Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTOBAL-20
in United States, Mexico, Canada, Belize, Guatemala
02 Jun 2020 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTOBAL-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico, Honduras
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (02 Jun 14:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Guatemala)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 83 km/h 0.2 m 170 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 94 km/h 1.4 m 682 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

94 km/h

Up to 290 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Jun 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico, Honduras292,819
+
Mexico286,416 
Honduras6,403 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 01 Jun 2020 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 02 Jun 2020 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 02 Jun 2020 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 02 Jun 2020 12:00 94 -
- - - - - Mexico, Honduras
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Jun 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, El Salvador3,373,359
+
Mexico3,003,908 
Belize17,183 
Guatemala4,634 
El Salvador347,634 
100-250 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Costa Rica11,505,837
+
Mexico7,260,765 
Belize144,194 
Guatemala1,712,984 
Honduras164,279 
Nicaragua1,348,415 
El Salvador816,091 
Costa Rica59,109 
50-100 mmUnited States, Cuba, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Colombia, Costa Rica18,616,447
+
United States1,445,566 
Cuba2,322,205 
Mexico2,158,824 
Belize68,896 
Guatemala3,617,736 
Honduras732,812 
Nicaragua3,918,699 
El Salvador1,311,902 
Colombia69,138 
Costa Rica2,970,669 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 01 Jun 2020 18:00 67 -
- - - - - Mexico, Guatemala
Blue 2 02 Jun 2020 00:00 77 -
- - - - - Mexico, Guatemala, Costa Rica
Blue 3 02 Jun 2020 06:00 115 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 02 Jun 2020 12:00 516 14.9 million
- - - United States, Cuba, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Colombia, Costa Rica




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Francisco I. Madero, Mexico. This height is estimated for 02 Jun 2020 14:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Jun 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Jun 2020 14:15 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 14:15 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 14:45 Hidalgo Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 14:30 Chiltepec Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 13:30 San Pedro Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 16:45 Sanchez Magallanes Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 13:15 Corozal Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 13:15 Chunox Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 13:15 Chetumal Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 13:15 Calderita Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 12:30 Santeneja Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Calderas Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 15:45 Murad United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 15:45 Fripp Landing United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 15:45 Salvesbarg Landing United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 15:45 Bolon Hall Landing United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 15:45 Copp Landing United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 15:45 Riverdale United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 15:45 Pinckney Landing United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 15:45 Laurel Bay United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 15:45 Broad River Bluff United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 15:45 Shell Point United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 15:45 Burton United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 15:45 Seabrook Landing United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 15:45 Battery Marina Village United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 15:45 Hilton Head Plantation United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 15:45 Gator Field United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 15:45 Parris Island United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 15:45 Port Royal United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 15:45 Fort Fremont United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 12:30 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 12:30 Chenkan Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 14:45 Tupilco Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 12:30 Noham Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 16:00 Tonala Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 16:00 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 16:00 Salinas Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 16:00 Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 12:15 Hoquel Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 12:15 Champoton Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Xcalak Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 12:15 Sabancuy Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 13:30 Haltunchen Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 13:30 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 13:45 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Bacalar Chico Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 English Lookout United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Ansley United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Bayside Park United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Lakeshore United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Shoreline Park United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Waveland United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Bay St Louis United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Henderson Point United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Pass Christian United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Conejo Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 13:30 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 17:45 Mims United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 17:45 Hoskins United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 17:45 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 17:45 Port Morris United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 17:45 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 17:45 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 17:45 Sea Isle United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 17:45 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 14:45 El Naranjo Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 14:45 Boca Vieja Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 14:45 Piedra Pintada Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 14:45 Agua Dulce Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 14:45 Quebrada Grande Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 13:45 Alvarado Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 13:15 Franklin United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 13:15 Apalachicola United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 13:15 Eastpoint United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 13:15 Yent Place United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 La Isabela Cuba  0.1
02 Jun 2020 13:30 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Cuevas United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 White Harbor United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Long Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:30 Navco United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:30 Mertz United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:30 Chickasaw United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:30 Cox United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:30 Mobile United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:30 Magazine United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:30 Nenemoosha United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:30 Blakeley United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:30 Bridgehead United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:30 Jackson Oak United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:30 Park City United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:30 Fairhope United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:30 Houstonville United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:30 Montrose United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:30 Buzbee Landing United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:30 Seacliff United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:30 Daphne United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:30 Spanish Fort United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 13:45 Paso Real Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Limera Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Balfate Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Rio Esteban Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:00 Corozo Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:00 Cabeza de Vaca Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:00 Baranca Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:00 San Juan Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:00 Cocoli Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:00 Buena Vista Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:00 Livingston Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 13:45 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 14:15 Macho Creek Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 14:15 Puerto Santo Tomas de Castilla Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 14:15 Punta Manabique Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 14:15 Puerto Barrios Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 14:15 Cambalache Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 14:15 Piedra Parada Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 14:15 Corozo Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 14:15 La Graciosa Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 14:15 Machacal Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 14:30 Cattle Landing Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 14:30 New Haven Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:45 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:45 Indianola United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:45 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 12:15 San Pedro Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 17:15 Chinquapin United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 12:30 Colorado Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 12:30 Bella Vista Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 12:30 Cuero Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 12:30 Boca del Toro Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Port Lavaca United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Point Comfort United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Olivia United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Weedhaven United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Port Alto United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Carancahua United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 17:15 Belize City Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Hesperides United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Nairn United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Empire United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Sunrise United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Buras United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Ostrica United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Neptune United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Fort Jackson United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Boothville United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Duvic United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:45 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:45 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:45 Estes United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:45 Rockport United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:45 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:45 Copano Village United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:45 Fulton United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:45 Lamar United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 12:30 Arrozal Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 12:30 Eleven Mile United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 12:30 Nine Mile United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 12:30 Tilton United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 17:00 De Lisle United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 17:00 Gulfport United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 17:00 Mississippi City United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Ferguson Bank Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 12:30 Carrabelle United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 12:30 Lanark Village United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 12:30 Big Blackjack Landing United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 12:30 El Porvenir Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 12:30 La Ceiba Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:00 Handsboro United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:00 Loraine United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:00 Wool Market United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:00 Edgewater Park United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 16:00 Beauvoir United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Bayside United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Ingleside United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 18:00 Port Aransas United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 13:30 El Tular Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 13:30 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 13:45 Raya Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 13:45 Clubki Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 13:45 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.1
02 Jun 2020 13:45 Irlaya Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 13:45 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:30 Spanish Wells United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:30 Bay Pines United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:30 Hickory Bluff United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:30 Hilton Head Island United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:30 Long Cove Plantation United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:30 Bram Landing United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:30 Palmetto Dunes United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:30 Folly Field United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:30 Scott United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:30 Longwood United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:30 Frogmore United States  0.1