Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HIKAA-19
in Oman, Saudi Arabia
22 Sep 2019 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HIKAA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Afghanistan, Iran
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 94 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (22 Sep 21:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 94 km/h 0.2 m 48 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 61 km/h 0.6 m 190 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

61 km/h

Up to 430 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAfghanistan, Iran425,895
+
Afghanistan75,327 
Iran350,568 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Sep 2019 18:00 94 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Iran
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmEthiopia, Maldives266,925
+
Ethiopia153,088 
Maldives113,837 
50-100 mmIndia, Ethiopia28,927,964
+
India7,583,627 
Ethiopia21,344,337 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Sep 2019 18:00 266 270 thousand
- - - - India, Ethiopia, Maldives




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Khalil, Oman. This height is estimated for 22 Sep 2019 21:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
22 Sep 2019 21:45 Khalil Oman  0.2
22 Sep 2019 21:45 Tawi Bedi Guish Oman  0.2
22 Sep 2019 21:45 Khadra' Oman  0.2
22 Sep 2019 21:45 As Suwayq Oman  0.2
22 Sep 2019 21:45 Al Mudayq Oman  0.2
22 Sep 2019 22:15 Dawanij Oman  0.2
22 Sep 2019 22:15 Al Liwa Oman  0.2
22 Sep 2019 22:15 Suhar Oman  0.2
22 Sep 2019 22:45 Loyado Djibouti  0.2
22 Sep 2019 22:45 Takhushih Somalia  0.2
22 Sep 2019 22:45 Saylac Somalia  0.2
22 Sep 2019 23:15 Jhol Pakistan  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:15 Dawwah Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:15 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:15 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:15 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:15 Harag Jid Somalia  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:30 Djibouti Djibouti  0.1
22 Sep 2019 21:45 Suthri India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 00:00 Arzeni Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 00:00 Kotada India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 00:00 Khargun Iran  0.1
22 Sep 2019 21:00 Ratia India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 21:00 Gorser India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:30 Hisn Diba United Arab Emirates  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:30 Haffah Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:45 Berizak Iran  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:30 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.1
22 Sep 2019 21:45 Shinas Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:00 Adgat United Arab Emirates  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:00 Khawr Fakkan United Arab Emirates  0.1
22 Sep 2019 21:30 Bargaal Somalia  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:00 Al Qurayyah United Arab Emirates  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:15 Limah Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:15 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.1
22 Sep 2019 20:45 Porbandar India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 20:45 Adodar India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 21:30 Al 'Uwaynat Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:00 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:00 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:00 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:00 Al Fujayrah United Arab Emirates  0.1
22 Sep 2019 23:15 Sirik Iran  0.1
22 Sep 2019 20:45 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:00 Kalba United Arab Emirates  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:15 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:15 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:15 Isa Pakistan  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:45 Kumza Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:45 Ash Shishah Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 23:30 Mahuva India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:00 Khawr Kalba United Arab Emirates  0.1
22 Sep 2019 23:30 Kuhestak Iran  0.1
22 Sep 2019 21:15 Kereti Iran  0.1
22 Sep 2019 21:15 Khowr Rapch Iran  0.1
22 Sep 2019 20:15 Shil India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 20:15 Mangrol India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 20:15 Chorwad India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:15 Bala Boland Iran  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:15 Miski Iran  0.1
22 Sep 2019 23:45 Hormoz Iran  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:00 Bu Baqarah Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 21:45 Baghan Iran  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:15 Kooh Mobarak Iran  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:15 Obock Djibouti  0.1
22 Sep 2019 20:45 Miyani India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 23:00 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
22 Sep 2019 20:45 Madhi India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 20:45 Bhogat India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 20:45 Lamba India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 23:00 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 21:45 Masnaah Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 21:45 Bu 'Abali Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 21:45 Abu 'Abali Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 21:45 Suwadi al Batsa' Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 21:45 Billa Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 21:45 Murayjat Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:00 Dharabandar India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:00 Rohisa India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:00 Jafarabad India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:15 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 00:00 Qeshm Iran  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:15 Veraval India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:15 Somnath India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:15 Sutrapada India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 21:15 Dangarvadi India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 21:15 Delvada India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 21:15 Nawabandar India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 20:45 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 20:45 Filim Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 21:30 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.1
22 Sep 2019 21:30 Keti Pakistan  0.1
22 Sep 2019 21:30 Barka Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 21:30 Manumah Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 23:45 Nalasopara India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 23:45 Agashi India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 23:45 Dongri India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 23:45 Vasai India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 23:45 Mira Bhayandar India  0.1
22 Sep 2019 23:45 Navghar India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 00:00 Larak Kuhi Iran  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:00 As Sahm Oman  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:15 Brar Pakistan  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:15 Muhammad 'Ali Bin Fatha Sumana Yemen  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:15 Al Hajaf Yemen  0.1
22 Sep 2019 22:30 Fagal Djibouti  0.1