Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for AMANDA-20
in Guatemala, Mexico, El Salvador,
31 May 2020 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AMANDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 61 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (02 Jun 13:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (El Salvador)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 61 km/h 0.2 m 110 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 65 km/h 0.2 m 719 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

65 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 31 May 2020 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 May 2020 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 31 May 2020 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 31 May 2020 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 May 2020 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmGuatemala, El Salvador246,823
+
Guatemala235,771 
El Salvador11,052 
100-250 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Costa Rica16,003,024
+
Mexico1,297,528 
Belize186,539 
Guatemala6,129,360 
Honduras47,057 
Nicaragua90,115 
El Salvador5,549,788 
Costa Rica2,702,637 
50-100 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica20,823,557
+
Mexico6,739,192 
Belize102,099 
Guatemala7,099,886 
Honduras1,883,736 
Nicaragua3,772,036 
El Salvador507,347 
Costa Rica719,261 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 May 2020 18:00 101 -
- - - - - Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras
Blue 2 31 May 2020 00:00 125 920 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador
Blue 3 31 May 2020 06:00 455 16.2 million
- - - Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Corozal, Belize. This height is estimated for 02 Jun 2020 13:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 May 2020 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Jun 2020 13:00 Corozal Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 13:00 Chunox Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 13:00 Chetumal Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 13:00 Calderita Mexico  0.2
31 May 2020 07:30 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 07:30 El Tanque Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 07:30 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 07:30 La Chacara Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 07:30 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 07:30 Condega Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 07:30 Cedeno Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 07:30 Albania Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 10:00 Barra de la Gabina Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 10:00 Las Champas Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 10:00 Barra de Santiago El Salvador  0.1
02 Jun 2020 11:30 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 11:30 Calderas Mexico  0.1
31 May 2020 17:00 Hacienda Santa Elena Costa Rica  0.1
31 May 2020 17:00 Escameca Nicaragua  0.1
31 May 2020 17:00 El Ostional Nicaragua  0.1
31 May 2020 17:00 El Jobo Costa Rica  0.1
31 May 2020 17:00 Hacienda Murcielago Costa Rica  0.1
31 May 2020 17:00 Cuatro Caminos Nicaragua  0.1
31 May 2020 17:00 Murcielago Costa Rica  0.1
31 May 2020 17:00 Puerto Soleo Costa Rica  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:45 Santeneja Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:30 Arista Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:30 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:30 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:15 La Verde Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:15 El Tulate Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:15 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:15 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:45 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:45 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:45 Ferguson Bank Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:45 Belize City Belize  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:45 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:00 El Roble Mexico  0.1
31 May 2020 10:00 Astillero Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 10:00 San Pedro Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 09:45 Buenos Aires El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 09:45 Metalio El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 09:45 Acajutla El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 09:45 Los Cobanos El Salvador  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:30 Gales Point Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:30 Mullins Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:30 Stann Creek Town Belize  0.1