jun 2020 06:15 Jaigarh India  0.6
03 Jun 2020 06:15 Mirya India  0.5
03 Jun 2020 06:15 Ratnagiri India  0.5
05 Jun 2020 14:30 Kambhat India  0.5
05 Jun 2020 14:30 Kavi India  0.5
05 Jun 2020 14:30 Sarod India  0.5
03 Jun 2020 09:00 Srivardhan India  0.5
05 Jun 2020 14:30 Wadgam India  0.5
03 Jun 2020 05:45 Purangad India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 05:45 Purnagad India  0.4
05 Jun 2020 13:45 Asarsa India  0.4
04 Jun 2020 15:30 Harinagar India  0.4
04 Jun 2020 15:30 Tankari India  0.4
04 Jun 2020 15:30 Muler India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 05:45 Adiura India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 10:45 Murud India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 10:45 Agar Panchaitan India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 12:15 Alibag India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 12:15 Mandve India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 12:15 Revadanda India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 05:30 Vijayadurg India  0.4
05 Jun 2020 13:45 Dahej India  0.3
05 Jun 2020 14:00 Ghogha India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 15:45 New Kandla India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 15:45 Navlakhi India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 05:30 Pural India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 15:45 Jodiya India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 12:15 Mumbai India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 12:15 Asumumbay India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 12:15 Uran India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 13:45 Trombay India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 15:30 Tuna India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 05:30 Devgarh India  0.3
05 Jun 2020 11:45 Bhagva India  0.3
05 Jun 2020 11:45 Olpad India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Anjuna India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Marmagao India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Panaji India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Agacaim India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Madgaon India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 15:45 Jambura India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 16:00 Damka India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 16:15 Surat India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 02:00 Achra India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 02:00 Malvan India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 16:45 Jalalpur India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 16:45 Mahuver India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 16:45 Nausari India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 16:45 Navsari India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 16:45 Dharasana India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 16:45 Bilimora India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 15:45 Mundra India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:30 Bhatkal India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:30 Bainduru India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:30 Chittadi India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 14:45 Sika India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:45 Gokarn India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:45 Kumta India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 15:15 Jhankhar India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 08:00 Udvada India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 08:00 Valsad India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 15:00 Navinal India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:45 Gadechi India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:45 Okha India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:45 Aramda India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 03:15 Vengurla India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 03:15 Terekhol India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 14:00 Chudeswar India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 14:00 Salaya India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 17:00 Daman India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:45 Honavar India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 03:15 Chopdem India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:15 Manki India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:15 Mavalli India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:15 Shirali India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:15 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:15 Karwar India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:15 Belekeri India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:15 Ankola India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 15:15 Bhadia India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Malad India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:15 Kundapura India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:15 Udipi India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:15 Advota India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:15 Chaudi India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:15 Majali India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 15:30 Kotada India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 04:30 Ormara Raik Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 04:30 Ormara Pakistan  0.2
05 Jun 2020 15:00 Mahuva India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Malan Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 10:00 Rumra Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 10:00 Miski Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 03:30 Balaru Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 15:15 Mandvi India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 14:30 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 09:45 Pasni Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:45 Bada Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:45 Cheru Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:45 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 00:30 Ghuar Mota India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 14:00 Akri India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 10:30 Palghar India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 10:30 Mahim India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 10:30 Nalasopara India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 10:30 Agashi India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 10:30 Vasai India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 10:30 Navghar India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 09:15 Kalat Pakistan  0.1
04 Jun 2020 15:15 Umbargam India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 15:15 Maroli India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:45 Suthri India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 15:00 Gholvad India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 15:00 Malyan India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 15:00 Bordi India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:15 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
05 Jun 2020 14:15 Jafarabad India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 14:45 Tarapur India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 14:45 Sakhare India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
04 Jun 2020 15:00 Boisar India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Isa Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
05 Jun 2020 23:15 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.1
05 Jun 2020 23:15 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:45 Brar Pakistan  0.1
05 Jun 2020 14:00 Rohisa India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 21:30 Nizampatam India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 21:30 Kottapalem India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 21:30 Lankavanidibba India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 14:15 Dharabandar India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 14:45 Shirgaon India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 03:15 Jhol Pakistan  0.1
04 Jun 2020 03:15 Keti Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:15 Mulki India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 00:15 Quilandi India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 00:15 Talakkolattur India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 00:15 Kozhikode India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 00:15 Beypore India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 00:15 Chaliyam India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:45 Kodigeri India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:45 Vedaranyam India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:45 Vedaranniyam India  0.1