Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FERDINAND-20
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FERDINAND-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 94 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (28 Feb 21:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 94 km/h 0.2 m 243 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 194 km/h 0.2 m 737 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

194 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 28 Feb 2020 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Feb 2020 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 24 Feb 2020 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 24 Feb 2020 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 24 Feb 2020 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 24 Feb 2020 18:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 25 Feb 2020 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 25 Feb 2020 06:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 25 Feb 2020 12:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 25 Feb 2020 18:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 26 Feb 2020 00:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 26 Feb 2020 06:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 26 Feb 2020 12:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 26 Feb 2020 18:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 27 Feb 2020 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 27 Feb 2020 06:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 27 Feb 2020 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 27 Feb 2020 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 28 Feb 2020 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 28 Feb 2020 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 28 Feb 2020 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 28 Feb 2020 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Feb 2020 18:00 135 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 24 Feb 2020 00:00 143 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 24 Feb 2020 06:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 24 Feb 2020 12:00 123 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 24 Feb 2020 18:00 209 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 25 Feb 2020 00:00 269 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 25 Feb 2020 06:00 267 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 25 Feb 2020 12:00 442 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 25 Feb 2020 18:00 405 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 26 Feb 2020 00:00 449 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 26 Feb 2020 06:00 369 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 26 Feb 2020 12:00 270 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 26 Feb 2020 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 27 Feb 2020 00:00 128 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 27 Feb 2020 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 27 Feb 2020 12:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 27 Feb 2020 18:00 186 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 28 Feb 2020 00:00 145 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 28 Feb 2020 06:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 28 Feb 2020 12:00 432 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Pringgabaja, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 28 Feb 2020 21:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Feb 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
28 Feb 2020 21:00 Pringgabaja Indonesia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 21:00 Lombok Indonesia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 23:45 Lenteng Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 23:45 Rinca Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 23:45 Lo'o Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 12:00 Pardoo Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 14:45 East Lewis I Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 14:45 Dampier Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 13:30 Tambaksari Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 13:30 Lungurdowo Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 13:30 Pudjihardjo Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 13:30 Guying Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:30 Blimbing Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:30 Dadapan Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:30 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:30 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:30 Soega Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:30 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:30 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:30 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:30 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:30 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:15 Laboean Mapin Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:00 Paraing Liang Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:00 Maoedoeloeng Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:45 Katewela Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:45 Karendi Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 14:30 Condro Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 14:30 Kencong Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 23:45 Waingapu Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 23:45 Matawai Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 23:45 Pajeti Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 23:45 Lakohembi Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 17:15 Binangoen Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 17:15 Ajah Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 13:15 Muntjar Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:00 Sunut Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:00 Komodo Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:45 Grajagan Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:45 Gradjagan Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:45 Brassan Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 02:00 Cupel Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 02:00 Banjuwedang Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 02:00 Prancak Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 02:00 Negara Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:30 Petjatu Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:30 Seseh Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:30 Kuta Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:30 Djimbaran Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:30 Boealoe Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:30 Benua Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:30 Denpasar Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:30 Sukawati Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:30 Labih Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:45 Kadesa Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:45 Lapaoe Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:45 Memboro Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:45 Lena Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 15:45 Bundera Bundera Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 14:00 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 14:00 Cijulang Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 13:45 Sidomukti Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:15 Kampoeng Mborong Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 13:45 Cikalong Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 13:45 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 13:45 Kaliputjang Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:30 Lapatawang Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 18:15 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:00 Waikasaha Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:00 Tosi Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:00 Kodi Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:00 Bondokodi Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:00 Soema Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 13:45 Petanahan Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 13:15 Panggul Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 13:15 Mundjungan Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 13:15 Tasikmadoe Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:45 Ramoet Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:00 Lalindi Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:00 Manoekangga Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 07:30 Sessok Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 07:30 Nangalele Indonesia  0.1
01 Mar 2020 06:00 Karratha Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 13:15 Djareweh Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 16:30 Condon Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:15 Genggalo Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:30 Badjo Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:00 Tanahdamar Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 17:00 Ningaloo Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 14:00 Boeloelawang Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 21:45 Exmouth Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 14:00 Chilachap Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 14:00 Adipala Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 12:00 Port Hedland Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 17:30 Kalapagenep Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 18:30 Djagalaja Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 18:30 Bendungan Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 18:30 Galur Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 07:30 Gerampi Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:30 Tanahkadukung Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:30 Baing Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 12:00 Mardie Australia  0.1