Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FERDINAND-20
Off-shore
27 Feb 2020 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FERDINAND-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 122 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (27 Feb 08:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 122 km/h 0.2 m 137 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 194 km/h 0.2 m 737 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 27 Feb 2020 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Feb 2020 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 24 Feb 2020 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 24 Feb 2020 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 24 Feb 2020 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 24 Feb 2020 18:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 25 Feb 2020 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 25 Feb 2020 06:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 25 Feb 2020 12:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 25 Feb 2020 18:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 26 Feb 2020 00:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 26 Feb 2020 06:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 26 Feb 2020 12:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 26 Feb 2020 18:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 27 Feb 2020 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 27 Feb 2020 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

737 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 27 Feb 2020 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Feb 2020 18:00 135 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 24 Feb 2020 00:00 143 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 24 Feb 2020 06:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 24 Feb 2020 12:00 123 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 24 Feb 2020 18:00 209 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 25 Feb 2020 00:00 269 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 25 Feb 2020 06:00 267 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 25 Feb 2020 12:00 442 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 25 Feb 2020 18:00 405 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 26 Feb 2020 00:00 449 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 26 Feb 2020 06:00 369 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 26 Feb 2020 12:00 270 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 26 Feb 2020 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 27 Feb 2020 00:00 128 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 27 Feb 2020 06:00 413 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Waingapu, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 27 Feb 2020 08:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Feb 2020 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
27 Feb 2020 08:00 Waingapu Indonesia  0.2
27 Feb 2020 08:00 Matawai Indonesia  0.2
27 Feb 2020 08:00 Pajeti Indonesia  0.2
27 Feb 2020 08:00 Lakohembi Indonesia  0.2
27 Feb 2020 08:00 Maoedoeloeng Indonesia  0.2
27 Feb 2020 08:30 Ah Chong I Australia  0.2
27 Feb 2020 08:15 Paraing Liang Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 11:45 Condon Australia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 11:45 Pardoo Australia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 07:45 Kampoeng Mborong Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 07:45 Ramoet Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 10:00 Cardabia Australia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 07:45 Lapatawang Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 07:45 Lenteng Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 07:45 Rinca Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 07:45 Lo'o Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 10:45 East Lewis I Australia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 10:45 Dampier Australia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 11:30 Ningaloo Australia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 10:15 Onslow Australia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 07:30 Lalindi Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 07:30 Manoekangga Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 08:00 Kadesa Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 08:00 Lapaoe Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 06:45 Mardie Australia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 08:15 Djagalaja Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 08:15 Bendungan Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 09:30 Petanahan Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 06:15 Karratha Australia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 07:45 Komodo Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 08:00 Nangalele Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 10:30 Karanganjar Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 10:30 Chikalong Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 10:30 Kalapagenep Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 08:15 Genggalo Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 08:15 Katewela Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 09:00 Karendi Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 10:30 Glenroy Australia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 10:30 Bundera Bundera Australia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 07:15 Sunut Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 07:15 Djareweh Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 08:00 Memboro Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 08:00 Sessok Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 08:00 Tanahdamar Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 11:00 Gnaraloo Australia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 08:00 Lena Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 10:00 Adipala Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 10:00 Binangoen Indonesia  0.1