Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for HAROLD-20
in , Tonga, Fiji, Vanuatu
03 Apr 2020 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HAROLD-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Vanuatu
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 112 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (03 Apr 12:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 112 km/h 0.2 m 271 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 266 km/h 0.9 m 1814 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

266 km/h

Up to 160 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Apr 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormVanuatu164,974 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 02 Apr 2020 18:00 94 -
- - - - - Solomon Islands
GREEN 2 03 Apr 2020 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 03 Apr 2020 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 03 Apr 2020 12:00 194 -
- - - - - Vanuatu
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Apr 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
750-1000 mmVanuatu622 
500-750 mmVanuatu3,059 
250-500 mmVanuatu67,813 
100-250 mmVanuatu129,242 
50-100 mmVanuatu39,542 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 02 Apr 2020 18:00 322 1 thousand
- - - - Solomon Islands
Blue 2 03 Apr 2020 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 03 Apr 2020 06:00 197 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 03 Apr 2020 12:00 1239 200 thousand
- Vanuatu




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Amapa, Papua New Guinea. This height is estimated for 03 Apr 2020 12:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Apr 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Apr 2020 12:15 Amapa Papua New Guinea  0.2
03 Apr 2020 12:15 Taki Papua New Guinea  0.2
03 Apr 2020 12:15 Olava Papua New Guinea  0.2
03 Apr 2020 15:00 Torakina Papua New Guinea  0.2
03 Apr 2020 15:00 Koiaris Papua New Guinea  0.2
03 Apr 2020 15:15 Jaba Papua New Guinea  0.2
03 Apr 2020 14:15 East Pt Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Apr 2020 14:15 Fauro I Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 14:15 Moisuru Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Apr 2020 13:15 Ouanache New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 13:15 Paola New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 13:15 Vieux Tuho New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 13:15 Touho New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 13:15 Kokengone New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Siorovi Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Apr 2020 17:30 Mbangata Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 17:30 Savusavu Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 17:30 Naindi Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 17:30 Korosi Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Pirineiu Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Mogontoro Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Karakun Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Kieta Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Daratui Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Toniva Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Toboroi Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Kobeinan Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Borvei Plantation Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Tarara Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Manetai Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Aropa Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Rorovana Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Arawa Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:30 Naana Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:30 Mwaniwowo Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:30 Mwarairaru Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:30 Maniborkosi Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:30 Nasuragena Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:30 Funakumwa Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:30 Tawarogha Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:30 Geta Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:30 Star Harb Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:30 Mami Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:30 Fageifa Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:30 Ragapu Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:30 Ghupuna Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:30 Nafinotoga Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:30 Santa Ana I Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Poroporo Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Malivanga Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Ngalivoli Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Malevangga Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Tarekacho Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Chivoko Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Chirovanga Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 14:15 Kamaleai Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Nukiki Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Polo Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Sariana Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 14:15 Koliai Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 14:15 Harehare Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 14:15 Nila Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Asitavi Mission Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Wakanai Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:30 Naparaohau Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Pateaviavi Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Namatoa Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Boskombo Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Ghoveo Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Dios Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Tebuin Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Pupuku Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Kaekui Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Ogho Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Susuka Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Taruvana Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Kombokisa Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Lukuvaru Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Batongo Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Kutakana Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Panggoe Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Pakenggosu Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Ghaghara Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Lolomikilo Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 14:15 Harapa Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 14:15 Ghaomai Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Barora Fa I Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Jiku Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Zambanarungga Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Vure Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Dundurava Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:30 Tunguiha Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:30 Tupui Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:15 Ho New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:15 Meomo New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:15 Houailou New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:15 Ouakaya New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:15 Poro New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:15 Kouaoua New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 17:45 Veranaue Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 17:45 Saua Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 17:45 Dhadhaje Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 17:45 Tatamba Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 17:45 Sidu Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 17:45 Lokiha Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 17:45 Sepi Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 17:45 Vuluva Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 13:30 Nayavutoka Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 13:30 Korovou Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 13:30 Lodoni Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 13:30 Lawaki Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 13:30 Naingani Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 13:30 Navuti Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 13:30 Nasaga Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 13:30 Rukuruku Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Rob Roy I Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 16:00 Mainga Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 16:00 Hatanggua Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 16:00 Yavungu Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 16:00 Vinegau Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 16:00 Tuhungganggo Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Posarae Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 17:15 Lao Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 17:15 Nailou Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 17:15 Nawi Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 17:15 Vunikura Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 17:15 Napuka Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 17:15 Namboutini Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:00 Korotasere Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:00 Naweni Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:00 Nakarambo Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:00 Viani Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:00 Ndrekeniwai Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 13:15 Ometteux New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 13:15 Ponerihouen New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 13:15 Bayes New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 13:15 Mou New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 13:15 Moneo New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 17:15 Vangai Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Boemboe Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:30 Wango Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:30 Maniate Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:30 Tawasu Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:30 Manakia Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:30 Paa Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:30 Naparaoinawa Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:30 Ngagatari Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:30 Nahahau Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:30 Narano Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:30 Napurongo Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:30 Naganea Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:30 Nakuhu Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 12:00 Kia Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 13:15 Poindimie New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 17:15 Natua Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 14:00 Segond Vanuatu  0.1
03 Apr 2020 14:00 Luganville Vanuatu  0.1
03 Apr 2020 14:00 Saraotou Vanuatu  0.1
03 Apr 2020 14:00 Asavagas Vanuatu  0.1
03 Apr 2020 14:00 Palikoulo Vanuatu  0.1
03 Apr 2020 15:00 Seghe Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 15:00 Mbuinitusu Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 15:00 Batuna Solomon Islands  0.1