Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DAMIEN-20
in Australia
06 Feb 2020 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DAMIEN-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population 20 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 2.4 m (08 Feb 03:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 68 km/h 2.4 m 69 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 155 km/h 2.6 m 385 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

155 km/h

Up to 30 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Feb 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Australia24,179 
Tropical StormAustralia25,715 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Feb 2020 00:00 148 20 thousand
- - - - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Feb 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia537,272
+
Indonesia503,694 
Timor-Leste3,796 
Australia29,782 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia9,806,529
+
Indonesia9,447,583 
Timor-Leste342,337 
Australia16,609 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Feb 2020 00:00 425 540 thousand
- - - - Indonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

2.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  2.4m in Dampier, Australia. This height is estimated for 08 Feb 2020 03:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Feb 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Feb 2020 03:45 Dampier Australia  2.4
08 Feb 2020 03:45 Karratha Australia  2.4
08 Feb 2020 04:00 Wickham Australia  2.0
08 Feb 2020 04:00 Point Samson Australia  2.0
08 Feb 2020 04:00 Cossack Australia  2.0
08 Feb 2020 03:00 Port Hedland Australia  1.0
08 Feb 2020 04:45 East Lewis I Australia  0.7
08 Feb 2020 02:15 Condon Australia  0.5
08 Feb 2020 01:00 Pardoo Australia  0.5
08 Feb 2020 00:00 Ah Chong I Australia  0.5
06 Feb 2020 09:45 Derby Australia  0.4
07 Feb 2020 16:30 Mardie Australia  0.4
06 Feb 2020 08:45 Derby Australia  0.4
06 Feb 2020 13:30 Albany Australia  0.4
06 Feb 2020 13:30 Emu Point Australia  0.4
07 Feb 2020 05:30 Thangoo Australia  0.3
06 Feb 2020 04:00 Pender Australia  0.3
06 Feb 2020 18:15 Waterbank Australia  0.2
06 Feb 2020 18:00 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.2
06 Feb 2020 18:00 Broome Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2020 03:45 Denmark Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2020 03:45 Youngs Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2020 03:30 Parryville Australia  0.2
06 Feb 2020 05:00 Kollan I Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2020 02:30 Onslow Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 08:30 Oakdale Australia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 08:45 Minarup Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 13:45 Glenroy Australia  0.1
06 Feb 2020 08:45 Komodo Indonesia  0.1
06 Feb 2020 04:45 Kencong Indonesia  0.1
06 Feb 2020 04:45 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 14:15 Exmouth Australia  0.1
06 Feb 2020 06:15 Muntjar Indonesia  0.1
06 Feb 2020 06:15 Blimbing Indonesia  0.1
06 Feb 2020 06:15 Dadapan Indonesia  0.1
06 Feb 2020 06:15 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.1
06 Feb 2020 06:15 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.1
06 Feb 2020 06:15 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.1
06 Feb 2020 06:15 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.1
06 Feb 2020 06:15 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.1
06 Feb 2020 06:15 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.1
06 Feb 2020 06:15 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.1
06 Feb 2020 06:15 Cupel Indonesia  0.1