Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTOBAL-20
in United States, Mexico, Canada, Belize, Guatemala
02 Jun 2020 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTOBAL-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (02 Jun 03:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Guatemala)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 58 km/h 0.2 m 77 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 94 km/h 1.4 m 682 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

94 km/h

Up to 4 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Jun 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico3,974 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 01 Jun 2020 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 02 Jun 2020 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Jun 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico, Guatemala1,318,668
+
Mexico1,108,303 
Guatemala210,365 
100-250 mmUnited States, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica15,533,186
+
United States24,068 
Mexico7,846,390 
Belize107,352 
Guatemala3,797,017 
Honduras59,707 
Nicaragua447,364 
El Salvador3,005,458 
Costa Rica245,830 
50-100 mmUnited States, The Bahamas, Cuba, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Colombia, Costa Rica19,862,720
+
United States1,607,745 
The Bahamas1,189 
Cuba1,833,651 
Mexico3,619,902 
Belize168,472 
Guatemala2,591,694 
Honduras1,137,572 
Nicaragua2,247,655 
El Salvador2,811,974 
Colombia69,182 
Costa Rica3,773,684 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 01 Jun 2020 18:00 67 -
- - - - - Mexico, Guatemala
Blue 2 02 Jun 2020 00:00 466 16.9 million
- - - United States, The Bahamas, Cuba, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Colombia, Costa Rica




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Alabama Wharf, Belize. This height is estimated for 02 Jun 2020 03:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Jun 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Jun 2020 03:30 Alabama Wharf Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:30 Maya Beach Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Corozal Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Chunox Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Chetumal Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Calderita Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 04:45 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 04:45 San Pedro Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:45 Freetown Area Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 05:15 Santeneja Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 05:30 Ferguson Bank Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 05:30 Belize City Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:45 Commerce Bight Village Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 00:15 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:45 Hidalgo Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Calderas Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:30 Stann Creek Town Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:15 Barra Punta Gorda Nicaragua  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:15 Monkey Point Nicaragua  0.2
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Sabancuy Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Noham Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:30 Chiltepec Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 04:45 Ranas Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:00 San Juan Honduras  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:00 Tela Honduras  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:00 Colorado Honduras  0.2
02 Jun 2020 05:00 Vigia Chico Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 00:30 Kukra Hill Nicaragua  0.2
02 Jun 2020 00:30 Haulover Nicaragua  0.2
02 Jun 2020 00:30 Laguna de Perlas Nicaragua  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:45 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:45 Salinas Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:45 Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 01:15 Alvarado Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 05:00 Gales Point Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:45 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:45 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:15 Mullins Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:15 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:30 El Tular Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:30 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:00 Cattle Landing Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:00 New Haven Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 06:00 San Pedro Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 00:45 Set Net Nicaragua  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:15 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:15 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:15 Estes United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:15 Rockport United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:15 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:15 Copano Village United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:15 Fulton United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:15 Lamar United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Sanchez Magallanes Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 04:00 Xcalak Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:15 Limera Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:15 Balfate Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:15 Rio Esteban Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 03:15 Corozo Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 03:15 Cabeza de Vaca Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 03:15 Baranca Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 03:15 San Juan Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 03:15 Cocoli Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 03:15 Buena Vista Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 03:15 Livingston Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Chenkan Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Bacalar Chico Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 01:00 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 01:00 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 03:15 Conejo Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Majana Cuba  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Guanimar Cuba  0.1
02 Jun 2020 01:30 Guasimal Cuba  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:15 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 03:00 Monkey River Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Paso Real Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:45 El Tigre Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:45 Barra Ulua Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:45 Rio Tinto Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:15 El Naranjo Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:15 Boca Vieja Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:15 Piedra Pintada Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:15 Agua Dulce Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:15 Quebrada Grande Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:30 Clubki Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:30 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:30 Irlaya Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:30 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:30 Arrozal Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Patlaya Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Uhi Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:45 Macho Creek Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:45 Puerto Santo Tomas de Castilla Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:45 Punta Manabique Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:45 Puerto Barrios Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:45 Cambalache Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:45 Piedra Parada Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:45 Corozo Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:45 La Graciosa Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:45 Machacal Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 04:30 Wankluma Nicaragua  0.1
02 Jun 2020 04:30 Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.1
02 Jun 2020 04:30 Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.1
02 Jun 2020 04:00 Tupilco Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Back Landing United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 High Point United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Saint Simons United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 The Meadows United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:15 City Arroyo United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:15 Port Mansfield United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:15 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:15 Buena Vista United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 04:30 Barra Kruta Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 04:30 Kanko Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 04:30 Raya Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:45 Miranda Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:45 Betulia Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Indianola United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:30 Tonala Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Hoquel Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Champoton Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:00 La Presita Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:15 Surf United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:15 Panacea United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:15 Medart United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:15 Sun N Sand Beaches United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:15 Skipper United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:15 Live Oak Island United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:15 Wakulla Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:15 Saint Marks United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:15 Port Leon United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Bella Vista Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Cuero Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Boca del Toro Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:15 Port Lavaca United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:15 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:15 Point Comfort United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:15 Olivia United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:15 Weedhaven United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:15 Port Alto United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:15 Carancahua United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:15 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:30 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:30 Gardendale United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:30 Orange Grove United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:30 Peary Place United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:30 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 El Martillo United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Yarborough United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 04:00 Tasbapauni Nicaragua  0.1
02 Jun 2020 03:15 San Francisco del Mar Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:15 Galveston United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:15 Port Bolivar United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:15 Smith Point United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:15 Fort Travis United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:15 Flake United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:15 Elmgrove United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:15 Crystal Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:15 Patton United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:15 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:15 Caplen United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:45 El Bluff Nicaragua  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Haltunchen Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:30 Majahual Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 01:30 North Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 01:30 Doyle United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 01:30 Portland United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 01:30 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 01:30 Ingleside United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 01:30 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 01:30 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 01:30 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:45 Gilchrist United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:45 High Island United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:00 El Porvenir Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:00 La Ceiba Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:15 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 01:45 Las Guayabas Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 01:45 La Pesca Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:15 Santa Rosa Aguan Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:15 Limon Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:15 Aguas Claras Cuba  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:15 Almacen Cuba  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Mims United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Hoskins United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Port Morris United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Sea Isle United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:45 Bayside United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:45 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:45 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:45 Port Aransas United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:45 Gregory United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 01:30 Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Cape Canaveral United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Cocoa Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 South Patrick Shores United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Satellite Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 El Cajio Cuba  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Nadeau United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Texas City Junction United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Bayou Vista United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Texas City United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Virginia Point United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:00 Ninayeri Nicaragua  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:00 Ledakura Nicaragua  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:00 Graytown Nicaragua  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:00 Awastara Nicaragua  0.1
02 Jun 2020 02:45 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 01:30 Palacios United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 01:30 Collegeport United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 01:30 Simpsonville United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 01:30 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Surfside United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Surfside Beach United States  0.1