Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTOBAL-20
in United States, Mexico, Canada, Belize, Guatemala
02 Jun 2020 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTOBAL-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (02 Jun 08:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Guatemala)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 72 km/h 0.3 m 115 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 94 km/h 1.4 m 682 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

94 km/h

Up to 280 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Jun 2020 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico278,457 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 01 Jun 2020 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 02 Jun 2020 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 02 Jun 2020 06:00 108 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Jun 2020 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmMexico9,654 
250-500 mmMexico, Guatemala, Nicaragua2,312,198
+
Mexico2,309,140 
Guatemala1,236 
Nicaragua1,822 
100-250 mmUnited States, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Costa Rica8,140,044
+
United States340 
Mexico6,366,072 
Belize107,697 
Guatemala268,256 
Honduras510,337 
Nicaragua640,357 
El Salvador2,850 
Costa Rica244,135 
50-100 mmUnited States, Cuba, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Colombia, Costa Rica29,502,473
+
United States2,944,735 
Cuba2,558,201 
Mexico3,618,707 
Belize163,075 
Guatemala5,713,340 
Honduras554,839 
Nicaragua4,513,492 
El Salvador5,646,841 
Colombia69,182 
Costa Rica3,720,061 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 01 Jun 2020 18:00 67 -
- - - - - Mexico, Guatemala
Blue 2 02 Jun 2020 00:00 77 -
- - - - - Mexico, Guatemala, Costa Rica
Blue 3 02 Jun 2020 06:00 673 10.5 million
- - United States, Cuba, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Colombia, Costa Rica




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Monte de Oro, Mexico. This height is estimated for 02 Jun 2020 08:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Jun 2020 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Jun 2020 08:15 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.3
02 Jun 2020 08:15 San Pedro Mexico  0.3
02 Jun 2020 08:00 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 09:30 Corozal Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 09:30 Chunox Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 09:30 Chetumal Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 09:30 Calderita Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 08:45 Santeneja Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:45 Hidalgo Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 09:00 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 09:00 Calderas Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 09:45 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 09:45 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 09:45 Paso Real Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 08:00 Chiltepec Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Ferguson Bank Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Belize City Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 10:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 10:30 Sabancuy Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 08:45 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 08:45 Salinas Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 08:45 Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:30 Xcalak Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Alvarado Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:30 Barra Kruta Honduras  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:30 Kanko Honduras  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:30 Raya Honduras  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:30 Clubki Honduras  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:30 Irlaya Honduras  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:30 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.2
02 Jun 2020 11:00 Noham Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Ranas Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Gales Point Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Vigia Chico Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Chenkan Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 06:00 San Pedro Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Hoquel Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Champoton Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:30 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Bacalar Chico Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:30 Mullins Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:30 Bella Vista Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:30 Cuero Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:30 Boca del Toro Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:30 El Porvenir Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:30 La Ceiba Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:45 Tupilco Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:30 Franklin United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:30 Apalachicola United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:30 Eastpoint United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:30 Yent Place United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Commerce Bight Village Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Stann Creek Town Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Colorado Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:30 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:30 Tonala Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:45 Sanchez Magallanes Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:00 Maya Beach Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:00 Freetown Area Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:15 Alabama Wharf Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:30 Conejo Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Mims United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Hoskins United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Port Morris United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Sea Isle United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:30 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:45 Port Lavaca United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:45 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:45 Point Comfort United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:45 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:45 Indianola United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:45 Olivia United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:45 Weedhaven United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:45 Port Alto United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:45 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:45 Carancahua United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:45 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Carrabelle United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Lanark Village United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Big Blackjack Landing United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Surf United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:30 Eleven Mile United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:30 Nine Mile United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:30 Tilton United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:00 Sabine United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:00 Sabine Pass United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:15 Limera Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:15 Balfate Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:15 Rio Esteban Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:45 Panacea United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:45 Medart United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:45 Sun N Sand Beaches United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:45 Skipper United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:45 Live Oak Island United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:45 Wakulla Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:45 Saint Marks United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:45 Port Leon United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:45 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:30 El Naranjo Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:30 Boca Vieja Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:45 Constance Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:30 El Tular Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:30 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Indian Pass United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Thirteen Mile United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Odena United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Nadeau United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Texas City Junction United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Bayou Vista United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Texas City United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Anderson Ways United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Virginia Point United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Galveston United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Port Bolivar United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Fort Travis United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Flake United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:15 El Tigre Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:15 Barra Ulua Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:15 Rio Tinto Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:15 San Juan Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:15 Tela Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Smith Point United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Elmgrove United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Crystal Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Patton United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Caplen United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:30 Cattle Landing Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:30 New Haven Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Guasimal Cuba  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Freeport United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Quintana United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Surfside United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Arrozal Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:45 Corozo Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:45 Cabeza de Vaca Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:45 Baranca Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:45 San Juan Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:45 Cocoli Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:45 Buena Vista Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:45 Livingston Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Gilchrist United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:00 High Island United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 11:45 Miranda Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 11:45 Betulia Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Haltunchen Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:45 Wankluma Nicaragua  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:45 Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:45 Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Gulf Park United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Hoskins United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Valasco Heights United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:30 Canco Honduras  0.1