Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HIKAA-19
in Oman, Saudi Arabia
23 Sep 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HIKAA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Afghanistan, Oman
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (23 Sep 17:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 86 km/h 0.3 m 98 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 61 km/h 0.6 m 190 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

61 km/h

Up to 30 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAfghanistan, Oman26,898
+
Afghanistan124 
Oman26,774 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Sep 2019 18:00 94 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Iran
GREEN 2 23 Sep 2019 00:00 86 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Iran
GREEN 3 23 Sep 2019 06:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Sep 2019 12:00 86 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Oman
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMaldives22,681 
100-250 mmIndia, Maldives453,921
+
India362,765 
Maldives91,156 
50-100 mmIndia, Oman, Ethiopia31,838,859
+
India15,312,240 
Oman203 
Ethiopia16,526,416 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Sep 2019 18:00 48 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Sep 2019 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 23 Sep 2019 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 23 Sep 2019 12:00 359 480 thousand
- - - India, Oman, Ethiopia, Maldives




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in New Kandla, India. This height is estimated for 23 Sep 2019 17:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Sep 2019 17:30 New Kandla India  0.3
23 Sep 2019 17:30 Navlakhi India  0.3
23 Sep 2019 13:15 Bu Lifiyat United Arab Emirates  0.2
23 Sep 2019 14:00 Nalasopara India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 14:00 Agashi India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 14:00 Dongri India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 14:00 Vasai India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 14:00 Mira Bhayandar India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 14:00 Navghar India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 14:00 Malad India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 14:00 Trombay India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Dagabta Eritrea  0.2
23 Sep 2019 13:00 Suthri India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 14:15 Aramda India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 14:00 Arzeni Iran  0.2
23 Sep 2019 13:45 Mumbai India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 13:45 Asumumbay India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 13:45 Mandve India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 13:45 Uran India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 15:30 Akri India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 17:15 Tuna India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Rasa Eritrea  0.2
23 Sep 2019 14:30 Jazirah United Arab Emirates  0.1
23 Sep 2019 14:30 Tarif United Arab Emirates  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Pahel Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Bandar-e Laft Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Laft Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Payi Pusht Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:45 Harag Jid Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 14:30 Al Marfa United Arab Emirates  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:15 Abu Dhabi United Arab Emirates  0.1
23 Sep 2019 14:15 Khargun Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:00 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:00 Filim Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 16:30 Bandar-e Dargaham Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 16:30 Dogerdan Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Badeda Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Diwalu Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Kambhat India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Kavi India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Sarod India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Mersa Fatma Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 14:30 Alela Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 14:30 Aseb Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 14:30 Aylu Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:15 Gadechi India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:15 Okha India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 17:45 Doleh Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 16:30 Tankari India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 15:45 Qeshm Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 15:45 Bandar Abbas Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 16:30 Bargaal Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 16:45 Hundegal Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 14:00 Hormoz Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 14:00 Bandar-e Guran Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 14:00 Salagh Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 14:00 Tabl Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 16:30 Mora Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 16:30 Horena Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 16:30 Miida Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 16:30 Sahli Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 16:30 Tio Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 15:30 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 15:30 Xaafuun Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Port Smyth Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 17:00 Jambura India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:15 Mandvi India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:15 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 14:45 Bandar-e Khomeyni Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 14:30 Shirgaon India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 14:30 Palghar India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 14:30 Mahim India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:15 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:15 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Ratia India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Gorser India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:15 Takhushih Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:15 Saylac Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Debealuwa Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:30 Jhol Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:45 Al Khawr Qatar  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:45 Dakhira Qatar  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:30 Bhagva India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:30 Olpad India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 17:30 Caluula Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 17:30 Boho Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 17:30 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Dawanij Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Al Liwa Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Suhar Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:00 Khalil Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:00 Tawi Bedi Guish Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:00 Khadra' Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:00 As Suwayq Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:00 Al Mudayq Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Isa Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 13:00 Khamir Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:30 Dwarka India  0.1