Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MARIO-19
in Mexico,
21 Sep 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MARIO-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (21 Sep 16:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 76 km/h 0.5 m 40 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 58 km/h 0.0 m 66 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

58 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico632 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 18 Sep 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 18 Sep 2019 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 18 Sep 2019 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 19 Sep 2019 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 19 Sep 2019 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 19 Sep 2019 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 19 Sep 2019 18:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 20 Sep 2019 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 20 Sep 2019 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 20 Sep 2019 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 20 Sep 2019 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 21 Sep 2019 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 21 Sep 2019 06:00 86 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 17 21 Sep 2019 12:00 76 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 447 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 272 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 326 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 18 Sep 2019 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 18 Sep 2019 12:00 306 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 18 Sep 2019 18:00 395 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 19 Sep 2019 00:00 213 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 19 Sep 2019 06:00 237 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 19 Sep 2019 12:00 178 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 19 Sep 2019 18:00 414 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 20 Sep 2019 00:00 195 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 20 Sep 2019 06:00 409 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 20 Sep 2019 12:00 293 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 20 Sep 2019 18:00 322 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 21 Sep 2019 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 21 Sep 2019 06:00 100 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 17 21 Sep 2019 12:00 335 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Agua del Coyote, Mexico. This height is estimated for 21 Sep 2019 16:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
21 Sep 2019 16:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.5
21 Sep 2019 16:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.5
21 Sep 2019 13:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.4
21 Sep 2019 13:00 La Florida Mexico  0.3
21 Sep 2019 13:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.3
21 Sep 2019 13:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.3
21 Sep 2019 12:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 12:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 16:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 13:15 Novillero Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 13:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 16:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 16:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 16:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 15:00 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 15:00 Monteon Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 15:00 La Lima Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 13:00 Tripui Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 16:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 16:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 16:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 14:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 12:00 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 12:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 12:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 12:00 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 16:30 Datilito Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 16:30 La Paz Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 16:15 Loreto Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 16:15 Ligui Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 12:30 Quinones Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 16:45 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 16:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 16:45 Rosario Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 16:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 15:30 San Blas Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 15:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 13:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 16:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 16:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 16:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 16:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 15:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 15:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 14:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 14:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 13:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 15:45 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 17:45 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 15:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 12:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 16:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 16:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 14:30 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 17:30 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 17:30 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 16:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 16:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 12:45 Altata Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 18:00 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 18:00 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 14:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 14:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 15:45 La Boca Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 14:15 Cunano Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 14:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 16:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 15:45 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 17:45 Florida Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 17:45 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 17:45 Barron Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 17:30 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 17:00 Marmol Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 13:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 17:30 El Real Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 17:30 Chupadero Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 17:30 Apisa Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 17:15 Dimas Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 12:45 Chola Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 16:15 El Tule Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 16:15 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 14:00 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 17:45 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 17:45 Santiago Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 17:45 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 14:45 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 14:45 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 15:45 Lagunillas Mexico  0.1