Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HIKAA-19
in Oman, Saudi Arabia
24 Sep 2019 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HIKAA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Iran, Afghanistan, Oman
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (24 Sep 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 65 km/h 0.3 m 67 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 61 km/h 0.6 m 190 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

61 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIran, Afghanistan, Oman966
+
Iran24 
Afghanistan101 
Oman841 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Sep 2019 18:00 94 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Iran
GREEN 2 23 Sep 2019 00:00 86 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Iran
GREEN 3 23 Sep 2019 06:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Sep 2019 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Sep 2019 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 24 Sep 2019 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 24 Sep 2019 06:00 130 -
- - - - - Oman
GREEN 8 24 Sep 2019 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Oman
GREEN 9 24 Sep 2019 18:00 65 -
- - - - - Iran, Afghanistan, Oman
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmIndia, Ethiopia, South Sudan27,622,883
+
India16,695,265 
Ethiopia10,907,594 
South Sudan20,024 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Sep 2019 18:00 48 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Sep 2019 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 23 Sep 2019 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 23 Sep 2019 12:00 98 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 23 Sep 2019 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 24 Sep 2019 00:00 148 Few people
- - - - Maldives
Blue 7 24 Sep 2019 06:00 131 Few people
- - - - Oman, Maldives
Blue 8 24 Sep 2019 12:00 196 -
- - - - - Oman, Maldives
Blue 9 24 Sep 2019 18:00 218 -
- - - - - India, Ethiopia, South Sudan




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in As Sirab, Oman. This height is estimated for 24 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Sep 2019 18:00 As Sirab Oman  0.3
24 Sep 2019 18:00 Nafun Oman  0.3
24 Sep 2019 20:30 Al Khaluf Oman  0.2
24 Sep 2019 20:30 Filim Oman  0.2
24 Sep 2019 18:00 Duqm Oman  0.2
24 Sep 2019 23:30 Al Qatif Saudi Arabia  0.2
24 Sep 2019 23:30 Ank Saudi Arabia  0.2
24 Sep 2019 23:30 Sayhat Saudi Arabia  0.2
24 Sep 2019 23:30 Tarut Saudi Arabia  0.2
24 Sep 2019 23:30 Al 'Adamah Saudi Arabia  0.2
24 Sep 2019 23:30 Ad Dammam Saudi Arabia  0.2
24 Sep 2019 23:30 Ar Rakah Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Al Fanatir Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Al Jubayl Industrial City Saudi Arabia  0.2
24 Sep 2019 23:30 Najmah Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Pahel Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Bandar-e Laft Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Laft Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Payi Pusht Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Umm Said Qatar  0.2
24 Sep 2019 20:00 Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.2
24 Sep 2019 20:00 As Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.2
24 Sep 2019 19:00 Ra's Munaysif Saudi Arabia  0.1
24 Sep 2019 19:00 Al Aziziyah Saudi Arabia  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Bandar-e Dargaham Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Dogerdan Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 20:00 Umm Bab Qatar  0.1
24 Sep 2019 20:00 Qasasil Qatar  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Al Khawwari Saudi Arabia  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Manifah Saudi Arabia  0.1
24 Sep 2019 23:15 Ghizlan Saudi Arabia  0.1
24 Sep 2019 23:00 Al Jubayl Saudi Arabia  0.1
24 Sep 2019 19:45 Dukhan Qatar  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Salmbad Bahrain  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Al Seef Bahrain  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Jidd Hafs Bahrain  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Al Manamah Bahrain  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Al Juffayr Bahrain  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Al Muharraq Bahrain  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Al Busaytin Bahrain  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 'Arad Bahrain  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Qalali Bahrain  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Al Hidd Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 19:15 Bu Lifiyat United Arab Emirates  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:00 Al Uqayr Saudi Arabia  0.1
24 Sep 2019 22:30 Akri India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:00 Ar Rumaythah Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:00 Az Zallaq Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:00 Hamad Town Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:00 Al Budayyi Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:00 Ad Diraz Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:00 Al Qurayyah Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:00 Badi Jamrah Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:00 Barbar Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:00 Karranah Bahrain  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Sitrah Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:00 Bandar-e Guran Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:00 Salagh Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:00 Tabl Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:00 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Al Wakrah Qatar  0.1
24 Sep 2019 19:15 Al Mish ab Saudi Arabia  0.1
24 Sep 2019 23:00 Zahr United Arab Emirates  0.1
24 Sep 2019 23:00 Dasah United Arab Emirates  0.1
24 Sep 2019 19:00 Ras all Khafji Saudi Arabia  0.1
24 Sep 2019 20:15 Ar Ruways United Arab Emirates  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Abu az Zuluf Qatar  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Madinat ash Shamal Qatar  0.1
24 Sep 2019 22:15 Kabgan Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 22:15 Bariku Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Al Ghariyah Qatar  0.1
24 Sep 2019 22:15 Hadakan Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Manfadh al Khafji Saudi Arabia  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Ad Dawhah Qatar  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:30 Mina Said Kuwait  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 'Ayn Sinan Qatar  0.1
24 Sep 2019 22:00 Dorud Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 22:00 Mal Konzeh Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 New Kandla India  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Navlakhi India  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Ad Dur Bahrain  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Jaww Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 22:15 Bonju Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 20:00 Al Khawr Qatar  0.1
24 Sep 2019 20:00 Dakhira Qatar  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:30 Al Ad'ami Kuwait  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Kangan Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Bibi Khatun Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Qa Eh Dir Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Banak Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Botkhaneh Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Tonbak Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 22:15 Buol Kheyr Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Akhtar Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 22:15 Rustami Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Bandar-e Tahari Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Poozeh Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Asaluyeh Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Nay Band Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 22:15 Bashi Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 19:15 Al Funnayhil Kuwait  0.1
24 Sep 2019 19:15 Mina Abd Allah Kuwait  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Gheverzeh Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Cumbeiba Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Sahelia Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Nocra Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Jimhil Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 19:00 Al Funaytis Kuwait  0.1
24 Sep 2019 22:15 Delvar Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 22:15 Madumari Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Port Smyth Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Debealuwa Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Bhagva India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Olpad India  0.1
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Zeyarat Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 22:00 Ras-e Halieh Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 21:45 Heleylah Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 21:45 Rustami Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Delemme Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 19:00 Az Zawr Kuwait  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:00 Ad Dasma' Kuwait  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:00 Al Kuwayt Kuwait  0.1