Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MARIO-19
in Mexico,
19 Sep 2019 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MARIO-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 108 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (19 Sep 22:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 108 km/h 0.4 m 414 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 58 km/h 0.0 m 66 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

58 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico05 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 18 Sep 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 18 Sep 2019 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 18 Sep 2019 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 19 Sep 2019 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 19 Sep 2019 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 19 Sep 2019 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 19 Sep 2019 18:00 144 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico118 
100-250 mmMexico140,042 
50-100 mmMexico102,640 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 447 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 272 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 326 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 18 Sep 2019 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 18 Sep 2019 12:00 306 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 18 Sep 2019 18:00 395 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 19 Sep 2019 00:00 213 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 19 Sep 2019 06:00 237 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 19 Sep 2019 12:00 178 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 19 Sep 2019 18:00 614 140 thousand
- - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Agua del Coyote, Mexico. This height is estimated for 19 Sep 2019 22:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
19 Sep 2019 22:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.4
19 Sep 2019 22:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 19:00 Datilito Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 19:00 La Paz Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 19:00 Rosario Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 21:45 La Ventana Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 21:45 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 19:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 19:15 Novillero Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 22:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 18:45 Los Burros Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 19:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:30 Ligui Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:30 Tripui Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 19:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 19:15 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 19:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 19:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 19:15 Loreto Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 18:30 San Blas Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 18:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 19:30 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 21:45 La Florida Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 21:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 18:15 Altata Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 18:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 18:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 18:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 18:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 18:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 19:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 18:45 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 18:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 18:45 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Florida Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 19:00 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 19:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 19:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 19:00 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 21:30 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 21:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 21:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 21:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Quinones Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 20:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 19:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 19:30 Monteon Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 19:30 La Lima Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 18:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 18:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 18:15 La Boca Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 20:15 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 18:30 Marmol Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 21:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 21:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 21:00 Cunano Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:15 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:15 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:00 Barron Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Ipala Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 20:00 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 20:00 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:00 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 20:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:30 Pizota Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:30 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:15 Dimas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:15 El Tule Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:15 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:15 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:15 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:15 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:45 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 22:15 Lagunillas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:45 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:30 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:45 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:45 Chula Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:45 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1