Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HIKAA-19
in Oman, Saudi Arabia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HIKAA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Afghanistan, Oman
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 104 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (24 Sep 15:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 104 km/h 0.6 m 196 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 61 km/h 0.6 m 190 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

61 km/h

Up to 20 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAfghanistan, Oman18,177
+
Afghanistan344 
Oman17,833 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Sep 2019 18:00 94 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Iran
GREEN 2 23 Sep 2019 00:00 86 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Iran
GREEN 3 23 Sep 2019 06:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Sep 2019 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Sep 2019 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 24 Sep 2019 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 24 Sep 2019 06:00 130 -
- - - - - Oman
GREEN 8 24 Sep 2019 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Oman
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndia, Maldives2,430,604
+
India2,426,076 
Maldives4,528 
50-100 mmIndia, Oman, Yemen, Ethiopia, South Sudan, Maldives28,323,499
+
India14,345,305 
Oman32 
Yemen34,216 
Ethiopia13,212,246 
South Sudan683,981 
Maldives47,719 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Sep 2019 18:00 48 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Sep 2019 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 23 Sep 2019 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 23 Sep 2019 12:00 98 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 23 Sep 2019 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 24 Sep 2019 00:00 148 Few people
- - - - Maldives
Blue 7 24 Sep 2019 06:00 131 Few people
- - - - Oman, Maldives
Blue 8 24 Sep 2019 12:00 360 2.4 million
- - - - India, Oman, Yemen, Ethiopia, South Sudan, Maldives




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Al Khaluf, Oman. This height is estimated for 24 Sep 2019 15:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Sep 2019 15:15 Al Khaluf Oman  0.6
24 Sep 2019 15:15 Filim Oman  0.6
24 Sep 2019 15:00 As Sirab Oman  0.5
24 Sep 2019 14:45 Nafun Oman  0.3
24 Sep 2019 16:00 New Kandla India  0.3
24 Sep 2019 16:00 Navlakhi India  0.3
25 Sep 2019 12:00 Bandar-e Khomeyni Iran  0.3
26 Sep 2019 14:30 Al Jahra Kuwait  0.3
27 Sep 2019 06:45 Kavi India  0.3
27 Sep 2019 06:45 Tankari India  0.3
25 Sep 2019 13:15 Nahr-e Azraq Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 13:15 Kut al Hau Basluu Iraq  0.2
25 Sep 2019 13:15 Al Qushlah Iraq  0.2
25 Sep 2019 13:15 Nahr-e Abu Fulus Iran  0.2
24 Sep 2019 14:45 Duqm Oman  0.2
25 Sep 2019 13:45 Shumaymah Kuwait  0.2
25 Sep 2019 12:45 Chatleh Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 13:15 Ad Dasma' Kuwait  0.2
25 Sep 2019 13:15 Al Kuwayt Kuwait  0.2
25 Sep 2019 12:15 Bu Taheri Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 12:15 Emamzadeh Shah Abdolah Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 12:15 Bandar-e Deylam Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 12:15 Lilitin Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 12:30 Al Funaytis Kuwait  0.2
25 Sep 2019 12:30 Az Zawr Kuwait  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:45 Bushehr Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:45 Jezireh-ye Abbasak Iran  0.2
24 Sep 2019 13:00 Bu Lifiyat United Arab Emirates  0.2
27 Sep 2019 08:30 Asarsa India  0.2
27 Sep 2019 08:30 Dahej India  0.2
27 Sep 2019 08:30 Harinagar India  0.2
27 Sep 2019 08:30 Muler India  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:45 Heleylah Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:45 Rustami Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 11:30 Hesar Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 11:30 Al Funnayhil Kuwait  0.2
25 Sep 2019 11:45 Mina Abd Allah Kuwait  0.2
24 Sep 2019 14:00 Al Kalban Oman  0.2
26 Sep 2019 01:15 Umm Said Qatar  0.2
27 Sep 2019 08:30 Ghogha India  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:15 Ras-e Halieh Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:15 Delvar Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:15 Madumari Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:15 Bashi Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 11:00 Al Ad'ami Kuwait  0.2
25 Sep 2019 11:00 Mina Said Kuwait  0.2
25 Sep 2019 11:15 Bang Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 11:15 Khalifeh Iran  0.2
24 Sep 2019 15:45 Tuna India  0.2
25 Sep 2019 14:30 Al Khawwari Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 14:30 Manifah Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 11:00 Manfadh al Khafji Saudi Arabia  0.2
24 Sep 2019 13:30 Abu Dhabi United Arab Emirates  0.2
25 Sep 2019 09:45 Ganaveh Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 09:45 Bandar-e Rig Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 09:45 Jalireh Iran  0.2
24 Sep 2019 14:30 Jazirah United Arab Emirates  0.2
24 Sep 2019 14:30 Tarif United Arab Emirates  0.2
25 Sep 2019 11:15 Ras all Khafji Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 11:15 Al Mish ab Saudi Arabia  0.2
24 Sep 2019 16:30 Pahel Iran  0.2
24 Sep 2019 16:30 Bandar-e Laft Iran  0.2
24 Sep 2019 16:30 Laft Iran  0.2
24 Sep 2019 16:30 Payi Pusht Iran  0.2
26 Sep 2019 01:15 Al Wakrah Qatar  0.2
26 Sep 2019 01:15 Ad Dawhah Qatar  0.2
27 Sep 2019 12:00 Damka India  0.2
27 Sep 2019 12:00 Surat India  0.2
27 Sep 2019 12:00 Jalalpur India  0.2
25 Sep 2019 09:45 Jazireh Khark Iran  0.2
24 Sep 2019 14:45 Al Marfa United Arab Emirates  0.2
25 Sep 2019 14:15 Al Fanatir Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 14:15 Al Jubayl Industrial City Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:00 Ramleh Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 14:00 Al Qatif Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 14:00 Ank Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 14:00 Sayhat Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 14:00 Tarut Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 14:00 Al 'Adamah Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 14:00 Ad Dammam Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 14:00 Ar Rakah Saudi Arabia  0.2
24 Sep 2019 16:15 Bandar-e Dargaham Iran  0.2
24 Sep 2019 16:15 Dogerdan Iran  0.2
27 Sep 2019 03:15 Bhagva India  0.2
27 Sep 2019 03:15 Olpad India  0.2
24 Sep 2019 15:15 Jambura India  0.2
26 Sep 2019 03:00 Al Khawr Qatar  0.2
26 Sep 2019 03:00 Dakhira Qatar  0.2
24 Sep 2019 23:30 Najmah Saudi Arabia  0.2
24 Sep 2019 13:30 Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.2
24 Sep 2019 13:30 As Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.2
27 Sep 2019 12:00 Kambhat India  0.2
27 Sep 2019 12:00 Sarod India  0.2
26 Sep 2019 15:00 Harag Jid Somalia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 02:15 Al Manamah Bahrain  0.2
25 Sep 2019 02:15 Al Juffayr Bahrain  0.2
25 Sep 2019 02:15 Al Muharraq Bahrain  0.2
25 Sep 2019 02:15 Sitrah Bahrain  0.2
25 Sep 2019 02:15 Al Busaytin Bahrain  0.2
25 Sep 2019 02:15 'Arad Bahrain  0.2
25 Sep 2019 02:15 Qalali Bahrain  0.2
25 Sep 2019 02:15 Al Hidd Bahrain  0.2
26 Sep 2019 15:00 Alela Eritrea  0.2
26 Sep 2019 15:00 Aseb Eritrea  0.2
26 Sep 2019 15:00 Aylu Eritrea  0.2
24 Sep 2019 15:00 Shuwayr Oman  0.2
24 Sep 2019 13:45 Umm Bab Qatar  0.2
26 Sep 2019 16:30 Takhushih Somalia  0.2
26 Sep 2019 16:30 Saylac Somalia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:00 Rustami Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:00 Buol Kheyr Iran  0.2
26 Sep 2019 16:30 Djibouti Djibouti  0.2
26 Sep 2019 16:30 Loyado Djibouti  0.2
24 Sep 2019 13:45 Qasasil Qatar  0.2
26 Sep 2019 03:30 Zahr United Arab Emirates  0.2
25 Sep 2019 19:30 Ra's Munaysif Saudi Arabia  0.2
26 Sep 2019 03:30 Dasah United Arab Emirates  0.2
25 Sep 2019 13:30 Al Jubayl Saudi Arabia  0.2
24 Sep 2019 13:00 Aramda India  0.2
25 Sep 2019 01:45 Salmbad Bahrain  0.1
25 Sep 2019 01:45 Al Seef Bahrain  0.1
25 Sep 2019 01:45 Jidd Hafs Bahrain  0.1
25 Sep 2019 19:45 Al Aziziyah Saudi Arabia  0.1
27 Sep 2019 12:00 Kotada India  0.1
25 Sep 2019 13:15 Ghizlan Saudi Arabia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:15 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.1
24 Sep 2019 15:00 Sika India  0.1
27 Sep 2019 11:45 Udvada India  0.1
25 Sep 2019 10:00 Bonju Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 03:30 Mal Konzeh Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 03:30 Botkhaneh Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 03:30 Bibi Khatun Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 22:30 Akri India  0.1
25 Sep 2019 10:30 Hadakan Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 13:45 Dukhan Qatar  0.1
25 Sep 2019 01:15 Abu az Zuluf Qatar  0.1
25 Sep 2019 01:15 Madinat ash Shamal Qatar  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:30 Obock Djibouti  0.1
27 Sep 2019 12:00 Daman India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 17:00 Al Budayyi Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 17:00 Ad Diraz Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 17:00 Al Qurayyah Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 17:00 Badi Jamrah Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 17:00 Barbar Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 17:00 Az Zallaq Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 17:00 Hamad Town Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 17:00 Karranah Bahrain  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:15 Fagal Djibouti  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:15 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.1
25 Sep 2019 03:00 Qa Eh Dir Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 03:00 Banak Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 15:00 Mundra India  0.1
25 Sep 2019 03:15 Kangan Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 10:45 Bariku Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 03:00 Ad Dur Bahrain  0.1
25 Sep 2019 03:00 Jaww Bahrain  0.1
25 Sep 2019 02:15 Al Ghariyah Qatar  0.1
25 Sep 2019 02:15 'Ayn Sinan Qatar  0.1
25 Sep 2019 10:45 Kabgan Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 17:00 Ar Rumaythah Bahrain  0.1
25 Sep 2019 03:15 Tonbak Iran  0.1
27 Sep 2019 12:00 Maroli India  0.1
25 Sep 2019 04:15 Dorud Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 16:45 Al Uqayr Saudi Arabia  0.1
27 Sep 2019 12:00 Mahuva India  0.1
25 Sep 2019 03:00 Akhtar Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 14:00 Chudeswar India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 14:00 Salaya India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 14:00 Jhankhar India  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:45 Biyafoge Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:45 Sheikh Ali Idris Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:45 Bullaxaar Somalia  0.1
25 Sep 2019 02:45 Bandar-e Tahari Iran  0.1
27 Sep 2019 12:00 Umbargam India  0.1
25 Sep 2019 19:00 Ar Ruways United Arab Emirates  0.1
27 Sep 2019 12:00 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.1
25 Sep 2019 02:45 Poozeh Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:30 Anteral Somalia  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:00 Bandar-e Guran Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:00 Salagh Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:00 Tabl Iran  0.1
27 Sep 2019 12:00 Bordi India  0.1
25 Sep 2019 02:30 Asaluyeh Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 02:30 Nay Band Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:45 Geeri Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:00 Berbera Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:00 Batalaale Somalia  0.1
27 Sep 2019 12:00 Gholvad India  0.1
25 Sep 2019 02:00 Gheverzeh Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 14:15 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
24 Sep 2019 14:15 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
26 Sep 2019 14:45 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:30 Mayyun Yemen  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:30 Murad Yemen  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:30 Ankhor Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:30 Dagah Gudud Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:30 Al Hajaf Yemen  0.1
24 Sep 2019 14:15 Navinal India  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:45 Carmaale Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:45 Hadeytacawl Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:45 Sabawanaag Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:00 Lughaye Somalia  0.1
24 Sep 2019 12:30 Arzeni Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:30 Al Bahiyah Yemen  0.1
25 Sep 2019 02:00 Zeyarat Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:00 Qa'wa Yemen  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:00 Madinat ash Shab Yemen  0.1
27 Sep 2019 12:00 Malyan India  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:30 Muhammad 'Ali Bin Fatha Sumana Yemen  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:00 'Imran Yemen  0.1
24 Sep 2019 13:45 Qeshm Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 13:45 Bandar Abbas Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 12:15 Sur Masirah Oman  0.1
24 Sep 2019 12:15 'Urf Oman  0.1
24 Sep 2019 12:15 Mursays Oman  0.1
24 Sep 2019 12:15 Hiql Oman  0.1
24 Sep 2019 12:15 Dawwah Oman  0.1
24 Sep 2019 12:15 Maghilah Oman  0.1
24 Sep 2019 12:15 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
25 Sep 2019 01:45 Bandar-e Bostaneh Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 01:45 Dehriz Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 13:30 Hormoz Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 13:45 Hundegal Somalia  0.1
27 Sep 2019 12:00 Jafarabad India  0.1
25 Sep 2019 06:30 Dagabta Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 13:30 Bhadia India  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:45 Seyara Somalia  0.1
24 Sep 2019 13:00 Mandvi India  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:00 Ari Adeso Somalia  0.1
24 Sep 2019 13:00 Khargun Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 01:45 Bandar-e Magam Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:00 Al Mansuri Yemen  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:00 Khormaksar Yemen  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:00 Kraytar Yemen  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:00 'Adan Yemen  0.1
26 Sep 2019 01:30 Hendarabi Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:30 Mulaax Beyle Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:15 Ghadir Yemen  0.1
25 Sep 2019 10:30 Khamir Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 01:00 Bagh Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 01:00 Safain Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:45 Maallah Yemen  0.1
24 Sep 2019 12:30 Gadechi India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 12:30 Okha India  0.1
26 Sep 2019 01:15 Bandar-e Chiru Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:15 Bandar Jedid Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 00:45 Masheh Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 14:45 Dhubab Yemen  0.1
25 Sep 2019 06:45 Rasa Eritrea  0.1
27 Sep 2019 12:00 Tarapur India  0.1
25 Sep 2019 10:15 Chahu Shomali Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Cumbeiba Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Sahelia Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Nocra Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Jimhil Eritrea  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:30 Hais Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:00 Beylu Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Port Smyth Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Debealuwa Eritrea  0.1
26 Sep 2019 00:15 Tasuneh Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:00 Quddam Yemen  0.1
25 Sep 2019 10:00 Basaidu Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 10:00 Dustku Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:30 Maydh Somalia  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Delemme Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 15:00 Caluula Somalia  0.1
24 Sep 2019 15:00 Boho Somalia  0.1
24 Sep 2019 15:00 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.1
24 Sep 2019 12:00 Ghalat Oman  0.1
24 Sep 2019 21:45 Nalasopara India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 21:45 Agashi India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 21:45 Dongri India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 21:45 Vasai India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 21:45 Mira Bhayandar India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 21:45 Navghar India  0.1
25 Sep 2019 10:00 Bandar Suflin Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 05:00 Umm al Qaywayn United Arab Emirates  0.1
24 Sep 2019 13:30 Larak Kuhi Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 12:30 Suthri India  0.1