Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for NISARGA-20
in India
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NISARGA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries India
Exposed population 30 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 133 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.0 m (03 Jun 07:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 133 km/h 1.0 m 168 mm 1.5
HWRF Overall 133 km/h 1.0 m 367 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

133 km/h

Up to 30 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Jun 2020 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1India26,098 
Tropical StormIndia46,111,022 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 02 Jun 2020 18:00 126 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 2 03 Jun 2020 00:00 115 -
- - - - - India
ORANGE 3 03 Jun 2020 06:00 133 30 thousand
- - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Jun 2020 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndia59,446 
100-250 mmIndia8,720,132 
50-100 mmIndia55,289,872 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 02 Jun 2020 18:00 378 9 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 2 03 Jun 2020 00:00 243 130 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 3 03 Jun 2020 06:00 354 8.8 million
- - - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.0m in Anjanwel, India. This height is estimated for 03 Jun 2020 07:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Jun 2020 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Jun 2020 07:15 Anjanwel India  1.0
03 Jun 2020 07:15 Kelshi India  0.9
03 Jun 2020 07:15 Bankot India  0.9
03 Jun 2020 07:15 Guhagar India  0.9
03 Jun 2020 07:00 Boria India  0.9
03 Jun 2020 07:00 Srivardhan India  0.8
03 Jun 2020 07:15 Jaigarh India  0.7
03 Jun 2020 07:45 Mirya India  0.7
03 Jun 2020 07:45 Ratnagiri India  0.7
03 Jun 2020 09:45 Murud India  0.6
03 Jun 2020 09:45 Agar Panchaitan India  0.6
03 Jun 2020 07:45 Purnagad India  0.5
03 Jun 2020 08:15 Purangad India  0.5
03 Jun 2020 07:45 Adiura India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 16:00 New Kandla India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 16:00 Navlakhi India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 09:30 Alibag India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 09:30 Revadanda India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 08:00 Vijayadurg India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 15:45 Jodiya India  0.4
04 Jun 2020 20:45 Kambhat India  0.4
04 Jun 2020 20:45 Kavi India  0.4
04 Jun 2020 20:45 Sarod India  0.4
04 Jun 2020 20:45 Wadgam India  0.4
04 Jun 2020 18:45 Asarsa India  0.4
04 Jun 2020 18:45 Harinagar India  0.4
04 Jun 2020 18:45 Tankari India  0.4
04 Jun 2020 18:45 Muler India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 15:45 Tuna India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 10:00 Mandve India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 18:45 Dahej India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 15:30 Jambura India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 08:30 Pural India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 13:15 Mumbai India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 13:15 Asumumbay India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 13:15 Uran India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 13:15 Trombay India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 16:45 Anjuna India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 16:45 Marmagao India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 16:45 Vasco Da Gama India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 16:45 Panaji India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 16:45 Agacaim India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 16:45 Madgaon India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 19:00 Ghogha India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 08:15 Devgarh India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 18:45 Bhagva India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 18:45 Olpad India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 19:15 Damka India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 08:15 Achra India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 21:15 Palghar India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 21:15 Mahim India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 21:15 Nalasopara India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 21:15 Agashi India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 21:15 Vasai India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 21:15 Navghar India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 08:00 Malvan India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 19:00 Akri India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 15:30 Mundra India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 13:15 Gadechi India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 13:15 Okha India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 13:15 Aramda India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 15:00 Sika India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 21:15 Udvada India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 21:15 Dharasana India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 21:15 Valsad India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 21:15 Bilimora India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 14:45 Jhankhar India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 22:45 Surat India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 07:00 Terekhol India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 07:00 Chopdem India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 14:15 Chudeswar India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 14:15 Salaya India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 22:15 Jalalpur India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 22:15 Mahuver India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 23:00 Kotada India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 11:45 Malan Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:30 Kundapura India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:30 Udipi India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 22:00 Nausari India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 22:00 Navsari India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:30 Bainduru India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:30 Chittadi India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 07:30 Gokarn India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 07:30 Kumta India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 13:15 Bada Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 13:15 Cheru Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 13:15 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 07:00 Vengurla India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 21:00 Daman India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Advota India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Chaudi India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Majali India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Karwar India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 15:15 Navinal India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 07:15 Belekeri India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 07:15 Ankola India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 07:30 Honavar India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 07:00 Bhatkal India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 07:30 Manki India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 07:30 Mavalli India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:15 Shirali India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 11:30 Ormara Raik Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 11:30 Ormara Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 11:30 Balaru Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 21:30 Ghuar Mota India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 17:15 Pasni Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 17:15 Miski Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 17:30 Rumra Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 10:45 Malad India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 22:00 Mahuva India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 11:45 Brar Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 17:15 Jhol Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 17:15 Keti Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 17:00 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 18:30 Suthri India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 21:00 Dongri India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 21:00 Mira Bhayandar India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 15:00 Bhadia India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:45 Mandvi India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 22:15 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 04:00 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 17:15 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 23:15 Umbargam India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 23:15 Maroli India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 17:30 Isa Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 17:00 Kalat Pakistan  0.1
04 Jun 2020 22:45 Jafarabad India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 21:45 Tarapur India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 21:45 Gholvad India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 21:45 Malyan India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 21:45 Boisar India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 21:45 Sakhare India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:30 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:15 Mulki India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 20:45 Bordi India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 21:15 Shirgaon India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 17:00 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 17:00 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:30 Nizampatam India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:30 Kottapalem India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:30 Lankavanidibba India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 22:45 Rohisa India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Dwarka India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 22:45 Dharabandar India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 16:15 Porbandar India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 16:15 Adodar India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 16:15 Ratia India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 16:15 Gorser India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 10:15 Vatturupallepalem India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 09:15 Kottapatnam India  0.1