Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTOBAL-20
in United States, Mexico, Canada, Belize, Guatemala

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTOBAL-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (01 Jun 20:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Guatemala)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 68 km/h 0.3 m 245 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 101 km/h 1.3 m 835 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

101 km/h

Up to 2.6 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Jun 2020 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico2,645,050 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 01 Jun 2020 18:00 90 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Jun 2020 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
more than 1000 mmMexico11,517 
750-1000 mmMexico31,566 
500-750 mmMexico, Guatemala400,597
+
Mexico394,915 
Guatemala5,682 
250-500 mmMexico, Guatemala3,956,053
+
Mexico3,943,967 
Guatemala12,086 
100-250 mmMexico, Guatemala3,231,133
+
Mexico3,058,021 
Guatemala173,112 
50-100 mmMexico, Guatemala3,897,653
+
Mexico3,179,615 
Guatemala718,038 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 01 Jun 2020 18:00 1313 7.6 million
Mexico, Guatemala




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Las Barrillas, Mexico. This height is estimated for 01 Jun 2020 20:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Jun 2020 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01 Jun 2020 20:00 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.3
01 Jun 2020 19:15 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.3
01 Jun 2020 19:15 Tonala Mexico  0.3
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Corozal Belize  0.3
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Chunox Belize  0.3
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Chetumal Mexico  0.3
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Calderita Mexico  0.3
01 Jun 2020 21:15 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.3
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Sanchez Magallanes Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:00 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:30 San Pedro Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:45 Back Landing United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:45 High Point United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:45 Saint Simons United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:45 The Meadows United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:30 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Santeneja Belize  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:15 Chiltepec Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:15 Hidalgo Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 22:30 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:00 Corozo Guatemala  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:00 Cabeza de Vaca Guatemala  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:00 Baranca Belize  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:00 San Juan Guatemala  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:00 Cocoli Guatemala  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:00 Buena Vista Guatemala  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:00 Livingston Guatemala  0.2
01 Jun 2020 22:30 Paso Real Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Salinas Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Alvarado Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:15 Macho Creek Guatemala  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:15 Punta Manabique Guatemala  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:15 Puerto Barrios Guatemala  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:15 Cambalache Guatemala  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:00 Laja Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:00 Belize City Belize  0.2
01 Jun 2020 22:45 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 22:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Alabama Wharf Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Maya Beach Belize  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:15 Black Hammock United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:15 Amelia City United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:15 Franklintown United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:15 American Beach United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:15 Mayport United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:15 Oak Harbor United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:15 East Mayport United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:15 Atlantic Beach United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 22:45 San Juan Honduras  0.2
01 Jun 2020 22:45 Tela Honduras  0.2
01 Jun 2020 22:45 Colorado Honduras  0.2
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Freetown Area Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Commerce Bight Village Belize  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:30 Epworth Acres United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:30 Blackbanks United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:30 Harrington United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:30 German Village United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:30 Sea Island United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:30 Sapelo Island United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:00 Cattle Landing Belize  0.2
01 Jun 2020 23:00 Sabancuy Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:30 Dungeness United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:30 Stafford United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:30 Greyfield United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:00 Tecolutla Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:00 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:00 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:30 New Haven Belize  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:45 Summer Haven United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:45 Palm Coast United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:45 Marineland United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:45 Bon Terra United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:45 Beverly Beach United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:45 Flagler Beach United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:45 Mound Grove United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:00 Tamiahua Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:00 El Naranjal Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:00 Limera Honduras  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:00 Balfate Honduras  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:00 Rio Esteban Honduras  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:00 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:15 Monkey River Belize  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:45 Isle of Palms United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:45 Palm Valley Landing United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:45 Jacksonville Beach United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:45 Palm Valley United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:45 Ponte Vedra Beach United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:45 Sawgrass United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:45 Mickler Landing United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:45 Casa Cola United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:45 South Ponte Vedra Beach United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Tupilco Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Calderas Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:30 El Tular Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:30 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:15 Fernandina Beach United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:45 Araquey United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:45 Saint Augustine United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:45 Villano Beach United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:45 Anastasia United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:45 Saint Augustine Beach United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:45 Butler Beach United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Stann Creek Town Belize  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:00 Miranda Honduras  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:00 Betulia Honduras  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:15 Conejo Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 22:15 Murad United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 22:15 Fripp Landing United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 22:15 Salvesbarg Landing United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 22:15 Bolon Hall Landing United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 22:15 Copp Landing United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 22:15 Riverdale United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 22:15 Pinckney Landing United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 22:15 Laurel Bay United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 22:15 Broad River Bluff United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 22:15 Shell Point United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 22:15 Burton United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 22:15 Seabrook Landing United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 22:15 Battery Marina Village United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 22:15 Hilton Head Plantation United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 22:15 Gator Field United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 22:15 Parris Island United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 22:15 Port Royal United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 22:15 Fort Fremont United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 22:00 Puerto Santo Tomas de Castilla Guatemala  0.2
01 Jun 2020 22:00 Piedra Parada Guatemala  0.2
01 Jun 2020 22:00 Corozo Guatemala  0.2
01 Jun 2020 22:00 La Graciosa Guatemala  0.2
01 Jun 2020 22:00 Machacal Guatemala  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:30 Veracruz Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Ormond-by-the-Sea United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Daytona Beach United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Holly Hill United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Ellinor Village United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Ortona United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 19:45 Cuero Honduras  0.2
01 Jun 2020 19:45 Boca del Toro Honduras  0.2
01 Jun 2020 19:45 El Porvenir Honduras  0.2
01 Jun 2020 19:45 La Ceiba Honduras  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:00 Ursulo Galvan Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:00 Salmoral Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 23:30 El Tigre Honduras  0.2
01 Jun 2020 23:30 Barra Ulua Honduras  0.2
01 Jun 2020 23:30 Rio Tinto Honduras  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:45 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:45 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:15 Ferguson Bank Belize  0.2
01 Jun 2020 21:00 La Presita Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 19:45 Bella Vista Honduras  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Seabreeze United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:30 South Daytona United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Daytona Beach Shores United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Allandale United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Halifax Estates United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Wilbur-by-the-Sea United States  0.2
01 Jun 2020 22:00 Noham Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Crescent Beach United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 21:15 Gales Point Belize  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:00 El Naranjo Honduras  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:00 Boca Vieja Honduras  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:00 Piedra Pintada Honduras  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:00 Agua Dulce Honduras  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:00 Quebrada Grande Honduras  0.1
01 Jun 2020 22:45 Santa Fe Honduras  0.1
01 Jun 2020 22:45 Puerto Castilla Honduras  0.1
01 Jun 2020 22:45 Pital Honduras  0.1
01 Jun 2020 22:45 Empalme Honduras  0.1
01 Jun 2020 22:45 Trujillo Honduras  0.1
01 Jun 2020 22:45 Barranco Blanco Honduras  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Isleboro United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:30 New Smyrna Beach United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Ponce Inlet United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Ponce Park United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:15 El Laurel Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:15 Vega de Alatorre Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:15 Emilio Carranza Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2020 23:00 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2020 23:00 Chenkan Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2020 21:15 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2020 21:30 Raccoon Bluff United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 21:30 San Francisco del Mar Guatemala  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:45 Mullins Belize  0.1
01 Jun 2020 23:00 Santa Rosa Aguan Honduras  0.1
01 Jun 2020 23:00 Limon Honduras  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Bethune Beach United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Eldora United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 21:15 Thomas Landing United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 23:15 Hoquel Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2020 23:15 Champoton Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2020 21:30 Scott United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 21:30 Longwood United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 21:30 Frogmore United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 21:30 Bennetts Point United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 21:30 Cedar Reef Villas United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 21:30 Seabrook United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 21:30 Edisto Beach United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 23:00 Patlaya Honduras  0.1
01 Jun 2020 23:00 Uhi Honduras  0.1
01 Jun 2020 21:45 Spanish Wells United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 21:45 Bay Pines United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 21:45 Hickory Bluff United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 21:45 Hilton Head Island United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 21:45 Long Cove Plantation United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 21:45 Bram Landing United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 21:45 Palmetto Dunes United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 21:45 Folly Field United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:45 Cape Canaveral United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:45 Cocoa Beach United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:45 South Patrick Shores United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:45 Satellite Beach United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 18:30 Paraiso Costa Rica  0.1
01 Jun 2020 18:30 Marbella Costa Rica  0.1
01 Jun 2020 18:30 Puerto San Juanillo Costa Rica  0.1
01 Jun 2020 23:15 Haltunchen Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:15 Nautla Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2020 18:45 Refundores Costa Rica  0.1
01 Jun 2020 18:45 Pinilla Costa Rica  0.1
01 Jun 2020 18:45 Santa Rosa Costa Rica  0.1
01 Jun 2020 18:45 Brasilito Costa Rica  0.1
01 Jun 2020 18:45 Potrero Costa Rica  0.1
01 Jun 2020 18:45 Plazuela Costa Rica  0.1
01 Jun 2020 21:45 La Mata Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2020 21:45 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Xcalak Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:15 San Pedro Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Ranas Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Vigia Chico Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2020 21:00 Burnside View United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 21:00 The Landings United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 21:00 Wilmington Island United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 21:00 Fort Screven United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 21:00 Tybee Island United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 23:45 Bacalar Chico Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Estes United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Rockport United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Copano Village United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Fulton United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Lamar United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 22:45 Farallones Honduras  0.1
01 Jun 2020 23:45 El Martillo United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 23:45 Yarborough United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Indianola United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 23:15 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2020 19:45 Los Cayitos Honduras  0.1
01 Jun 2020 19:45 Utila Honduras  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:00 Montepio Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Barra Punta Gorda Nicaragua  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Monkey Point Nicaragua  0.1
01 Jun 2020 22:45 Barra de Chapagua Honduras  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Tropic United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Melbourne Beach United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Indian Harbour Beach United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Canova Beach United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Indialantic United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Valkaria United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Grant United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Melbourne Shores United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Evans Pines United States  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Ballard Pines United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Indian Pass United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Thirteen Mile United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Odena United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Eleven Mile United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Nine Mile United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Tilton United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Franklin United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:00 Apalachicola United States  0.1