Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIKO-19
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIKO-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (12 Sep 20:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 72 km/h 0.2 m 292 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 162 km/h 2.5 m 975 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

162 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 12 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Sep 2019 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 12 Sep 2019 18:00 169 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico213 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Sep 2019 12:00 201 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 12 Sep 2019 18:00 522 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in San Jose, Mexico. This height is estimated for 12 Sep 2019 20:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
12 Sep 2019 20:30 San Jose Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2019 20:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2019 20:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 00:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 00:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2019 00:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2019 18:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2019 18:45 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2019 18:45 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2019 18:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2019 18:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2019 18:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2019 18:45 Altata Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2019 19:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2019 19:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2019 18:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2019 18:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2019 19:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 18:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 18:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 18:15 San Blas Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 18:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 20:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 20:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 00:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 20:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 20:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 18:00 Datilito Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 18:00 La Paz Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 20:00 Tripui Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 20:00 Rosario Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 00:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:45 Mulege Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 18:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 18:00 La Boca Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 18:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 18:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 20:00 Liliba Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:45 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:45 Quinones Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 18:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 18:00 Dimas Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 23:45 La Florida Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 18:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 20:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:45 Loreto Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 18:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 18:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:45 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:30 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 23:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 23:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 20:30 Ligui Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 18:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:45 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 18:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 18:45 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.1