Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FERDINAND-20
Off-shore
28 Feb 2020 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FERDINAND-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (28 Feb 11:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 86 km/h 0.2 m 136 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 194 km/h 0.2 m 737 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

194 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 28 Feb 2020 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Feb 2020 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 24 Feb 2020 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 24 Feb 2020 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 24 Feb 2020 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 24 Feb 2020 18:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 25 Feb 2020 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 25 Feb 2020 06:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 25 Feb 2020 12:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 25 Feb 2020 18:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 26 Feb 2020 00:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 26 Feb 2020 06:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 26 Feb 2020 12:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 26 Feb 2020 18:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 27 Feb 2020 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 27 Feb 2020 06:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 27 Feb 2020 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 27 Feb 2020 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 28 Feb 2020 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 28 Feb 2020 06:00 126 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 28 Feb 2020 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Feb 2020 18:00 135 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 24 Feb 2020 00:00 143 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 24 Feb 2020 06:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 24 Feb 2020 12:00 123 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 24 Feb 2020 18:00 209 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 25 Feb 2020 00:00 269 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 25 Feb 2020 06:00 267 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 25 Feb 2020 12:00 442 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 25 Feb 2020 18:00 405 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 26 Feb 2020 00:00 449 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 26 Feb 2020 06:00 369 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 26 Feb 2020 12:00 270 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 26 Feb 2020 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 27 Feb 2020 00:00 128 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 27 Feb 2020 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 27 Feb 2020 12:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 27 Feb 2020 18:00 186 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 28 Feb 2020 00:00 145 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 28 Feb 2020 06:00 564 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Condon, Australia. This height is estimated for 28 Feb 2020 11:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Feb 2020 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
28 Feb 2020 11:45 Condon Australia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 11:45 Pardoo Australia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 08:00 Blimbing Indonesia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 08:00 Dadapan Indonesia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 08:00 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 08:00 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 08:00 Soega Indonesia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 08:00 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 08:00 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 08:00 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 08:00 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 08:00 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 11:15 Exmouth Australia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Waingapu Indonesia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Matawai Indonesia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Pajeti Indonesia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Lakohembi Indonesia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 07:45 Brassan Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:45 Muntjar Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:15 Komodo Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 08:00 Sessok Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 08:00 Nangalele Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:45 Lapatawang Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:45 Lalindi Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:45 Manoekangga Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 06:30 Kencong Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 06:30 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 09:15 Pringgabaja Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 09:15 Lombok Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:45 Maoedoeloeng Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Sunut Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:15 Koeta Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:15 Awang Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Cupel Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Banjuwedang Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Prancak Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Negara Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 08:00 Kampoeng Mborong Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Ramoet Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Learmonth Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 10:00 Binangoen Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 10:00 Ajah Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 10:00 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 10:00 Cijulang Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 10:00 Cikalong Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 10:00 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 08:00 Paraing Liang Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 08:30 Batuulo Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 08:30 Bande-alit Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:45 Lapaoe Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 10:00 Adipala Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:15 Kadesa Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Karendi Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Memboro Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Mendaja Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Jehembang Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Pulukan Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 06:15 Onslow Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 11:45 Praigaga Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 11:45 Omatena Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:15 Laboean Mapin Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:15 Gerampi Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 06:45 Badjera Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 06:45 Krambitan Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 11:45 Lenteng Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 11:45 Rinca Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 11:45 Lo'o Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 06:00 Dampier Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 06:00 Karratha Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 08:15 Tanahkadukung Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 08:15 Baing Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 06:00 Djepitoe Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:45 Bangkulua Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:45 Huu Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:45 Madawa Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:45 Polo Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 08:00 Doro Kempo Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 08:00 Lena Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 11:30 Cardabia Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 10:15 Glenroy Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 06:45 Guying Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 06:45 Sidomukti Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 06:45 Condro Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 09:15 Petanahan Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 10:15 Panggul Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 10:15 Mundjungan Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 10:15 Tasikmadoe Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 06:30 Kebonongan Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 06:30 Tirtohardjo Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:15 Lebah Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:00 Genggalo Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:00 Katewela Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 09:15 Ah Chong I Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 12:00 Port Hedland Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Patjitan Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Ngadirodjo Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:15 Tanahdamar Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Djareweh Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 11:30 Ningaloo Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 12:00 Mardie Australia  0.1