Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for LORENA-19
in Mexico
19 Sep 2019 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LORENA-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 151 km/h
Maximum storm surge 4.7 m (19 Sep 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 151 km/h 4.7 m 326 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 122 km/h 4.7 m 269 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

122 km/h

Up to Few people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Mexico212 
Tropical StormMexico813,597 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 18 Sep 2019 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 18 Sep 2019 12:00 122 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 6 18 Sep 2019 18:00 166 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 7 19 Sep 2019 00:00 151 Few people
- - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
more than 1000 mmMexico1,348 
750-1000 mmMexico24,581 
500-750 mmMexico29,070 
250-500 mmMexico607,184 
100-250 mmMexico1,171,183 
50-100 mmMexico958,380 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 297 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 365 1 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 504 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 18 Sep 2019 06:00 667 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 18 Sep 2019 12:00 459 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 6 18 Sep 2019 18:00 606 30 thousand
- - - Mexico
Blue 7 19 Sep 2019 00:00 1094 1.8 million
Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

4.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  4.7m in Rancho Nuevo, Mexico. This height is estimated for 19 Sep 2019 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Rancho Nuevo Mexico  4.7
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Rancho de Piedra Mexico  4.7
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Tecolutla Mexico  4.5
19 Sep 2019 06:00 La Guadalupe Mexico  4.5
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Monte Gordo Mexico  4.5
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Buen Pais Mexico  4.1
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Alvarado Mexico  4.1
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Conejo Mexico  4.1
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Las Barrillas Mexico  3.6
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  3.6
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  3.4
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Primero de Mayo Mexico  3.4
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Tampico Alta Mexico  3.4
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Tamiahua Mexico  2.7
19 Sep 2019 06:00 El Naranjal Mexico  2.7
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Nautla Mexico  2.6
19 Sep 2019 06:00 El Laurel Mexico  2.6
19 Sep 2019 06:00 La Pesca Mexico  2.3
19 Sep 2019 06:00 San Cosme Mexico  2.3
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Santa Marta Mexico  2.3
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Tepeguahe Mexico  1.7
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Los Pericos Mexico  1.7
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Ursulo Galvan Mexico  1.5
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Fraccionamiento Nuevo Leon Mexico  1.3
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Laja Mexico  1.3
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Chiltepec Mexico  0.9
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.9
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Port Isabel United States  0.9
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.9
19 Sep 2019 06:00 South Padre Island United States  0.9
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Boca Chica United States  0.9
19 Sep 2019 06:00 La Presita Mexico  0.7
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Las Guayabas Mexico  0.5
19 Sep 2019 04:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 04:15 El Tornillal Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 00:45 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 00:45 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 03:15 San Felipe Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 03:15 La Choya Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 01:15 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 01:15 La Majada Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 03:15 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 03:00 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 03:00 Estrecho Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 00:30 Garrapateras Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 00:30 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 01:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 03:15 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 01:15 Santiago Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 01:15 Manzanillo Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 01:15 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 01:30 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 00:30 Costa Rica Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Loreto Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 00:45 Solo Dios Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 00:15 Datilito Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 00:15 La Paz Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 00:15 Rosario Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 04:15 La Concepion Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 04:15 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 00:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 00:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 00:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 00:15 El Real Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 00:15 Chupadero Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 00:15 Apisa Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 00:15 Cayaca Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 00:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 01:15 Arista Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 00:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 01:30 El Roble Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 01:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 00:45 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 00:45 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 00:15 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 00:15 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 01:15 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Aguaje Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Ojo de Liebre Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 01:30 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 01:00 Empalme Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 02:15 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 00:15 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Mulege Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 00:15 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 03:15 Orange Grove United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 03:15 Peary Place United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 03:15 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:15 Monteon Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:15 La Lima Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 00:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 01:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 01:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:30 Puertecitos Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 00:30 Quinones Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 00:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 01:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 02:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 03:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:00 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 01:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 01:45 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 01:45 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 01:45 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 01:45 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 00:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 02:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 02:30 El Tule Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 02:30 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 02:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Chamela Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 01:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 03:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 03:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:30 Barron Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 01:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 00:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 00:30 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 01:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 00:15 San Telmo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:15 San Blas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 03:30 Molino Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 03:30 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 02:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 00:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 00:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 00:30 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 02:00 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 02:00 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 00:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 01:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 00:15 Novillero Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 01:30 San Jose Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 01:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 01:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 03:00 Marmol Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 00:15 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Ayutla Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 02:00 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 01:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 00:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:00 Florida Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:00 Cunano Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1