Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FERDINAND-20
Off-shore
27 Feb 2020 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FERDINAND-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 112 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (27 Feb 23:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 112 km/h 0.2 m 186 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 194 km/h 0.2 m 737 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

194 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 27 Feb 2020 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Feb 2020 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 24 Feb 2020 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 24 Feb 2020 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 24 Feb 2020 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 24 Feb 2020 18:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 25 Feb 2020 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 25 Feb 2020 06:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 25 Feb 2020 12:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 25 Feb 2020 18:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 26 Feb 2020 00:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 26 Feb 2020 06:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 26 Feb 2020 12:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 26 Feb 2020 18:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 27 Feb 2020 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 27 Feb 2020 06:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 27 Feb 2020 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 27 Feb 2020 18:00 148 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 27 Feb 2020 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Feb 2020 18:00 135 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 24 Feb 2020 00:00 143 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 24 Feb 2020 06:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 24 Feb 2020 12:00 123 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 24 Feb 2020 18:00 209 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 25 Feb 2020 00:00 269 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 25 Feb 2020 06:00 267 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 25 Feb 2020 12:00 442 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 25 Feb 2020 18:00 405 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 26 Feb 2020 00:00 449 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 26 Feb 2020 06:00 369 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 26 Feb 2020 12:00 270 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 26 Feb 2020 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 27 Feb 2020 00:00 128 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 27 Feb 2020 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 27 Feb 2020 12:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 27 Feb 2020 18:00 484 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Condon, Australia. This height is estimated for 27 Feb 2020 23:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Feb 2020 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
27 Feb 2020 23:45 Condon Australia  0.2
27 Feb 2020 23:45 Pardoo Australia  0.2
27 Feb 2020 19:45 Waingapu Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 19:45 Matawai Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 19:45 Pajeti Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 19:45 Lakohembi Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 18:30 Kencong Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 18:30 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 20:15 Ramoet Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 20:00 Sessok Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 20:00 Nangalele Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 19:00 Muntjar Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 19:00 Blimbing Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 19:00 Dadapan Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 19:00 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 19:00 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 19:00 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 19:00 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 19:00 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 19:00 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 19:00 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 19:45 Kampoeng Mborong Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 20:15 Lapatawang Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 20:15 Paraing Liang Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 20:15 Maoedoeloeng Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 18:45 Soega Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 19:45 Lena Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 19:45 Kadesa Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 20:30 Ah Chong I Australia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 19:00 Pringgabaja Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 19:00 Lombok Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 18:15 Dampier Australia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 18:15 Karratha Australia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 20:00 Tanahdamar Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 20:00 Lapaoe Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 20:45 Exmouth Australia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 19:45 Memboro Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 19:45 Badjera Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 19:45 Krambitan Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 19:45 Seseh Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 19:45 Kuta Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 21:45 Chilachap Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 21:45 Adipala Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 22:45 Onslow Australia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 22:00 Ningaloo Australia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 23:45 Bundera Bundera Australia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 18:45 East Lewis I Australia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 18:15 Ajah Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 18:15 Petanahan Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 19:15 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 22:00 Binangoen Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 18:15 Patjitan Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 18:15 Ngadirodjo Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 22:15 Cijulang Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 22:15 Cikalong Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 22:15 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 19:45 Karendi Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 19:00 Kaliputjang Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 20:15 Tanahkadukung Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 20:15 Baing Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 23:15 Cardabia Australia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 20:15 Lenteng Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 20:15 Rinca Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 20:15 Lo'o Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 19:15 Katewela Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 19:15 Sunut Indonesia  0.1