Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for NISARGA-20
in India
03 Jun 2020 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NISARGA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries India, Pakistan
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (06 Jun 14:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 58 km/h 0.5 m 40 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 0.7 m 259 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

115 km/h

Up to 750 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Jun 2020 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia, Pakistan749,646
+
India749,436 
Pakistan210 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 02 Jun 2020 18:00 83 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 2 03 Jun 2020 00:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 03 Jun 2020 06:00 115 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 03 Jun 2020 12:00 72 -
- - - - - Pakistan, India
GREEN 5 03 Jun 2020 18:00 65 -
- - - - - India, Pakistan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Jun 2020 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmIndia24,343,131 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 02 Jun 2020 18:00 143 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 03 Jun 2020 00:00 125 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 03 Jun 2020 06:00 110 -
- - - - - India
Blue 4 03 Jun 2020 12:00 55 -
- - - - - India
Blue 5 03 Jun 2020 18:00 156 -
- - - - - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 06 Jun 2020 14:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Jun 2020 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
06 Jun 2020 14:45 Kambhat India  0.5
06 Jun 2020 14:45 Kavi India  0.5
06 Jun 2020 14:45 Sarod India  0.5
05 Jun 2020 15:15 Wadgam India  0.5
05 Jun 2020 14:15 Asarsa India  0.5
04 Jun 2020 19:00 Harinagar India  0.4
04 Jun 2020 19:00 Tankari India  0.4
04 Jun 2020 19:00 Muler India  0.4
04 Jun 2020 18:45 Dahej India  0.4
04 Jun 2020 18:30 Ghogha India  0.4
04 Jun 2020 17:15 Bhagva India  0.4
04 Jun 2020 17:15 Olpad India  0.4
04 Jun 2020 17:00 Damka India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 16:15 Surat India  0.3
05 Jun 2020 15:45 New Kandla India  0.3
05 Jun 2020 15:45 Navlakhi India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 16:15 Jalalpur India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 16:15 Mahuver India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 16:15 Nausari India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 16:15 Navsari India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 16:15 Dharasana India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 16:15 Bilimora India  0.3
05 Jun 2020 15:30 Jodiya India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 17:15 Kotada India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 15:30 Tuna India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 16:00 Valsad India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 16:00 Udvada India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 16:00 Daman India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 15:15 Jambura India  0.2
06 Jun 2020 18:00 Mahuva India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 19:00 Gadechi India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 19:00 Okha India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 19:00 Aramda India  0.2
06 Jun 2020 17:30 Ghuar Mota India  0.2
06 Jun 2020 18:00 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.2
06 Jun 2020 14:45 Akri India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 15:15 Umbargam India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 15:15 Maroli India  0.2
06 Jun 2020 18:00 Jafarabad India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 13:45 Chudeswar India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 13:45 Salaya India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 13:45 Jhankhar India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 13:45 Sika India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 19:15 Bankot India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 19:15 Kelshi India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 19:45 Mumbai India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 19:45 Asumumbay India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 19:45 Mandve India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 19:45 Uran India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 19:45 Trombay India  0.2
06 Jun 2020 18:00 Mundra India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 15:15 Bordi India  0.2
06 Jun 2020 17:30 Dharabandar India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 17:30 Rohisa India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 15:30 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.1
06 Jun 2020 15:30 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.1
06 Jun 2020 18:00 Navinal India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 11:00 Palghar India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 11:00 Mahim India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 11:00 Nalasopara India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 11:00 Agashi India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 11:00 Vasai India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 11:00 Navghar India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 15:15 Miski Pakistan  0.1
04 Jun 2020 15:15 Rumra Pakistan  0.1
06 Jun 2020 17:15 Gholvad India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 07:30 Mandvi India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 07:30 Bhadia India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 17:30 Malyan India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 19:15 Anjanwel India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 15:00 Pasni Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 18:00 Murud India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 18:00 Agar Panchaitan India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 16:15 Bada Pakistan  0.1
04 Jun 2020 16:15 Cheru Pakistan  0.1
04 Jun 2020 16:15 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.1
06 Jun 2020 17:45 Tarapur India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 17:45 Sakhare India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 18:45 Srivardhan India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 18:15 Mirya India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 18:15 Ratnagiri India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 17:45 Boisar India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 18:30 Jaigarh India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 07:00 Suthri India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 18:00 Delvada India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 18:00 Nawabandar India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 17:15 Nizampatam India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 17:30 Kottapalem India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 17:30 Lankavanidibba India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 18:15 Alibag India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 18:15 Revadanda India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 19:00 Boria India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 19:00 Guhagar India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 05:30 Shirgaon India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 14:30 Ormara Raik Pakistan  0.1
04 Jun 2020 14:30 Ormara Pakistan  0.1
04 Jun 2020 08:00 Jhol Pakistan  0.1
04 Jun 2020 08:00 Keti Pakistan  0.1
06 Jun 2020 05:45 Dongri India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 05:45 Mira Bhayandar India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 15:00 Kalat Pakistan  0.1
04 Jun 2020 08:15 Isa Pakistan  0.1
04 Jun 2020 08:15 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
04 Jun 2020 13:15 Balaru Pakistan  0.1
06 Jun 2020 05:45 Malad India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 14:30 Porbandar India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 14:30 Adodar India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 14:30 Ratia India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 14:30 Gorser India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 17:30 Dangarvadi India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 03:00 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
04 Jun 2020 03:00 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 21:45 Manki India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 21:45 Mavalli India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 21:45 Shirali India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 21:45 Bhatkal India  0.1