Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HIKAA-19
in Oman, Saudi Arabia
23 Sep 2019 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HIKAA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Afghanistan, Iran
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (23 Sep 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 86 km/h 0.2 m 126 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 61 km/h 0.6 m 190 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

61 km/h

Up to 90 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAfghanistan, Iran92,769
+
Afghanistan15,462 
Iran77,307 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Sep 2019 18:00 94 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Iran
GREEN 2 23 Sep 2019 00:00 86 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Iran
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmEthiopia, Maldives121,020
+
Ethiopia7,183 
Maldives113,837 
50-100 mmIndia, Ethiopia31,953,634
+
India7,518,822 
Ethiopia24,434,812 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Sep 2019 18:00 48 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Sep 2019 00:00 268 120 thousand
- - - - India, Ethiopia, Maldives




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Kavi, India. This height is estimated for 23 Sep 2019 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Kavi India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Tankari India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 05:30 Asarsa India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 05:30 Dahej India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 05:30 Harinagar India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 05:30 Muler India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 03:15 New Kandla India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 03:15 Navlakhi India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 04:30 Ghogha India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 04:15 Bhagva India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 04:15 Olpad India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 03:00 Pahel Iran  0.2
23 Sep 2019 03:00 Bandar-e Laft Iran  0.2
23 Sep 2019 03:00 Laft Iran  0.2
23 Sep 2019 03:00 Payi Pusht Iran  0.2
23 Sep 2019 02:30 Damka India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 02:30 Surat India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 02:30 Jalalpur India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 05:45 Suthri India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Loyado Djibouti  0.2
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Takhushih Somalia  0.2
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Saylac Somalia  0.2
23 Sep 2019 03:00 Bandar-e Dargaham Iran  0.2
23 Sep 2019 03:00 Dogerdan Iran  0.2
23 Sep 2019 04:15 Kotada India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Gadechi India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Okha India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Aramda India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:00 Mahuva India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 00:15 Arzeni Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Mandvi India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:15 Vengurla India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:15 Terekhol India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 01:45 Akri India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:30 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 03:15 Bargaal Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 00:45 Madgaon India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 00:00 Khargun Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Bhadia India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 03:30 Jafarabad India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:15 Dawanij Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:15 Al Liwa Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:15 Suhar Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Jaigarh India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Mirya India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Ratnagiri India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Navinal India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:45 Harag Jid Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:15 Chopdem India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:15 Anjuna India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 05:15 Jhol Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 05:30 Dwarka India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 01:15 Qeshm Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 01:15 Bandar Abbas Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 05:00 Bandar-e Guran Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 05:00 Salagh Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 05:00 Tabl Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 05:15 Madhi India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 01:45 Udvada India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 00:45 Marmagao India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 00:45 Vasco Da Gama India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 00:45 Agacaim India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 02:45 Tuna India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Kambhat India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Sarod India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 00:30 Panaji India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:15 Lamba India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:15 Miyani India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 03:30 Khalil Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 03:30 Tawi Bedi Guish Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 03:30 Khadra' Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 03:30 As Suwayq Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 03:30 Al Mudayq Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 00:00 Hormoz Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:45 Devgarh India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:45 Pural India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:45 Achra India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 05:00 Porbandar India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 05:00 Adodar India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Chudeswar India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Salaya India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Jhankhar India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:15 Ratia India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:15 Gorser India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:15 Shil India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:15 Malvan India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 05:15 Bhogat India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Boria India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 05:00 Dawwah Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 05:00 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 05:00 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 05:00 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 03:00 Dharabandar India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 03:00 Rohisa India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 02:15 Ascira Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 02:15 Sala Gon Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 02:15 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 00:00 Larak Kuhi Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:15 Mangrol India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Djibouti Djibouti  0.1