Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for AMANDA-20
in Guatemala, Mexico, El Salvador,
31 May 2020 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AMANDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 61 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (31 May 04:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (El Salvador)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 61 km/h 0.2 m 125 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 65 km/h 0.2 m 719 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

65 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 31 May 2020 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 May 2020 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 31 May 2020 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 May 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmGuatemala, El Salvador4,207,212
+
Guatemala422,667 
El Salvador3,784,545 
100-250 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Costa Rica12,589,921
+
Mexico1,699,670 
Belize188,421 
Guatemala7,287,982 
Honduras859,700 
Nicaragua526,598 
El Salvador1,933,611 
Costa Rica93,939 
50-100 mmMexico, Guatemala, Belize, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica22,742,712
+
Mexico6,503,853 
Belize124,214 
Guatemala6,398,380 
Honduras1,439,911 
Nicaragua4,678,728 
El Salvador397,769 
Costa Rica3,199,857 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 May 2020 18:00 101 -
- - - - - Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras
Blue 2 31 May 2020 00:00 440 16.8 million
- - - Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in El Carmen, Nicaragua. This height is estimated for 31 May 2020 04:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 May 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
31 May 2020 04:30 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 04:30 El Tanque Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 04:30 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 04:30 La Chacara Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 04:30 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 04:30 Condega Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 04:30 Cedeno Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 04:30 Albania Honduras  0.2
02 Jun 2020 10:15 Corozal Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 10:15 Chunox Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 10:15 Chetumal Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 10:15 Calderita Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Ferguson Bank Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Belize City Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Gales Point Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Mullins Belize  0.1
31 May 2020 17:00 Hacienda Santa Elena Costa Rica  0.1
31 May 2020 17:00 Escameca Nicaragua  0.1
31 May 2020 17:00 El Ostional Nicaragua  0.1
31 May 2020 17:00 El Jobo Costa Rica  0.1
31 May 2020 17:00 Hacienda Murcielago Costa Rica  0.1
31 May 2020 17:00 Cuatro Caminos Nicaragua  0.1
31 May 2020 17:00 Murcielago Costa Rica  0.1
31 May 2020 17:00 Puerto Soleo Costa Rica  0.1
31 May 2020 10:00 Barra de la Gabina Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 10:00 Las Champas Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 10:00 Barra de Santiago El Salvador  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:15 Stann Creek Town Belize  0.1
31 May 2020 11:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
31 May 2020 11:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:15 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:15 Calderas Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:00 Santeneja Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:30 Arista Mexico  0.1
31 May 2020 13:30 La Verde Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 13:30 El Tulate Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 13:30 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 13:30 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:15 Boqueron Mexico  0.1