Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for UESI-20
in New Caledonia, Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone UESI-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 115 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (12 Feb 15:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (New Caledonia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 115 km/h 0.3 m 133 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 133 km/h 0.5 m 441 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

133 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Feb 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAustralia230 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 Feb 2020 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 Feb 2020 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 Feb 2020 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 09 Feb 2020 18:00 97 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
GREEN 5 10 Feb 2020 00:00 86 -
- - - - - New Caledonia, Australia
GREEN 6 10 Feb 2020 06:00 97 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
GREEN 7 10 Feb 2020 12:00 101 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
GREEN 8 10 Feb 2020 18:00 97 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
GREEN 9 11 Feb 2020 00:00 133 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
GREEN 10 11 Feb 2020 06:00 122 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
GREEN 11 11 Feb 2020 12:00 126 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
GREEN 12 11 Feb 2020 18:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 12 Feb 2020 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 12 Feb 2020 06:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 12 Feb 2020 12:00 122 -
- - - - - Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Feb 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmSolomon Islands, Papua New Guinea, Australia78955
+
Solomon Islands38590 
Papua New Guinea21235 
Australia19130 
50-100 mmSolomon Islands, Papua New Guinea, Australia1215416
+
Solomon Islands347638 
Papua New Guinea60892 
Australia806886 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 Feb 2020 00:00 145 200 thousand
- - - - Australia
Blue 2 09 Feb 2020 06:00 113 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 3 09 Feb 2020 12:00 150 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 4 09 Feb 2020 18:00 130 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 10 Feb 2020 00:00 133 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 10 Feb 2020 06:00 153 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
Blue 7 10 Feb 2020 12:00 110 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 10 Feb 2020 18:00 73 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 11 Feb 2020 00:00 125 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 11 Feb 2020 06:00 148 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 11 11 Feb 2020 12:00 165 -
- - - - - Vanuatu
Blue 12 11 Feb 2020 18:00 143 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 12 Feb 2020 00:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 12 Feb 2020 06:00 179 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 12 Feb 2020 12:00 181 80 thousand
- - - - Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Ho, New Caledonia. This height is estimated for 12 Feb 2020 15:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Feb 2020 12:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
12 Feb 2020 15:15 Ho New Caledonia  0.3
12 Feb 2020 15:15 Meomo New Caledonia  0.3
12 Feb 2020 15:15 Houailou New Caledonia  0.3
12 Feb 2020 15:15 Ouakaya New Caledonia  0.3
12 Feb 2020 15:15 Poro New Caledonia  0.3
12 Feb 2020 15:15 Kouaoua New Caledonia  0.3
12 Feb 2020 14:30 Wailagi Papua New Guinea  0.2
12 Feb 2020 14:30 Vivigani Papua New Guinea  0.2
12 Feb 2020 14:30 Bolubolu Papua New Guinea  0.2
12 Feb 2020 14:30 Kalo Kalo Papua New Guinea  0.2
12 Feb 2020 14:30 Tomodebamu Papua New Guinea  0.2
12 Feb 2020 14:30 Avana Papua New Guinea  0.2
12 Feb 2020 14:30 Amoiboa Papua New Guinea  0.2
12 Feb 2020 13:00 Tin Can Bay Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 17:15 Benowa Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 17:15 Gold Coast Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 17:15 Southport Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 17:15 Surfers Paradise Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 17:15 Broadbeach Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 17:15 West Burleigh Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 17:15 Burleigh Heads Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 17:15 Tumbulgum Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 17:15 Piggabeen Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 17:15 Bilambil Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 17:15 North Tumbulgum Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 17:15 Palm Beach Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 17:15 Currumbin Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 17:15 Tugun Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 17:15 Terranora Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 17:15 Bilinga Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 17:15 Stotts Creek Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 17:15 Tweed Heads Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 17:15 Coolangatta Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 17:15 Kingscliff-Fingal Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 17:15 Cudgen Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 17:15 Chinderah Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 17:15 Kingscliff Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 15:45 Farnborough Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 15:45 Yeppoon Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 15:45 Kinka Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 14:15 Coowonga Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 14:15 Coorooman Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 14:15 Broadmount Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 14:15 Keppel Sands Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 14:15 Emu Park Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 14:00 Basima Papua New Guinea  0.2
12 Feb 2020 12:30 Port Alma Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 15:15 Southend Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 17:30 Moondarewa Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 15:00 Benaraby Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 15:00 Boyne Island Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:30 Kaduaga Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:30 Losuia Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 15:00 Gladstone Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 15:00 Toolooa Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 15:00 Parsons Point Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 14:00 Wataluma Mission and Plantation Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 15:15 Ouasse New Caledonia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 16:00 Tiabet New Caledonia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 16:15 Poum-Plage New Caledonia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 12:15 Bustard Head Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 12:45 Tewantin Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 12:45 Noosaville Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 12:45 Coolum Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 12:45 Coolum Beach Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 12:45 Noosa Heads Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 16:15 Ouanache New Caledonia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 16:15 Paola New Caledonia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 16:15 Vieux Tuho New Caledonia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 16:15 Touho New Caledonia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 16:15 Kokengone New Caledonia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 16:30 Seventeen Seventy Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:30 Daguala Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:30 Samarai Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:30 Sidudu Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:30 Magesina Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:30 Sideia I Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:30 Tegerauna Mission Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:30 Bedauna Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 12:00 Fairymead Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 12:00 Port Bundaberg Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 12:00 The Grange Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 12:00 Burnett Heads Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 12:00 Bargara Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 16:00 Houone New Caledonia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 12:45 Maroochydore Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 12:45 Mooloolaba Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 15:30 Zambanarungga Solomon Islands  0.1
12 Feb 2020 15:30 Vure Solomon Islands  0.1
12 Feb 2020 15:30 Boemboe Solomon Islands  0.1
12 Feb 2020 15:30 Rob Roy I Solomon Islands  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:30 Alotau Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:30 Daio Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:30 Toulie Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:30 Kaloi Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:30 Awaiama Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:30 Aigubu Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:30 Iapoa Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:30 Kilakilana School Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:30 Piori Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:30 Wapulamutana Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:30 Lelehudi Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:30 Hiliwau Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:30 Gaduda Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:45 Waibula Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 16:00 Saint-Denis New Caledonia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 16:00 Poindimie New Caledonia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 16:00 Ometteux New Caledonia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 16:00 Bayes New Caledonia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:30 Kasabanalua Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 12:00 Redland Bay Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 12:00 Victoria Point Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 12:00 Coomera Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 12:00 Woongoolba Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 12:00 Norwell Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 12:00 Steiglitz Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 12:00 Canalpin Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:45 Pihigole Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:00 Caloundra Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 12:00 Avondale Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 12:00 Moore Park Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:30 Hewiia Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 14:30 Yandina Solomon Islands  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:45 Tatala Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:15 Griffin Point Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:15 Madaua Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:15 Pantava Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:15 Bwagimogimo Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:15 Rambuso Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:30 Hekampan Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:30 Tagula Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 13:30 East C Papua New Guinea  0.1

Calculation folder at this link