Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIKO-19
Off-shore
13 Sep 2019 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIKO-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (13 Sep 01:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 68 km/h 0.3 m 193 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 162 km/h 2.5 m 975 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

162 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico227 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Sep 2019 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 12 Sep 2019 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 13 Sep 2019 00:00 144 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Sep 2019 12:00 201 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 12 Sep 2019 18:00 292 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 13 Sep 2019 00:00 384 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Los Burros, Mexico. This height is estimated for 13 Sep 2019 01:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
13 Sep 2019 01:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.3
13 Sep 2019 02:15 San Jose Mexico  0.3
13 Sep 2019 02:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.3
13 Sep 2019 02:15 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.3
13 Sep 2019 01:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.3
13 Sep 2019 02:15 Loreto Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 02:15 Ligui Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 10:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 10:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 02:15 Tripui Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 01:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 01:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 01:30 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 01:30 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 01:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 01:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 01:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 01:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 01:30 Mulege Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 02:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 01:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 01:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 04:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 04:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 04:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 02:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 02:15 Datilito Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 02:15 La Paz Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 02:00 Rosario Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 02:00 Liliba Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 02:15 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 01:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 01:45 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 01:45 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 02:15 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 04:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 04:15 Novillero Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 21:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 21:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 06:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 06:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 00:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 00:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 00:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 03:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 03:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 21:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 02:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 04:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 05:00 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 04:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 22:45 San Blas Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 22:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 09:45 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 20:45 La Florida Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 05:00 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 03:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 04:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 04:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 10:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 10:45 Monteon Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 10:45 La Lima Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 02:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 03:15 Quinones Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 05:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 05:00 Cunano Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 05:00 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 03:45 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 21:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
14 Sep 2019 10:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 21:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 21:30 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 05:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 06:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 12:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 03:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 02:45 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 02:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 02:45 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
14 Sep 2019 05:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
15 Sep 2019 03:30 Dimas Mexico  0.1
14 Sep 2019 06:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
14 Sep 2019 06:00 La Boca Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 12:30 Marmol Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 12:30 Florida Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 12:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 20:45 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 20:45 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 03:00 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 11:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 04:30 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 04:30 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1