Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for AMPHAN-20
in India, Bangladesh, Bhutan
16 May 2020 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AMPHAN-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 97 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (16 May 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 97 km/h 0.3 m 308 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 263 km/h 2.2 m 1054 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

263 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 16 May 2020 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 May 2020 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 16 May 2020 12:00 184 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 16 May 2020 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 May 2020 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 16 May 2020 12:00 779 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Gangra, India. This height is estimated for 16 May 2020 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 May 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 May 2020 18:00 Gangra India  0.3
16 May 2020 18:00 Kakdwip India  0.3
16 May 2020 18:00 Namkhana India  0.3
16 May 2020 18:00 Belpukur India  0.3
16 May 2020 18:00 Dublat India  0.3
16 May 2020 17:30 Bijavbati India  0.2
16 May 2020 14:15 Anaitivu Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 14:15 Ammanthanaveli Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 14:15 Arukarkudah Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 15:15 Foul Point Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 16:30 Kelambakkam India  0.2
16 May 2020 16:30 Saint Thomas Mount India  0.2
16 May 2020 16:30 Madhavaram India  0.2
16 May 2020 16:30 Chennai India  0.2
16 May 2020 14:30 Purnankuppam India  0.2
16 May 2020 14:30 Pondicherry India  0.2
16 May 2020 14:30 Kalapettai India  0.2
16 May 2020 14:45 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 14:45 Chundikkulam Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 16:15 Kayts Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 16:15 Jaffna Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 16:15 Kankesanturai Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 17:15 Digha India  0.2
16 May 2020 17:15 Ramnagar India  0.2
16 May 2020 15:00 Kodigeri India  0.2
16 May 2020 15:00 Vedaranyam India  0.2
16 May 2020 15:00 Vedaranniyam India  0.2
16 May 2020 14:30 Tirumullaivasal India  0.2
16 May 2020 14:30 Kaveripattanam India  0.2
16 May 2020 18:00 Tanbingyaung Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 18:00 Khindan Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 18:00 Darein Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 18:00 Munaing Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 18:00 Tagukana Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 18:00 Kawpamagon Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 18:00 Paung Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 18:00 Kwanhla Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 14:15 Porto Novo India  0.2
16 May 2020 17:00 Karen India  0.2
16 May 2020 15:30 Point Pedro Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 15:30 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 18:00 Kangyisu Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 16:45 Satabhaya India  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Kyaikkami Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 14:45 Chalai Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 17:45 Kalipur Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:45 Bara Patharghata Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:45 Jnanpara Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:45 Chhota Nishanbaria Chak Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:45 Dhalua Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:45 Bara Bagi Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:45 Chhota Bagi Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:45 Mahipur Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:45 Chandkhali Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:45 Burir Char Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:45 Kachupatra Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:45 Arpangasia Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:45 Bara Baliatali Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:45 Kalapara Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 14:15 Cuddalore India  0.1
16 May 2020 14:30 Kuvattur India  0.1
16 May 2020 14:30 Mahabalipuram India  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Kayindaung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Budin Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Kadaik Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Zokali Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Taunggyi Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Donwun Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Pauktaw Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Taungxun Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Shwe-o Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Alanbya Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Kyaikpi Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Kawbein Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Mokkamu Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Boyagyi Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Kyaikto Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 15:15 Peddapatnam India  0.1
16 May 2020 17:15 Idaikkadu Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 14:15 Alampil Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Damathat Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 17:00 Karaikal India  0.1
16 May 2020 17:00 Accarapatam India  0.1
16 May 2020 17:00 Velangann India  0.1
16 May 2020 17:00 Nagappattinam India  0.1
16 May 2020 14:45 Tranquebar India  0.1
16 May 2020 14:45 Tarangambadi India  0.1
16 May 2020 15:15 Chakicherla India  0.1
16 May 2020 15:15 Ullapalem India  0.1
16 May 2020 15:15 Pakala India  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Thamaseikta Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 13:45 Karuvaddukkeni Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 13:45 Pulmoddai Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 13:45 Analkaddimady Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Mahameik Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 17:45 Wagaru Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 17:45 Wegalaung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 17:45 Karokpi Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 15:45 Kottapatnam India  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Atirampattinam India  0.1
16 May 2020 17:00 Chandipur India  0.1
16 May 2020 17:00 Therunattam India  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Kattumavadi India  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Manamelkudi India  0.1
16 May 2020 15:00 Antarvedi India  0.1
16 May 2020 15:30 Durgarajupatnam India  0.1
16 May 2020 15:15 Vatturupallepalem India  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Ammapatam India  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Teknaf Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Dakhinpara Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Kanyinchaung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Jaliapara Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Nyaunggyaung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Zawmadat Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 16:15 Nuliasahi India  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Kavutarimunai Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Pooneryn Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 17:00 Govundlapalem India  0.1
16 May 2020 14:15 Marakkanam India  0.1
16 May 2020 17:30 Saluzeik Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 17:30 Seikkyi Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 16:15 Kakinada India  0.1
16 May 2020 16:45 Kuakata Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:45 Anin Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Char Chapli Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 17:45 Hukitala India  0.1
16 May 2020 17:45 Rasalpur India  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Gyibyin Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Temauk Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Shwehle Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Amaw Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Hpanchaung Myanmar  0.1