Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTOBAL-20
in United States, Mexico, Canada, Belize, Guatemala
03 Jun 2020 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTOBAL-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico, Honduras
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (03 Jun 04:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Guatemala)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 86 km/h 0.3 m 122 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 94 km/h 1.4 m 682 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

94 km/h

Up to 200 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Jun 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico, Honduras204,883
+
Mexico204,850 
Honduras33 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 01 Jun 2020 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 02 Jun 2020 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 02 Jun 2020 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 02 Jun 2020 12:00 83 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 5 02 Jun 2020 18:00 72 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 6 03 Jun 2020 00:00 86 -
- - - - - Mexico, Honduras
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Jun 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmMexico49,795 
250-500 mmMexico, Guatemala1,232,132
+
Mexico1,068,277 
Guatemala163,855 
100-250 mmUnited States, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Honduras, Costa Rica13,325,584
+
United States8,494 
Mexico8,520,421 
Belize108,615 
Guatemala2,726,887 
Honduras30,096 
Nicaragua1,291,455 
El Salvador396,774 
Costa Rica242,842 
50-100 mmUnited States, The Bahamas, Cuba, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Colombia, Costa Rica22,914,095
+
United States4,459,404 
The Bahamas1,612 
Cuba1,535,716 
Mexico3,381,684 
Belize157,367 
Guatemala3,893,603 
Honduras824,763 
Nicaragua3,873,635 
El Salvador968,665 
Colombia69,182 
Costa Rica3,748,464 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 01 Jun 2020 18:00 67 -
- - - - - Mexico, Guatemala
Blue 2 02 Jun 2020 00:00 77 -
- - - - - Mexico, Guatemala, Costa Rica
Blue 3 02 Jun 2020 06:00 115 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 02 Jun 2020 12:00 170 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 5 02 Jun 2020 18:00 119 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 6 03 Jun 2020 00:00 602 14.6 million
- - United States, The Bahamas, Cuba, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Colombia, Costa Rica




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Monte de Oro, Mexico. This height is estimated for 03 Jun 2020 04:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Jun 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Jun 2020 04:00 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.3
03 Jun 2020 04:00 San Pedro Mexico  0.3
03 Jun 2020 03:15 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2020 03:45 Hidalgo Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2020 05:00 Corozal Belize  0.2
03 Jun 2020 05:00 Chunox Belize  0.2
03 Jun 2020 05:00 Chetumal Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2020 05:00 Calderita Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Santeneja Belize  0.2
03 Jun 2020 03:45 Chiltepec Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Calderas Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:15 Corpus Christi United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:15 North Beach United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:15 Gardendale United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:15 Doyle United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:15 Orange Grove United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:15 Peary Place United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:15 Portland United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:15 Flour Bluff United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:15 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:15 Ingleside United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:15 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:15 Port Ingleside United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:15 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:00 English Lookout United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Ansley United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Bayside Park United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Lakeshore United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Shoreline Park United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Waveland United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Bay St Louis United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Henderson Point United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Pass Christian United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:00 Port Lavaca United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:00 Alamo Beach United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:00 Point Comfort United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:00 Magnolia Beach United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:00 Indianola United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:00 Olivia United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:00 Weedhaven United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:00 Port Alto United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:00 Carancahua United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:00 El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Bayside United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Estes United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Port Aransas United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Rockport United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Copano Village United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Fulton United States  0.2
03 Jun 2020 03:45 Sanchez Magallanes Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 02:00 Corozo Guatemala  0.1
03 Jun 2020 02:00 Cabeza de Vaca Guatemala  0.1
03 Jun 2020 02:00 Baranca Belize  0.1
03 Jun 2020 02:00 San Juan Guatemala  0.1
03 Jun 2020 02:00 Cocoli Guatemala  0.1
03 Jun 2020 02:00 Buena Vista Guatemala  0.1
03 Jun 2020 02:00 Livingston Guatemala  0.1
03 Jun 2020 01:15 Happy Jack United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 01:15 Potash United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 01:15 Hesperides United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:30 Ranas Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:15 Vigia Chico Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Xcalak Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 02:15 Tupilco Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:15 Mims United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:15 Hoskins United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:15 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:15 Port Morris United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:15 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:15 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:15 Sea Isle United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:15 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 01:00 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Alvarado Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Conejo Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Cuevas United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 00:00 White Harbor United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Long Beach United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 00:30 City Arroyo United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 00:30 Port Mansfield United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 00:30 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 00:30 Buena Vista United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Ferguson Bank Belize  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Belize City Belize  0.1
03 Jun 2020 02:45 Tonala Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Bacalar Chico Belize  0.1
03 Jun 2020 00:00 La Isabela Cuba  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Sabine United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Sabine Pass United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 01:15 Cattle Landing Belize  0.1
03 Jun 2020 01:15 New Haven Belize  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Maudlowe United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Spanish Village United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Austwell United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Seadrift United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 01:00 Palacios United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 01:00 Collegeport United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:00 High Island United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 04:45 Galveston United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 04:45 Port Bolivar United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 04:45 Smith Point United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 04:45 Fort Travis United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 04:45 Flake United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 04:45 Elmgrove United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 04:45 Crystal Beach United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 04:45 Patton United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 04:45 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 04:45 Caplen United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Gilchrist United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Chinquapin United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Oak Island United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:45 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:45 Matagorda United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 02:00 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Salinas Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Buen Pais Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Lamar United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 01:45 Gregory United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 01:45 Wankluma Nicaragua  0.1
03 Jun 2020 01:45 Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.1
03 Jun 2020 02:45 Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.1
03 Jun 2020 02:45 Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.1
03 Jun 2020 01:15 Macho Creek Guatemala  0.1
03 Jun 2020 01:15 Puerto Santo Tomas de Castilla Guatemala  0.1
03 Jun 2020 01:15 Punta Manabique Guatemala  0.1
03 Jun 2020 01:15 Puerto Barrios Guatemala  0.1
03 Jun 2020 01:15 Cambalache Guatemala  0.1
03 Jun 2020 01:15 Piedra Parada Guatemala  0.1
03 Jun 2020 01:15 Corozo Guatemala  0.1
03 Jun 2020 01:15 La Graciosa Guatemala  0.1
03 Jun 2020 01:15 Machacal Guatemala  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:15 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:15 Constance Beach United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:15 Peveto Beach United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:30 Nadeau United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:30 Texas City Junction United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:30 Bayou Vista United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:30 Texas City United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:30 Anderson Ways United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:30 Virginia Point United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:45 Gulf Park United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:45 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 00:15 Gales Point Belize  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:00 South Daytona United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:00 Allandale United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:00 Halifax Estates United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:00 Wilbur-by-the-Sea United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:00 Isleboro United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:00 New Smyrna Beach United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:00 Ponce Inlet United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:00 Ponce Park United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:00 Bethune Beach United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:00 Eldora United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:30 Freeport United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:30 Quintana United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:30 Surfside United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:30 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:30 Hitchcock United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:45 Hoskins United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:45 Valasco Heights United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Simpsonville United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 00:45 Mullins Belize  0.1
03 Jun 2020 04:45 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 03:15 Oak Grove United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 03:15 Grand Chenier United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:00 Holly Beach United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 04:45 San Pedro Belize  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:00 El Martillo United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Yarborough United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 03:45 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 01:45 San Francisco del Mar Guatemala  0.1
03 Jun 2020 02:30 Loyola Beach United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 02:30 Orange Grove United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 02:30 La Parra Landing United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 02:00 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 03:00 Cameron United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 02:30 Monkey River Belize  0.1
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Alabama Wharf Belize  0.1
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Maya Beach Belize  0.1
03 Jun 2020 00:45 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 00:45 Chaparral Mexico  0.1