Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HIKAA-19
in Oman, Saudi Arabia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HIKAA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Afghanistan, Iran, Oman
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (22 Sep 12:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 76 km/h 0.7 m 121 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 58 km/h 0.7 m 274 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

58 km/h

Up to 20 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAfghanistan, Iran, Oman24,268
+
Afghanistan20,533 
Iran2,685 
Oman1,050 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Sep 2019 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Sep 2019 12:00 97 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Iran, Oman
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndia, Ethiopia, Maldives3,095,747
+
India3,068,188 
Ethiopia17,275 
Maldives10,284 
50-100 mmIran, Pakistan, India, Ethiopia, Maldives13,499,473
+
Iran99,808 
Pakistan4,164 
India9,888,264 
Ethiopia3,409,768 
Maldives97,469 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Sep 2019 00:00 210 -
- - - - - Iran, India
Blue 2 22 Sep 2019 12:00 317 3.1 million
- - - - Iran, Pakistan, India, Ethiopia, Maldives




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Kavi, India. This height is estimated for 22 Sep 2019 12:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
22 Sep 2019 12:30 Kavi India  0.7
22 Sep 2019 12:30 Tankari India  0.7
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Asarsa India  0.5
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Dahej India  0.5
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Harinagar India  0.5
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Muler India  0.5
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Ghogha India  0.5
22 Sep 2019 15:45 Kambhat India  0.4
22 Sep 2019 15:45 Sarod India  0.4
22 Sep 2019 12:15 Bhagva India  0.3
22 Sep 2019 12:15 Olpad India  0.3
22 Sep 2019 14:15 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.3
22 Sep 2019 14:15 Mahuva India  0.3
22 Sep 2019 23:30 New Kandla India  0.3
22 Sep 2019 23:30 Navlakhi India  0.3
22 Sep 2019 14:15 Kotada India  0.3
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Damka India  0.3
22 Sep 2019 15:00 Jafarabad India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Surat India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Jalalpur India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 12:15 Nalasopara India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 12:15 Agashi India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 12:15 Dongri India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 12:15 Vasai India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 12:15 Mira Bhayandar India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 12:15 Navghar India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 14:30 Rohisa India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 14:15 Dharabandar India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Malad India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Trombay India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Shirgaon India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Palghar India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Mahim India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 20:30 Aramda India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 12:15 Udvada India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Mumbai India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Asumumbay India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Mandve India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Uran India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 12:30 Daman India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 19:15 Suthri India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 13:00 Bordi India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 13:00 Umbargam India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 13:00 Maroli India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 12:30 Gholvad India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 12:30 Malyan India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 21:00 Lamba India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 21:00 Miyani India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Tarapur India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 13:45 Delvada India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 13:45 Nawabandar India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 17:15 Ratia India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 17:15 Gorser India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 17:15 Shil India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 17:15 Adodar India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 20:45 Porbandar India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 16:45 Pahel Iran  0.2
22 Sep 2019 16:45 Bandar-e Laft Iran  0.2
22 Sep 2019 16:45 Laft Iran  0.2
22 Sep 2019 16:45 Payi Pusht Iran  0.2
22 Sep 2019 17:15 Mangrol India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 16:30 Bandar-e Dargaham Iran  0.2
22 Sep 2019 16:30 Dogerdan Iran  0.2
23 Sep 2019 00:00 Tuna India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Chorwad India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Veraval India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Somnath India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Sutrapada India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Kotra Nes India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Dangarvadi India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 21:30 Bhogat India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 17:30 Madhi India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Lodhwa India  0.2
22 Sep 2019 20:15 Gadechi India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 20:15 Okha India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 00:00 Dwarka India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Kodinar India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 13:15 Agar Panchaitan India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 13:15 Srivardhan India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 20:30 Arzeni Iran  0.1
22 Sep 2019 17:00 Harag Jid Somalia  0.1
22 Sep 2019 23:30 Jambura India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 13:30 Murud India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 20:00 Mandvi India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 13:15 Revadanda India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 19:00 Khalil Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 19:00 Tawi Bedi Guish Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 19:00 Khadra' Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 19:00 As Suwayq Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 19:00 Al Mudayq Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 13:15 Bankot India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 13:15 Kelshi India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 12:30 Anjanwel India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 20:15 Khargun Iran  0.1
22 Sep 2019 18:00 Dawanij Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 18:00 Al Liwa Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 18:00 Suhar Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 12:30 Guhagar India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 13:00 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 18:15 Takhushih Somalia  0.1
22 Sep 2019 18:15 Saylac Somalia  0.1
22 Sep 2019 20:30 Bhadia India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 13:45 Alibag India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 00:00 Mundra India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 00:00 Sika India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 20:30 Navinal India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 14:45 Dagabta Eritrea  0.1
22 Sep 2019 20:45 Bandar-e Khomeyni Iran  0.1
22 Sep 2019 19:30 Filim Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 15:00 Rasa Eritrea  0.1
22 Sep 2019 12:15 Boria India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 13:45 Qeshm Iran  0.1
22 Sep 2019 13:45 Bandar Abbas Iran  0.1
22 Sep 2019 13:45 Jazirah United Arab Emirates  0.1
22 Sep 2019 13:45 Tarif United Arab Emirates  0.1
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Bandar-e Guran Iran  0.1
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Salagh Iran  0.1
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Tabl Iran  0.1
22 Sep 2019 18:00 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.1
22 Sep 2019 18:45 Berizak Iran  0.1
22 Sep 2019 18:15 Djibouti Djibouti  0.1
22 Sep 2019 18:15 Loyado Djibouti  0.1
22 Sep 2019 14:00 Hormoz Iran  0.1
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Jhol Pakistan  0.1
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Mirya India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Ratnagiri India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 13:15 Bu Lifiyat United Arab Emirates  0.1
22 Sep 2019 14:00 Al Marfa United Arab Emirates  0.1
22 Sep 2019 17:45 Fagal Djibouti  0.1
22 Sep 2019 17:45 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.1
22 Sep 2019 17:45 Muhammad 'Ali Bin Fatha Sumana Yemen  0.1
22 Sep 2019 17:45 Al Hajaf Yemen  0.1
22 Sep 2019 17:30 Marmagao India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 17:30 Vasco Da Gama India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 17:30 Panaji India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 17:30 Agacaim India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 17:30 Madgaon India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 18:00 Al Bahiyah Yemen  0.1
22 Sep 2019 17:45 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
22 Sep 2019 17:45 Murad Yemen  0.1
22 Sep 2019 17:45 Mayyun Yemen  0.1
22 Sep 2019 12:00 Jaigarh India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 21:30 Chudeswar India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 21:30 Salaya India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 21:30 Jhankhar India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 15:15 Mersa Fatma Eritrea  0.1
22 Sep 2019 15:15 Badeda Eritrea  0.1
22 Sep 2019 18:00 Obock Djibouti  0.1
22 Sep 2019 18:30 Manumah Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 18:30 Sib Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 18:30 Mawalis Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 15:00 Diwalu Eritrea  0.1
22 Sep 2019 19:45 Khamir Iran  0.1