Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIKO-19
Off-shore
13 Sep 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIKO-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (13 Sep 12:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 86 km/h 0.3 m 137 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 162 km/h 2.5 m 975 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

162 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico227 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Sep 2019 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 12 Sep 2019 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 13 Sep 2019 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 13 Sep 2019 06:00 90 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 5 13 Sep 2019 12:00 158 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Sep 2019 12:00 201 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 12 Sep 2019 18:00 292 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 13 Sep 2019 00:00 193 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 13 Sep 2019 06:00 153 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 13 Sep 2019 12:00 372 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in San Cosme, Mexico. This height is estimated for 13 Sep 2019 12:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
13 Sep 2019 12:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.3
13 Sep 2019 12:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.3
13 Sep 2019 22:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.3
13 Sep 2019 16:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.3
13 Sep 2019 16:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.3
13 Sep 2019 16:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.3
13 Sep 2019 16:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.3
13 Sep 2019 18:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.3
13 Sep 2019 18:45 Los Burros Mexico  0.3
13 Sep 2019 12:45 Tripui Mexico  0.3
13 Sep 2019 14:00 Loreto Mexico  0.3
13 Sep 2019 14:00 Ligui Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 07:30 San Jose Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 07:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 07:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 07:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 07:15 Mulege Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 07:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 19:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 20:45 La Florida Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 20:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 07:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 15:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 15:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 15:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 07:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 07:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 07:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 15:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 06:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 06:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 19:00 Datilito Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 19:00 La Paz Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 07:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 07:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 21:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 21:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 06:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 16:45 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 16:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 07:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 06:45 Liliba Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 21:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 21:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 17:00 San Blas Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 17:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 07:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 21:45 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 21:45 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 16:30 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 16:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 20:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 20:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 21:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 21:30 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 06:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 06:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 21:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 13:30 Rosario Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 23:00 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 23:00 Monteon Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 23:00 La Lima Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 15:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 15:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 15:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
14 Sep 2019 07:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
14 Sep 2019 05:45 La Boca Mexico  0.1
14 Sep 2019 06:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 17:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
14 Sep 2019 15:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
14 Sep 2019 09:30 Quinones Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 21:45 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 21:45 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
14 Sep 2019 06:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 15:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
14 Sep 2019 05:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 21:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
14 Sep 2019 10:00 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 12:30 Marmol Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 12:30 Florida Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 21:30 Cunano Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 20:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
14 Sep 2019 04:45 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
14 Sep 2019 04:30 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
14 Sep 2019 04:30 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 20:45 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 20:45 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 20:45 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 20:45 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 21:45 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 12:45 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
16 Sep 2019 06:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
16 Sep 2019 06:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 12:45 Barron Mexico  0.1
16 Sep 2019 05:45 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
15 Sep 2019 03:30 Dimas Mexico  0.1