Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for AMPHAN-20
in India, Bangladesh, Bhutan
16 May 2020 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AMPHAN-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 108 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (16 May 19:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 108 km/h 0.4 m 234 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 263 km/h 2.2 m 1054 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

263 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 16 May 2020 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 May 2020 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 16 May 2020 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 16 May 2020 18:00 205 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 16 May 2020 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 May 2020 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 16 May 2020 12:00 308 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 16 May 2020 18:00 866 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Gangra, India. This height is estimated for 16 May 2020 19:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 May 2020 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 May 2020 19:15 Gangra India  0.4
16 May 2020 19:15 Kakdwip India  0.4
16 May 2020 19:15 Namkhana India  0.4
16 May 2020 19:15 Belpukur India  0.4
16 May 2020 19:00 Dublat India  0.4
16 May 2020 18:30 Bijavbati India  0.2
16 May 2020 18:30 Kelambakkam India  0.2
16 May 2020 18:30 Saint Thomas Mount India  0.2
16 May 2020 18:30 Madhavaram India  0.2
16 May 2020 18:30 Chennai India  0.2
16 May 2020 18:30 Digha India  0.2
16 May 2020 18:30 Ramnagar India  0.2
16 May 2020 19:00 Karaikal India  0.2
16 May 2020 19:00 Accarapatam India  0.2
16 May 2020 19:00 Velangann India  0.2
16 May 2020 19:00 Nagappattinam India  0.2
16 May 2020 18:30 Tanbingyaung Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 18:30 Khindan Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 18:30 Darein Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 18:30 Munaing Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 18:30 Tagukana Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 18:30 Kawpamagon Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 19:30 Purnankuppam India  0.2
16 May 2020 19:30 Pondicherry India  0.2
16 May 2020 19:30 Kalapettai India  0.2
16 May 2020 19:45 Kavutarimunai Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 19:45 Pooneryn Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 19:45 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 20:30 Shwe-o Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 20:30 Alanbya Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 20:30 Mokkamu Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 20:30 Boyagyi Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 20:30 Kyaikto Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 20:30 Kyaikpi Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 20:30 Kawbein Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 18:30 Kwanhla Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 18:30 Paung Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 19:00 Kyaikkami Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 20:15 Damathat Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 20:15 Pauktaw Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 20:15 Zokali Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 20:15 Taungxun Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 19:45 Taunggyi Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 19:45 Budin Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 19:45 Kadaik Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 19:45 Donwun Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 19:45 Kangyisu Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 19:15 Jaffna Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2020 19:45 Thamaseikta Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 22:45 Maitbhanga Bangladesh  0.2
16 May 2020 22:45 Dhalapara Bangladesh  0.2
16 May 2020 22:45 Kamla Char Bangladesh  0.2
16 May 2020 22:45 Barabkunda Bangladesh  0.2
16 May 2020 22:45 Bansbaria Bangladesh  0.2
16 May 2020 22:45 Kumira Bangladesh  0.2
16 May 2020 22:45 Sitalpur Bangladesh  0.2
16 May 2020 22:45 Bhatiari Bangladesh  0.2
16 May 2020 22:45 Dakhin Kattali Bangladesh  0.2
16 May 2020 18:45 Bardeil Bangladesh  0.2
16 May 2020 18:45 Dakshim Nhila Bangladesh  0.2
16 May 2020 18:45 Atikhalipara Bangladesh  0.2
16 May 2020 18:45 Teknaf Bangladesh  0.2
16 May 2020 18:45 Dakhinpara Bangladesh  0.2
16 May 2020 18:45 Sabaigon Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 18:45 Ale Kalaywa Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 18:45 Kanyinchaung Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 18:45 Jaliapara Bangladesh  0.2
16 May 2020 18:45 Nyaunggyaung Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 18:45 Zawmadat Myanmar  0.2
16 May 2020 19:15 Mahameik Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:45 Kattumavadi India  0.1
16 May 2020 18:45 Atirampattinam India  0.1
16 May 2020 18:30 Anauk Myinhlut Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:30 Kyaukpandu Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:15 Kayindaung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 19:00 Shangyaung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Kalipur Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Bara Patharghata Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Jnanpara Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Chhota Nishanbaria Chak Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Dhalua Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Bara Bagi Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Chhota Bagi Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Mahipur Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Chandkhali Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Burir Char Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Kachupatra Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Arpangasia Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Bara Baliatali Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Kalapara Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 20:00 Kuakata Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 19:30 Nawaladi Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 19:00 Dubla Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Anaitivu Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Ammanthanaveli Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Arukarkudah Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 19:15 Kiranchi Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 18:15 Chandipur India  0.1
16 May 2020 23:15 Karuvaddukkeni Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 23:15 Pulmoddai Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 23:15 Analkaddimady Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 21:30 Ilichar India  0.1
16 May 2020 22:45 Chittagong Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 22:30 Char Lakshia Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 22:30 Janali Hat Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 22:30 Kalapul Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 22:30 Anowara Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 22:30 Noapara Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:30 Manamelkudi India  0.1
16 May 2020 19:45 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 19:45 Chundikkulam Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 18:30 Char Chapli Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:30 Ammapatam India  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Wagaru Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Wegalaung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Karokpi Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 23:45 Foul Point Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 18:45 Tranquebar India  0.1
16 May 2020 18:45 Tarangambadi India  0.1
16 May 2020 20:00 Chakicherla India  0.1
16 May 2020 20:00 Vatturupallepalem India  0.1
16 May 2020 19:00 Therunattam India  0.1
16 May 2020 18:30 Alampil Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 19:15 Porto Novo India  0.1
16 May 2020 22:45 Jafarnagar Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:30 Thabyichaung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:30 Nga Thamok Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:30 Magyi-ywa Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:30 Amaw Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:30 Hpanchaung Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:30 Gyibyin Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 19:15 Cuddalore India  0.1
16 May 2020 22:30 Dakhin Patenga Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:30 Char Bagala Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 19:00 Bhaylabania Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 19:00 Char Hare Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 20:00 Neta Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 20:00 Chhota Baisdia Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 20:00 Andar Char Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 20:00 Burirchar Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 20:00 Char Lakshmi Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 20:00 Char Manika Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 20:00 Char Kukuri Mukuri Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 20:00 Char Aicha Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 20:00 Char Paila Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:45 Point Pedro Sri Lanka  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Temauk Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Shwehle Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:00 Anin Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 21:30 Char Kajal Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 21:30 Char Kalmi Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 21:30 Ar Kalmi Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 20:15 Bamnia Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 20:15 Charparbati Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 20:15 Munshir Hat Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 20:15 Tulatali Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 20:15 Char Fakura Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 20:15 Char Chandia Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 20:15 Bara Ahmadpur Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 20:15 Banskhali Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 20:15 Bariakhali Bangladesh  0.1
16 May 2020 18:15 Hparabyin Myanmar  0.1
16 May 2020 18:15 Thawinchaung Myanmar  0.1