Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HIKAA-19
in Oman, Saudi Arabia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HIKAA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Afghanistan, Oman, Yemen
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 97 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (24 Sep 17:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 97 km/h 0.8 m 148 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 61 km/h 0.6 m 190 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

61 km/h

Up to 50 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAfghanistan, Oman, Yemen48,549
+
Afghanistan301 
Oman30,929 
Yemen17,319 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Sep 2019 18:00 94 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Iran
GREEN 2 23 Sep 2019 00:00 86 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Iran
GREEN 3 23 Sep 2019 06:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Sep 2019 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Sep 2019 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 24 Sep 2019 00:00 104 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Oman, Yemen
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndia, Ethiopia, Maldives154,438
+
India22,531 
Ethiopia18,070 
Maldives113,837 
50-100 mmIndia, Oman, Yemen, Ethiopia, South Sudan27,387,246
+
India8,742,959 
Oman1,533 
Yemen768 
Ethiopia18,628,193 
South Sudan13,793 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Sep 2019 18:00 48 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Sep 2019 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 23 Sep 2019 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 23 Sep 2019 12:00 98 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 23 Sep 2019 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 24 Sep 2019 00:00 324 150 thousand
- - - - India, Oman, Yemen, Ethiopia, Maldives, South Sudan




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in Al Khaluf, Oman. This height is estimated for 24 Sep 2019 17:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Sep 2019 17:15 Al Khaluf Oman  0.8
24 Sep 2019 17:15 Filim Oman  0.8
24 Sep 2019 16:45 As Sirab Oman  0.3
24 Sep 2019 16:00 New Kandla India  0.3
24 Sep 2019 16:00 Navlakhi India  0.3
25 Sep 2019 12:15 Bandar-e Khomeyni Iran  0.3
24 Sep 2019 09:15 Dafiyat Oman  0.2
24 Sep 2019 09:15 Dhuwwah Oman  0.2
26 Sep 2019 14:15 Al Jahra Kuwait  0.2
24 Sep 2019 03:45 Bhagva India  0.2
24 Sep 2019 03:45 Olpad India  0.2
24 Sep 2019 15:45 Al Kalban Oman  0.2
25 Sep 2019 11:15 Kut al Hau Basluu Iraq  0.2
25 Sep 2019 11:15 Al Qushlah Iraq  0.2
25 Sep 2019 11:15 Nahr-e Abu Fulus Iran  0.2
24 Sep 2019 06:45 Kavi India  0.2
24 Sep 2019 06:45 Tankari India  0.2
25 Sep 2019 11:00 Nahr-e Azraq Iran  0.2
24 Sep 2019 15:45 Tuna India  0.2
26 Sep 2019 13:45 Shumaymah Kuwait  0.2
25 Sep 2019 12:00 Chatleh Iran  0.2
24 Sep 2019 13:15 Bu Lifiyat United Arab Emirates  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:30 Ad Dasma' Kuwait  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:30 Al Kuwayt Kuwait  0.2
24 Sep 2019 08:45 Dawwah Oman  0.2
24 Sep 2019 08:45 Shiinzi Oman  0.2
24 Sep 2019 01:45 Damka India  0.2
24 Sep 2019 01:45 Surat India  0.2
24 Sep 2019 01:45 Jalalpur India  0.2
25 Sep 2019 13:45 Al Khawwari Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 13:45 Manifah Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:45 Bu Taheri Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:45 Emamzadeh Shah Abdolah Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:30 Bandar-e Deylam Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:15 Al Funaytis Kuwait  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:15 Az Zawr Kuwait  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:45 Lilitin Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:30 Al Funnayhil Kuwait  0.2
24 Sep 2019 10:30 Ghalat Oman  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:30 Mina Abd Allah Kuwait  0.2
24 Sep 2019 00:15 Akri India  0.2
24 Sep 2019 15:15 Jambura India  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:45 Bushehr Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:45 Jezireh-ye Abbasak Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 08:45 Hesar Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:45 Heleylah Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:45 Rustami Iran  0.2
24 Sep 2019 14:30 Jazirah United Arab Emirates  0.2
24 Sep 2019 14:30 Tarif United Arab Emirates  0.2
24 Sep 2019 13:45 Abu Dhabi United Arab Emirates  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:30 Al Ad'ami Kuwait  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:30 Mina Said Kuwait  0.2
25 Sep 2019 11:00 Ras-e Halieh Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 11:00 Delvar Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 11:00 Madumari Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 11:00 Bashi Iran  0.2
24 Sep 2019 14:45 Al Marfa United Arab Emirates  0.2
25 Sep 2019 08:45 Bang Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 08:45 Khalifeh Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 13:30 Al Fanatir Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 13:30 Al Jubayl Industrial City Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 12:15 Al Mish ab Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 11:00 Manfadh al Khafji Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 12:15 Ras all Khafji Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 08:45 Ganaveh Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 19:30 Ra's Munaysif Saudi Arabia  0.2
24 Sep 2019 03:00 Dahej India  0.2
25 Sep 2019 19:45 Al Aziziyah Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 08:45 Bandar-e Rig Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 08:45 Jalireh Iran  0.2
24 Sep 2019 13:30 Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.2
24 Sep 2019 13:30 As Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.2
24 Sep 2019 03:00 Ghogha India  0.2
24 Sep 2019 16:15 Pahel Iran  0.2
24 Sep 2019 16:15 Bandar-e Laft Iran  0.2
24 Sep 2019 16:15 Laft Iran  0.2
24 Sep 2019 16:15 Payi Pusht Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 13:15 Al Qatif Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 13:15 Ank Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 13:15 Sayhat Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 13:15 Tarut Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 13:15 Al 'Adamah Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 13:15 Ad Dammam Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 13:15 Ar Rakah Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 08:45 Jazireh Khark Iran  0.2
24 Sep 2019 15:00 Sika India  0.2
25 Sep 2019 09:00 Ramleh Iran  0.2
26 Sep 2019 00:00 Al Khawr Qatar  0.2
26 Sep 2019 00:00 Dakhira Qatar  0.2
26 Sep 2019 01:00 Umm Said Qatar  0.2
24 Sep 2019 17:45 Nafun Oman  0.2
24 Sep 2019 08:30 Bandar-e Dargaham Iran  0.2
24 Sep 2019 08:30 Dogerdan Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 00:00 Najmah Saudi Arabia  0.2
24 Sep 2019 13:45 Umm Bab Qatar  0.2
24 Sep 2019 14:45 Mundra India  0.2
24 Sep 2019 13:45 Qasasil Qatar  0.2
25 Sep 2019 12:30 Al Jubayl Saudi Arabia  0.2
26 Sep 2019 00:45 Al Wakrah Qatar  0.2
26 Sep 2019 01:00 Ad Dawhah Qatar  0.2
24 Sep 2019 13:00 Aramda India  0.2
25 Sep 2019 12:30 Ghizlan Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 02:00 Al Manamah Bahrain  0.2
25 Sep 2019 02:00 Al Juffayr Bahrain  0.2
25 Sep 2019 02:00 Al Muharraq Bahrain  0.2
25 Sep 2019 02:00 Sitrah Bahrain  0.2
25 Sep 2019 02:00 Al Busaytin Bahrain  0.2
25 Sep 2019 02:00 'Arad Bahrain  0.2
25 Sep 2019 02:00 Qalali Bahrain  0.2
25 Sep 2019 02:00 Al Hidd Bahrain  0.2
25 Sep 2019 11:00 Rustami Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 11:00 Buol Kheyr Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 14:00 Dukhan Qatar  0.1
25 Sep 2019 01:00 Salmbad Bahrain  0.1
25 Sep 2019 01:00 Al Seef Bahrain  0.1
25 Sep 2019 01:00 Jidd Hafs Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 14:15 Harag Jid Somalia  0.1
24 Sep 2019 14:00 Chudeswar India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 14:00 Salaya India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 14:00 Jhankhar India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 10:45 Sharkh Oman  0.1
25 Sep 2019 11:00 Bonju Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 11:30 Sur Masirah Oman  0.1
24 Sep 2019 11:30 'Urf Oman  0.1
24 Sep 2019 11:30 Mursays Oman  0.1
24 Sep 2019 11:30 Hiql Oman  0.1
24 Sep 2019 11:30 Maghilah Oman  0.1
25 Sep 2019 11:00 Hadakan Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 20:15 Zahr United Arab Emirates  0.1
25 Sep 2019 20:15 Dasah United Arab Emirates  0.1
24 Sep 2019 17:00 Al Budayyi Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 17:00 Ad Diraz Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 17:00 Al Qurayyah Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 17:00 Badi Jamrah Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 17:00 Barbar Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 17:00 Az Zallaq Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 17:00 Hamad Town Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 17:00 Karranah Bahrain  0.1
25 Sep 2019 11:00 Bariku Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 11:00 Kabgan Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 01:30 Abu az Zuluf Qatar  0.1
25 Sep 2019 01:30 Madinat ash Shamal Qatar  0.1
24 Sep 2019 17:00 Ar Rumaythah Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 14:15 Navinal India  0.1
25 Sep 2019 11:30 Bandar-e Guran Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 11:30 Salagh Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 11:30 Tabl Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 15:45 Al Uqayr Saudi Arabia  0.1
25 Sep 2019 01:15 Al Ghariyah Qatar  0.1
26 Sep 2019 19:45 Asarsa India  0.1
26 Sep 2019 19:45 Harinagar India  0.1
26 Sep 2019 19:45 Muler India  0.1
25 Sep 2019 02:30 'Ayn Sinan Qatar  0.1
25 Sep 2019 19:00 Ar Ruways United Arab Emirates  0.1
24 Sep 2019 08:45 Kambhat India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 08:45 Sarod India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 13:30 Bhadia India  0.1
25 Sep 2019 06:30 Dagabta Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 00:45 Udvada India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 06:00 Qeshm Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 06:00 Bandar Abbas Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:45 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:30 Djibouti Djibouti  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:30 Loyado Djibouti  0.1
25 Sep 2019 02:45 Ad Dur Bahrain  0.1
25 Sep 2019 02:45 Jaww Bahrain  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:15 Alela Eritrea  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:15 Aseb Eritrea  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:15 Aylu Eritrea  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:15 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.1
25 Sep 2019 09:45 Dorud Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 09:45 Mal Konzeh Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 01:15 Botkhaneh Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 01:15 Bibi Khatun Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 13:00 Mandvi India  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:15 Fagal Djibouti  0.1
25 Sep 2019 01:30 Qa Eh Dir Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 01:30 Banak Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 07:00 Rasa Eritrea  0.1
25 Sep 2019 01:30 Kangan Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:30 Takhushih Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:30 Saylac Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:15 Obock Djibouti  0.1
25 Sep 2019 01:30 Tonbak Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 00:30 Daman India  0.1
25 Sep 2019 01:30 Akhtar Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 11:45 Arzeni Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 07:00 Badeda Eritrea  0.1
25 Sep 2019 07:00 Diwalu Eritrea  0.1
25 Sep 2019 10:45 Khamir Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 01:30 Bandar-e Tahari Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 07:00 Mersa Fatma Eritrea  0.1
25 Sep 2019 02:15 Poozeh Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 02:30 Nay Band Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 02:30 Asaluyeh Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 02:15 Gheverzeh Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 00:15 Maroli India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 03:15 Kotada India  0.1
26 Sep 2019 00:15 Chahu Shomali Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 02:15 Zeyarat Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Nocra Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Jimhil Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Cumbeiba Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Sahelia Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 12:30 Gadechi India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 12:30 Okha India  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:30 Anteral Somalia  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Port Smyth Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Debealuwa Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 14:15 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
26 Sep 2019 01:30 Dehriz Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 01:30 Hendarabi Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 15:30 Hundegal Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 00:15 Basaidu Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 00:15 Dustku Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:45 Biyafoge Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:45 Sheikh Ali Idris Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:45 Bullaxaar Somalia  0.1
25 Sep 2019 02:15 Bandar-e Bostaneh Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 04:45 Suthri India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 00:00 Bordi India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 00:00 Umbargam India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Delemme Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 11:45 Khargun Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:30 Mayyun Yemen  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:30 Murad Yemen  0.1
24 Sep 2019 19:00 Croto Eritrea  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:30 Ankhor Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:30 Dagah Gudud Somalia  0.1
25 Sep 2019 02:45 Bandar-e Magam Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 01:15 Bagh Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 01:15 Safain Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:45 Geeri Somalia  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Emberemi Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Mitsiwa Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Hargigo Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Nauret Eritrea  0.1
26 Sep 2019 00:15 Bandar Suflin Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Habrenta Eritrea  0.1
26 Sep 2019 01:15 Masheh Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:30 Muhammad 'Ali Bin Fatha Sumana Yemen  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:30 Al Hajaf Yemen  0.1
24 Sep 2019 00:00 Gholvad India  0.1
26 Sep 2019 01:30 Bandar-e Chiru Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 05:45 Hormoz Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:00 Al Bahiyah Yemen  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:30 Duqm Oman  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:00 Berbera Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:00 Batalaale Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 14:30 Mahuva India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 09:45 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.1
24 Sep 2019 03:15 Caluula Somalia  0.1
24 Sep 2019 03:15 Boho Somalia  0.1
24 Sep 2019 03:15 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.1
25 Sep 2019 06:45 Doleh Eritrea  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:00 Qa'wa Yemen  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:00 Madinat ash Shab Yemen  0.1