Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MARIO-19
in Mexico,
20 Sep 2019 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MARIO-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 101 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (20 Sep 04:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 101 km/h 0.5 m 195 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 58 km/h 0.0 m 66 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

58 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico656 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 18 Sep 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 18 Sep 2019 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 18 Sep 2019 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 19 Sep 2019 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 19 Sep 2019 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 19 Sep 2019 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 19 Sep 2019 18:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 20 Sep 2019 00:00 137 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico44 
100-250 mmMexico648 
50-100 mmMexico1,516 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 447 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 272 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 326 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 18 Sep 2019 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 18 Sep 2019 12:00 306 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 18 Sep 2019 18:00 395 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 19 Sep 2019 00:00 213 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 19 Sep 2019 06:00 237 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 19 Sep 2019 12:00 178 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 19 Sep 2019 18:00 414 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 20 Sep 2019 00:00 532 Few people
- - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Agua del Coyote, Mexico. This height is estimated for 20 Sep 2019 04:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 20 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
20 Sep 2019 04:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.5
20 Sep 2019 04:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.4
20 Sep 2019 04:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.3
20 Sep 2019 01:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.3
20 Sep 2019 01:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.3
20 Sep 2019 04:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.3
20 Sep 2019 01:00 Novillero Mexico  0.3
20 Sep 2019 01:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.3
20 Sep 2019 01:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.3
20 Sep 2019 01:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.3
20 Sep 2019 01:00 La Florida Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 01:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 00:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 01:30 Datilito Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 01:30 La Paz Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 01:30 Rosario Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 01:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 01:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 05:15 Loreto Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 04:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Quinones Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 04:30 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 04:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 04:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 04:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 05:45 El Tomale Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 05:45 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 05:45 Cunano Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 01:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 01:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 01:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 00:45 San Blas Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 00:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 05:30 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 04:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 04:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 04:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 01:30 Altata Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 01:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 01:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 01:30 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 00:45 Ligui Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 00:45 Tripui Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 00:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 01:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 01:45 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 01:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Florida Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 06:00 La Boca Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 05:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 01:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 01:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 02:00 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 02:00 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 01:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 00:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 00:15 Monteon Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 00:15 La Lima Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 05:15 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 05:30 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 00:15 Marmol Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 01:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 01:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Barron Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 02:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:00 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:00 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 El Tule Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:45 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:15 Dimas Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 05:15 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 05:15 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 05:45 Chola Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 05:45 Chamela Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 La Tinaja Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 01:45 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:45 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:45 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 01:30 El Real Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 01:30 Chupadero Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 01:30 Apisa Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 01:30 Cayaca Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 03:45 Chula Mexico  0.1