Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HIKAA-19
in Oman, Saudi Arabia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HIKAA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Oman
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 101 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (23 Sep 16:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 101 km/h 0.2 m 77 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 140 km/h 1.1 m 141 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

140 km/h

Up to 10 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormOman12,688 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Sep 2019 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 23 Sep 2019 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 23 Sep 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Sep 2019 12:00 101 -
- - - - - Oman
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmOman11 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Sep 2019 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Sep 2019 00:00 223 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 23 Sep 2019 06:00 78 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 23 Sep 2019 12:00 170 -
- - - - - Oman




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in New Kandla, India. This height is estimated for 23 Sep 2019 16:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Sep 2019 16:30 New Kandla India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 16:30 Navlakhi India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 16:30 Pahel Iran  0.2
23 Sep 2019 16:30 Bandar-e Laft Iran  0.2
23 Sep 2019 16:30 Laft Iran  0.2
23 Sep 2019 16:30 Payi Pusht Iran  0.2
23 Sep 2019 16:30 Bandar-e Dargaham Iran  0.2
23 Sep 2019 16:30 Dogerdan Iran  0.2
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Kavi India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Tankari India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 12:15 Suthri India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 13:00 Bu Lifiyat United Arab Emirates  0.2
23 Sep 2019 13:15 Jazirah United Arab Emirates  0.2
23 Sep 2019 13:15 Tarif United Arab Emirates  0.2
23 Sep 2019 13:30 Al Marfa United Arab Emirates  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:45 Abu Dhabi United Arab Emirates  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Asarsa India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Dahej India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Harinagar India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Muler India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:15 Qeshm Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:15 Bandar Abbas Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:15 Aramda India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 15:00 Akri India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 14:45 Kambhat India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 14:45 Sarod India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:45 Sala Gon Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:45 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:45 Xaafuun Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 17:15 Loyado Djibouti  0.1
23 Sep 2019 17:15 Takhushih Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 17:15 Saylac Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 14:00 Ascira Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:30 Hormoz Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:00 Arzeni Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:15 Khargun Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 17:15 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 17:15 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:15 Gadechi India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:15 Okha India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Dawanij Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Al Liwa Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Suhar Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 14:00 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 14:00 Filim Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 16:45 Bargaal Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 17:45 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 17:45 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 16:00 Tuna India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 16:45 Harag Jid Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 17:45 Khalil Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 17:45 Tawi Bedi Guish Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 17:45 Khadra' Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 17:45 As Suwayq Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 17:45 Al Mudayq Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 14:15 Ra's ar Ru'ays Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 17:30 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 17:30 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 17:30 Isa Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 17:30 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 16:30 Dawwah Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 16:30 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 16:30 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 16:30 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:15 As Sirab Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:45 Larak Kuhi Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Jhol Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:30 Kuhestak Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 14:30 Umm Said Qatar  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Ghogha India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Mandvi India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Limah Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Adodar India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Ratia India  0.1