Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DAMIEN-20
in Australia
07 Feb 2020 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DAMIEN-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population 20 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 119 km/h
Maximum storm surge 2.1 m (08 Feb 06:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 119 km/h 2.1 m 129 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 155 km/h 2.6 m 385 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

155 km/h

Up to 20 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Feb 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Australia19,043 
Tropical StormAustralia15,299 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Feb 2020 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Feb 2020 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Feb 2020 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 06 Feb 2020 18:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 07 Feb 2020 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 07 Feb 2020 06:00 119 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 7 07 Feb 2020 12:00 151 20 thousand
- - - - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Feb 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmAustralia18,251 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia292,732
+
Indonesia272,129 
Timor-Leste11,285 
Australia9,318 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia7,963,362
+
Indonesia7,505,437 
Timor-Leste439,919 
Australia18,006 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Feb 2020 00:00 69 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Feb 2020 06:00 195 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 06 Feb 2020 12:00 149 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 06 Feb 2020 18:00 100 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Feb 2020 00:00 121 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 6 07 Feb 2020 06:00 95 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 7 07 Feb 2020 12:00 323 310 thousand
- - - Indonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

2.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  2.1m in Dampier, Australia. This height is estimated for 08 Feb 2020 06:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Feb 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Feb 2020 06:15 Dampier Australia  2.1
08 Feb 2020 06:15 Karratha Australia  2.1
08 Feb 2020 05:00 East Lewis I Australia  1.6
08 Feb 2020 04:45 Wickham Australia  1.3
08 Feb 2020 04:45 Point Samson Australia  1.3
08 Feb 2020 04:45 Cossack Australia  1.3
08 Feb 2020 03:45 Ah Chong I Australia  0.8
07 Feb 2020 19:00 Port Hedland Australia  0.6
07 Feb 2020 14:30 Mardie Australia  0.4
07 Feb 2020 14:30 Condon Australia  0.4
07 Feb 2020 15:00 Pardoo Australia  0.4
07 Feb 2020 13:15 Albany Australia  0.3
07 Feb 2020 13:15 Emu Point Australia  0.3
09 Feb 2020 03:45 Thangoo Australia  0.2
09 Feb 2020 10:45 Derby Australia  0.2
09 Feb 2020 10:45 Derby Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2020 01:15 Onslow Australia  0.1
09 Feb 2020 06:15 Eyre Australia  0.1
09 Feb 2020 11:15 Thundulda Australia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 17:30 Oakdale Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 04:30 Minarup Australia  0.1
09 Feb 2020 02:45 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.1
09 Feb 2020 02:45 Waterbank Australia  0.1
09 Feb 2020 02:45 Broome Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 01:30 Glenroy Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 07:45 Denmark Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 07:45 Youngs Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 12:00 Jerdacuttup Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:00 Parryville Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 12:15 Hopetoun Australia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 12:30 Learmonth Australia  0.1