Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DAMIEN-20
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DAMIEN-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population 20 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 155 km/h
Maximum storm surge 2.6 m (08 Feb 03:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 155 km/h 2.6 m 267 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 180 km/h 3.0 m 650 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

180 km/h

Up to 20 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Feb 2020 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 3Australia6719 
CAT. 2Australia11534 
CAT. 1Australia651 
Tropical StormAustralia20686 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Feb 2020 00:00 101 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 2 06 Feb 2020 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Feb 2020 12:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 06 Feb 2020 18:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 07 Feb 2020 00:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 07 Feb 2020 06:00 205 20 thousand
- - Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Feb 2020 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmAustralia24763 
100-250 mmAustralia3837 
50-100 mmAustralia10160 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Feb 2020 00:00 406 Few people
- - - - Australia
Blue 2 06 Feb 2020 06:00 398 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 06 Feb 2020 12:00 242 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 06 Feb 2020 18:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Feb 2020 00:00 171 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 07 Feb 2020 06:00 546 30 thousand
- - - Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

2.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  2.6m in Dampier, Australia. This height is estimated for 08 Feb 2020 03:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Feb 2020 06:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Feb 2020 03:45 Dampier Australia  2.6
08 Feb 2020 03:45 Karratha Australia  2.6
08 Feb 2020 06:30 East Lewis I Australia  2.3
08 Feb 2020 04:00 Wickham Australia  1.4
08 Feb 2020 04:00 Point Samson Australia  1.4
08 Feb 2020 04:00 Cossack Australia  1.4
07 Feb 2020 18:15 Port Hedland Australia  0.6
08 Feb 2020 01:00 Ah Chong I Australia  0.6
07 Feb 2020 10:15 Condon Australia  0.5
07 Feb 2020 12:45 Pardoo Australia  0.5
07 Feb 2020 12:15 Mardie Australia  0.4
07 Feb 2020 17:00 Albany Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 17:00 Emu Point Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 07:45 Derby Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 06:15 Thangoo Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 09:00 Onslow Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 06:45 Derby Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 11:45 Glenroy Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 10:45 Warroora Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 08:30 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 08:30 Waterbank Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 09:15 Broome Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 08:30 Gnaraloo Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 12:30 Exmouth Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 11:30 Learmonth Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 12:45 Latuna Indonesia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 12:45 Bagang Indonesia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 12:45 Toebal Indonesia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 12:45 Noehawaila Indonesia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 12:45 Tamelabang Indonesia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 12:45 Kabir Indonesia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 12:45 Maria Indonesia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 12:45 Alor-kecil Indonesia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 12:45 Tandjung Margeta Indonesia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 10:15 Cardabia Australia  0.2
09 Feb 2020 11:15 Eyre Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 06:00 Oakdale Australia  0.1
09 Feb 2020 11:15 Thundulda Australia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 06:00 Minarup Australia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 11:15 Ngalu Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 11:15 Tapil Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:45 Bundera Bundera Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 08:45 Denmark Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 08:45 Youngs Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:00 Parryville Australia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:30 Kencong Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:30 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:30 Batuulo Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 05:00 Hopetoun Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 05:00 Jerdacuttup Australia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:45 Brassan Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:45 Muntjar Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:45 Blimbing Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:45 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:45 Cupel Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 13:30 Ningaloo Australia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 09:00 Quobba Australia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 20:00 Pender Australia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 09:30 Carnarvon Australia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 09:00 Cape Cuvier Australia  0.1

Calculation folder at this link