Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FERDINAND-20
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FERDINAND-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 97 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (28 Feb 05:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 97 km/h 0.2 m 145 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 194 km/h 0.2 m 737 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

194 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 28 Feb 2020 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Feb 2020 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 24 Feb 2020 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 24 Feb 2020 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 24 Feb 2020 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 24 Feb 2020 18:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 25 Feb 2020 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 25 Feb 2020 06:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 25 Feb 2020 12:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 25 Feb 2020 18:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 26 Feb 2020 00:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 26 Feb 2020 06:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 26 Feb 2020 12:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 26 Feb 2020 18:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 27 Feb 2020 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 27 Feb 2020 06:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 27 Feb 2020 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 27 Feb 2020 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 28 Feb 2020 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 28 Feb 2020 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Feb 2020 18:00 135 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 24 Feb 2020 00:00 143 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 24 Feb 2020 06:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 24 Feb 2020 12:00 123 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 24 Feb 2020 18:00 209 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 25 Feb 2020 00:00 269 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 25 Feb 2020 06:00 267 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 25 Feb 2020 12:00 442 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 25 Feb 2020 18:00 405 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 26 Feb 2020 00:00 449 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 26 Feb 2020 06:00 369 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 26 Feb 2020 12:00 270 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 26 Feb 2020 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 27 Feb 2020 00:00 128 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 27 Feb 2020 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 27 Feb 2020 12:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 27 Feb 2020 18:00 186 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 28 Feb 2020 00:00 586 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Onslow, Australia. This height is estimated for 28 Feb 2020 05:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Feb 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
28 Feb 2020 05:30 Onslow Australia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 11:30 Condon Australia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 11:30 Pardoo Australia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 00:15 Waingapu Indonesia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 00:15 Matawai Indonesia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 00:15 Pajeti Indonesia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 00:15 Lakohembi Indonesia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 07:45 Lalindi Indonesia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 07:45 Manoekangga Indonesia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 01:30 Petjatu Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 01:30 Seseh Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 01:30 Kuta Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 01:30 Djimbaran Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 01:30 Boealoe Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 01:30 Benua Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 01:30 Denpasar Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 01:30 Sukawati Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 01:30 Labih Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 05:15 Glenroy Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 11:15 Exmouth Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:15 Komodo Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 02:00 Adipala Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 02:00 Binangoen Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 08:00 Sessok Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 08:00 Nangalele Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 21:00 Pringgabaja Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 21:00 Lombok Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:30 Blimbing Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:30 Dadapan Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:30 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:30 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:30 Soega Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:30 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:30 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:30 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:30 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:30 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 06:30 Kencong Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 06:30 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:45 Katewela Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:45 Karendi Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:00 Paraing Liang Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:00 Maoedoeloeng Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:45 Lapatawang Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Learmonth Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 04:30 Cape Cuvier Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:45 Brassan Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:45 Muntjar Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 04:30 Bundera Bundera Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:15 Koeta Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:15 Awang Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:15 Sunut Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 01:45 Ajah Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 13:30 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 13:30 Cijulang Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 13:30 Cikalong Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 13:30 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 23:45 Lenteng Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 23:45 Rinca Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 23:45 Lo'o Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 04:15 Wickham Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 04:15 Point Samson Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 04:15 Cossack Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Ramoet Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 08:00 Kampoeng Mborong Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 03:15 Laboean Mapin Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 05:00 Port Hedland Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:45 Cupel Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:45 Prancak Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:45 Negara Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 01:45 Petanahan Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:15 Kadesa Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:15 Lapaoe Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 11:45 Praigaga Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 11:45 Omatena Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 02:45 East Lewis I Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 02:45 Dampier Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 08:15 Tanahkadukung Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 08:15 Baing Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 01:45 Chilachap Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Memboro Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 04:00 Ah Chong I Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 06:00 Karratha Australia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 02:00 Banjuwedang Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:45 Grajagan Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:45 Gradjagan Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:15 Gerampi Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 06:00 Djepitoe Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 01:30 Kaliputjang Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 05:00 Batuulo Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 05:00 Bande-alit Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 13:45 Tambaksari Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 13:45 Lungurdowo Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 13:45 Pudjihardjo Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 13:45 Guying Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 13:45 Sidomukti Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:00 Waikasaha Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:00 Tosi Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:00 Kodi Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:00 Bondokodi Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:00 Soema Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Mendaja Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Jehembang Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Pulukan Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 11:30 Cardabia Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 06:45 Badjera Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 06:45 Krambitan Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 08:00 Lena Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:15 Genggalo Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:45 Bangkulua Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:45 Huu Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:45 Madawa Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:45 Polo Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 04:15 Ningaloo Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 01:45 Djagalaja Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:30 Badjo Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 08:15 Doro Kempo Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 07:00 Kahale Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 02:30 Condro Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 06:45 Mardie Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 13:15 Bendungan Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 04:30 Warroora Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 02:00 Deliugo Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 02:00 Kalak Indonesia  0.1