Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DAMIEN-20
in Australia
06 Feb 2020 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DAMIEN-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population 20 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 2.6 m (08 Feb 05:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 83 km/h 2.6 m 149 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 155 km/h 2.6 m 385 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

155 km/h

Up to 30 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Feb 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Australia24,712 
Tropical StormAustralia25,635 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Feb 2020 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Feb 2020 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Feb 2020 12:00 158 20 thousand
- - - - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Feb 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmAustralia14,936 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Australia55,744
+
Indonesia40,256 
Australia15,488 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia19,729,553
+
Indonesia19,260,582 
Timor-Leste460,813 
Australia8,158 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Feb 2020 00:00 69 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Feb 2020 06:00 195 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 06 Feb 2020 12:00 365 70 thousand
- - - Indonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

2.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  2.6m in Dampier, Australia. This height is estimated for 08 Feb 2020 05:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Feb 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Feb 2020 05:15 Dampier Australia  2.6
08 Feb 2020 05:15 Karratha Australia  2.6
08 Feb 2020 06:30 Wickham Australia  1.9
08 Feb 2020 06:30 Point Samson Australia  1.9
08 Feb 2020 06:30 Cossack Australia  1.9
08 Feb 2020 05:45 East Lewis I Australia  1.3
08 Feb 2020 02:45 Port Hedland Australia  0.7
08 Feb 2020 01:45 Ah Chong I Australia  0.7
07 Feb 2020 12:30 Mardie Australia  0.4
06 Feb 2020 17:30 Pardoo Australia  0.4
07 Feb 2020 04:45 Condon Australia  0.4
06 Feb 2020 13:30 Albany Australia  0.4
06 Feb 2020 13:30 Emu Point Australia  0.4
06 Feb 2020 12:00 Derby Australia  0.4
07 Feb 2020 05:00 Thangoo Australia  0.3
06 Feb 2020 12:00 Derby Australia  0.2
06 Feb 2020 17:45 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.2
06 Feb 2020 17:45 Waterbank Australia  0.2
06 Feb 2020 17:45 Broome Australia  0.2
09 Feb 2020 10:30 Eyre Australia  0.2
09 Feb 2020 10:45 Thundulda Australia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 11:00 Onslow Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:15 Denmark Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:15 Youngs Australia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 05:30 Oakdale Australia  0.1
06 Feb 2020 12:30 Komodo Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 08:30 Minarup Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 18:45 Glenroy Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:15 Parryville Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 12:00 Jerdacuttup Australia  0.1
06 Feb 2020 12:00 Pender Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 12:00 Hopetoun Australia  0.1
06 Feb 2020 12:30 Lenteng Indonesia  0.1
06 Feb 2020 12:30 Rinca Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 11:15 Exmouth Australia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 11:30 Learmonth Australia  0.1