Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DAMIEN-20
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DAMIEN-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population 20 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 166 km/h
Maximum storm surge 3.0 m (08 Feb 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 166 km/h 3.0 m 188 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 180 km/h 3.0 m 650 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

180 km/h

Up to 20 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Feb 2020 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 2Australia1869 
CAT. 1Australia22144 
Tropical StormAustralia21178 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Feb 2020 00:00 101 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 2 06 Feb 2020 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Feb 2020 12:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 06 Feb 2020 18:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 07 Feb 2020 00:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 07 Feb 2020 06:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 07 Feb 2020 12:00 162 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 8 07 Feb 2020 18:00 166 4 thousand
- - - - Australia
GREEN 9 08 Feb 2020 00:00 180 20 thousand
- - Australia
GREEN 10 08 Feb 2020 06:00 166 20 thousand
- - - Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Feb 2020 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmAustralia49 
100-250 mmAustralia12557 
50-100 mmAustralia5951 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Feb 2020 00:00 406 Few people
- - - - Australia
Blue 2 06 Feb 2020 06:00 398 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 06 Feb 2020 12:00 242 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 06 Feb 2020 18:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Feb 2020 00:00 171 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 07 Feb 2020 06:00 267 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 07 Feb 2020 12:00 320 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 8 07 Feb 2020 18:00 269 4 thousand
- - - - Australia
Blue 9 08 Feb 2020 00:00 229 Few people
- - - - Australia
Blue 10 08 Feb 2020 06:00 433 10 thousand
- - - Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  3.0m in Dampier, Australia. This height is estimated for 08 Feb 2020 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Feb 2020 06:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Feb 2020 06:00 Dampier Australia  3.0
08 Feb 2020 06:00 Karratha Australia  3.0
08 Feb 2020 06:00 East Lewis I Australia  1.9
08 Feb 2020 08:00 Wickham Australia  1.9
08 Feb 2020 08:00 Point Samson Australia  1.9
08 Feb 2020 08:00 Cossack Australia  1.9
08 Feb 2020 09:45 Port Hedland Australia  0.7
08 Feb 2020 06:30 Ah Chong I Australia  0.5
08 Feb 2020 10:30 Condon Australia  0.4
08 Feb 2020 11:15 Pardoo Australia  0.4
08 Feb 2020 10:45 Kencong Indonesia  0.2
08 Feb 2020 10:45 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.2
08 Feb 2020 09:45 Komodo Indonesia  0.2
08 Feb 2020 08:00 Thangoo Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2020 12:00 Lenteng Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 12:00 Rinca Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 07:15 Ngalu Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 07:15 Tapil Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 08:45 Denmark Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 08:45 Youngs Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 06:15 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 06:15 Waterbank Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 06:15 Broome Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 08:45 Parryville Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 10:15 Glenroy Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 08:30 Jerdacuttup Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 08:15 Hopetoun Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:30 Exmouth Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 08:45 Oakdale Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 08:45 Minarup Australia  0.1

Calculation folder at this link