Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HIKAA-19
in Oman, Saudi Arabia
22 Sep 2019 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HIKAA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Oman
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (23 Sep 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 79 km/h 0.0 m 0 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 140 km/h 1.1 m 141 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

140 km/h

Up to 1 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormOman1,338 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Sep 2019 18:00 83 -
- - - - - Oman
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Sep 2019 18:00 0 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in Arzeni, Iran. This height is estimated for 23 Sep 2019 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Arzeni Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:00 Dawanij Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:00 Al Liwa Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:00 Suhar Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Khargun Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Hormoz Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 03:15 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 03:15 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 05:15 Jhol Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 05:30 Kuhestak Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:45 Berizak Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:15 Loyado Djibouti  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:15 Takhushih Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:15 Saylac Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Qeshm Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Bandar Abbas Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 03:30 Khalil Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 03:30 Tawi Bedi Guish Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 03:30 Khadra' Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 03:30 As Suwayq Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 03:30 Al Mudayq Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 05:00 Sirik Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Larak Kuhi Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:15 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:15 Ra's ar Ru'ays Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 05:45 Bargaal Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:00 Manumah Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:00 Sib Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:00 Mawalis Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:00 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:00 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:00 Isa Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 03:30 Shinas Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 02:30 Madhi India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 02:45 Bhogat India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 02:45 Lamba India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 02:15 Dwarka India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 02:30 Gadechi India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 05:00 Suthri India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Bandar-e Dargaham Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Dogerdan Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:00 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:00 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:00 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 05:45 Aramda India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:15 Hisn Diba United Arab Emirates  0.1
23 Sep 2019 04:15 Haffah Oman  0.1