Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HIKAA-19
in Oman, Saudi Arabia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HIKAA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Oman
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (23 Sep 14:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 79 km/h 0.3 m 215 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 58 km/h 0.7 m 274 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

58 km/h

Up to 2 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormOman1,743 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Sep 2019 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Sep 2019 12:00 76 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Iran
GREEN 3 23 Sep 2019 00:00 79 -
- - - - - Afghanistan
GREEN 4 23 Sep 2019 12:00 94 -
- - - - - Oman
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndia, Ethiopia1,228,439
+
India1,224,779 
Ethiopia3,660 
50-100 mmPakistan, India, Oman, Ethiopia, Maldives14,151,090
+
Pakistan2,684 
India11,493,188 
Oman03 
Ethiopia2,550,784 
Maldives104,431 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Sep 2019 00:00 210 -
- - - - - Iran, India
Blue 2 22 Sep 2019 12:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 23 Sep 2019 00:00 161 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 23 Sep 2019 12:00 248 1.2 million
- - - - Pakistan, India, Oman, Ethiopia, Maldives




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in New Kandla, India. This height is estimated for 23 Sep 2019 14:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Sep 2019 14:15 New Kandla India  0.3
23 Sep 2019 14:15 Navlakhi India  0.3
23 Sep 2019 17:15 Suthri India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 12:15 Akri India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 14:00 Tuna India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 17:15 Bu Lifiyat United Arab Emirates  0.2
23 Sep 2019 13:15 Jambura India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Kambhat India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Kavi India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Sarod India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 14:15 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.2
23 Sep 2019 17:15 Gadechi India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 17:15 Okha India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 17:15 Aramda India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 17:15 Arzeni Iran  0.2
23 Sep 2019 14:15 Pahel Iran  0.2
23 Sep 2019 14:15 Bandar-e Laft Iran  0.2
23 Sep 2019 14:15 Laft Iran  0.2
23 Sep 2019 14:15 Payi Pusht Iran  0.2
23 Sep 2019 13:00 Sika India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 17:00 Mandvi India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Jazirah United Arab Emirates  0.2
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Tarif United Arab Emirates  0.2
23 Sep 2019 13:00 Mundra India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 12:15 Al Marfa United Arab Emirates  0.2
23 Sep 2019 14:15 Bandar-e Dargaham Iran  0.2
23 Sep 2019 14:15 Dogerdan Iran  0.2
23 Sep 2019 20:00 Tankari India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 17:00 Khargun Iran  0.2
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Navinal India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 16:45 Al Khaluf Oman  0.2
23 Sep 2019 16:45 Filim Oman  0.2
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Bhadia India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 15:45 Dawwah Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 15:45 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 15:45 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 15:45 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:15 Chudeswar India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:15 Salaya India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:15 Jhankhar India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 17:30 Abu Dhabi United Arab Emirates  0.1
23 Sep 2019 16:30 Bhagva India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 16:30 Olpad India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 15:15 As Sirab Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 14:45 Dwarka India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 14:45 Madhi India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 19:45 Dagabta Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 15:30 Damka India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 15:30 Surat India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 15:30 Jalalpur India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 15:15 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 15:15 Ra's ar Ru'ays Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 19:30 Rasa Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 16:00 Keti Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:30 Tarapur India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:30 Shirgaon India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:30 Palghar India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:30 Mahim India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 20:45 Mora Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 20:45 Horena Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 20:45 Miida Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 20:45 Sahli Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 20:45 Tio Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:30 Malyan India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 00:00 Mahuva India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 00:00 Kotada India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 17:15 Hormoz Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Qeshm Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Bandar Abbas Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 15:30 Loyado Djibouti  0.1
23 Sep 2019 15:30 Takhushih Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 15:30 Saylac Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:00 Al Qatif Saudi Arabia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:00 Ank Saudi Arabia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:00 Sayhat Saudi Arabia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:00 Tarut Saudi Arabia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:00 Al 'Adamah Saudi Arabia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:00 Ad Dammam Saudi Arabia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:00 Ar Rakah Saudi Arabia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 15:15 Umm Said Qatar  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:30 Gholvad India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 17:00 Zahr United Arab Emirates  0.1
23 Sep 2019 17:00 Dasah United Arab Emirates  0.1
23 Sep 2019 17:00 Ar Ruways United Arab Emirates  0.1
23 Sep 2019 14:30 Bhogat India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 14:30 Lamba India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 19:45 Doleh Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 20:00 Debealuwa Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 15:00 Harag Jid Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:45 Bordi India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:45 Umbargam India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:45 Maroli India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:15 Nalasopara India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:15 Agashi India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 16:30 Had Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 19:15 Mersa Fatma Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 19:15 Badeda Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 19:30 Port Smyth Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 16:30 Miyani India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 19:15 Diwalu Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:45 Daman India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:45 Udvada India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 22:45 Lakabi Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 22:45 Qaysad Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 17:00 Al Khawkhah Yemen  0.1
23 Sep 2019 17:00 Maushij Yemen  0.1
23 Sep 2019 17:00 Jirdan Yemen  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:30 Sharkh Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 17:30 Jhol Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 17:00 Yakhtul Yemen  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:45 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:30 Bandar-e Guran Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:30 Salagh Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:30 Tabl Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 19:30 Delemme Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:30 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 15:15 Djibouti Djibouti  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:15 Jimeirah United Arab Emirates  0.1
23 Sep 2019 14:00 Dubai United Arab Emirates  0.1
23 Sep 2019 14:00 Ash Shariqah United Arab Emirates  0.1
23 Sep 2019 14:00 Ajman United Arab Emirates  0.1