Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for AMANDA-20
in Guatemala, Mexico, El Salvador,
31 May 2020 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AMANDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (03 Jun 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (El Salvador)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 65 km/h 0.2 m 85 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 65 km/h 0.2 m 719 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

65 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 31 May 2020 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 May 2020 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 31 May 2020 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 31 May 2020 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 31 May 2020 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 May 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmGuatemala, El Salvador217,559
+
Guatemala152,534 
El Salvador65,025 
100-250 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica20,305,135
+
Mexico4,055,908 
Belize185,024 
Guatemala7,488,914 
Honduras101,054 
Nicaragua18,803 
El Salvador5,856,010 
Costa Rica2,599,422 
50-100 mmMexico, Guatemala, Belize, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica16,519,100
+
Mexico5,283,465 
Belize108,175 
Guatemala6,501,869 
Honduras2,023,053 
Nicaragua1,654,323 
El Salvador204,477 
Costa Rica743,738 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 May 2020 18:00 101 -
- - - - - Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras
Blue 2 31 May 2020 00:00 125 920 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador
Blue 3 31 May 2020 06:00 110 170 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador
Blue 4 31 May 2020 12:00 539 20.5 million
- - - Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Corozal, Belize. This height is estimated for 03 Jun 2020 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 May 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Corozal Belize  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Chunox Belize  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Chetumal Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Calderita Mexico  0.2
31 May 2020 19:45 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 19:45 El Tanque Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 19:45 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 19:45 La Chacara Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 19:45 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 19:45 Condega Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 19:45 Cedeno Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 19:45 Albania Honduras  0.2
02 Jun 2020 10:15 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 10:15 Calderas Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2020 10:15 Santeneja Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 05:30 Ferguson Bank Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:30 Belize City Belize  0.1
31 May 2020 17:00 Hacienda Santa Elena Costa Rica  0.1
31 May 2020 17:00 Escameca Nicaragua  0.1
31 May 2020 17:00 El Ostional Nicaragua  0.1
31 May 2020 17:00 El Jobo Costa Rica  0.1
31 May 2020 17:00 Hacienda Murcielago Costa Rica  0.1
31 May 2020 17:00 Cuatro Caminos Nicaragua  0.1
31 May 2020 17:00 Murcielago Costa Rica  0.1
31 May 2020 17:00 Puerto Soleo Costa Rica  0.1
31 May 2020 13:30 La Verde Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 13:30 El Tulate Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 13:30 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 13:30 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.1
03 Jun 2020 02:45 Gales Point Belize  0.1
03 Jun 2020 02:45 Mullins Belize  0.1
31 May 2020 21:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
31 May 2020 21:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:30 Arista Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 02:45 Stann Creek Town Belize  0.1