Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIKO-19
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIKO-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (15 Sep 03:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 176 km/h 0.7 m 161 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 162 km/h 2.5 m 975 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 15 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Sep 2019 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 12 Sep 2019 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 13 Sep 2019 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 13 Sep 2019 06:00 90 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 5 13 Sep 2019 12:00 86 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 6 13 Sep 2019 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 14 Sep 2019 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 14 Sep 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 14 Sep 2019 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 14 Sep 2019 18:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 15 Sep 2019 00:00 180 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

975 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 15 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Sep 2019 12:00 201 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 12 Sep 2019 18:00 292 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 13 Sep 2019 00:00 193 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 13 Sep 2019 06:00 153 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 13 Sep 2019 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 13 Sep 2019 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 14 Sep 2019 00:00 88 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 14 Sep 2019 06:00 189 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 14 Sep 2019 12:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 14 Sep 2019 18:00 110 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 15 Sep 2019 00:00 601 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Agua del Coyote, Mexico. This height is estimated for 15 Sep 2019 03:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
15 Sep 2019 03:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.7
15 Sep 2019 03:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.7
15 Sep 2019 02:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.6
15 Sep 2019 03:00 Novillero Mexico  0.6
15 Sep 2019 03:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.6
15 Sep 2019 00:45 Tripui Mexico  0.6
15 Sep 2019 00:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.6
15 Sep 2019 01:00 El Real Mexico  0.6
15 Sep 2019 01:00 Chupadero Mexico  0.6
15 Sep 2019 03:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.5
15 Sep 2019 03:45 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.5
15 Sep 2019 04:15 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.5
15 Sep 2019 04:15 Punta Arena Mexico  0.5
15 Sep 2019 04:15 Los Tesos Mexico  0.5
15 Sep 2019 04:15 Los Frailes Mexico  0.5
15 Sep 2019 00:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.5
15 Sep 2019 00:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.5
15 Sep 2019 03:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.5
15 Sep 2019 00:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.5
15 Sep 2019 00:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.5
15 Sep 2019 02:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.5
15 Sep 2019 02:15 Monteon Mexico  0.5
15 Sep 2019 02:15 La Lima Mexico  0.5
15 Sep 2019 00:15 La Fortuna Mexico  0.5
15 Sep 2019 00:15 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.5
15 Sep 2019 03:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.5
15 Sep 2019 03:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.5
15 Sep 2019 00:30 La Florida Mexico  0.5
15 Sep 2019 03:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.5
15 Sep 2019 04:30 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.5
15 Sep 2019 02:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.5
15 Sep 2019 02:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.5
15 Sep 2019 02:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.5
15 Sep 2019 04:00 Punta Mita Mexico  0.5
15 Sep 2019 04:00 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.5
15 Sep 2019 03:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.4
15 Sep 2019 03:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.4
15 Sep 2019 04:45 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.4
15 Sep 2019 00:00 San Blas Mexico  0.4
15 Sep 2019 06:00 Marmol Mexico  0.4
15 Sep 2019 06:00 Florida Mexico  0.4
15 Sep 2019 06:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.4
15 Sep 2019 06:00 Loreto Mexico  0.4
15 Sep 2019 06:00 Ligui Mexico  0.4
15 Sep 2019 02:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.4
15 Sep 2019 02:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.4
15 Sep 2019 03:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.4
15 Sep 2019 00:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.4
15 Sep 2019 00:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.4
15 Sep 2019 03:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.4
15 Sep 2019 00:30 Datilito Mexico  0.4
15 Sep 2019 00:30 La Paz Mexico  0.4
15 Sep 2019 05:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.4
15 Sep 2019 04:30 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.4
15 Sep 2019 03:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.4
15 Sep 2019 00:45 Quinones Mexico  0.4
15 Sep 2019 03:00 Dimas Mexico  0.4
15 Sep 2019 03:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.4
15 Sep 2019 03:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.4
15 Sep 2019 00:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.4
15 Sep 2019 05:30 Altata Mexico  0.4
15 Sep 2019 00:30 Rosario Mexico  0.4
15 Sep 2019 02:30 La Boca Mexico  0.4
15 Sep 2019 03:15 Pizota Mexico  0.3
15 Sep 2019 01:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.3
15 Sep 2019 04:30 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.3
15 Sep 2019 06:00 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.3
15 Sep 2019 00:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.3
15 Sep 2019 04:45 El Tomale Mexico  0.3
15 Sep 2019 04:45 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.3
15 Sep 2019 05:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.3
15 Sep 2019 05:30 La Trinadad Mexico  0.3
15 Sep 2019 04:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.3
15 Sep 2019 05:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.3
15 Sep 2019 01:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.3
15 Sep 2019 01:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.3
15 Sep 2019 01:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.3
15 Sep 2019 01:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
15 Sep 2019 02:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.3
15 Sep 2019 02:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.3
15 Sep 2019 04:30 Cunano Mexico  0.3
15 Sep 2019 05:00 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.3
15 Sep 2019 05:00 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.3
15 Sep 2019 00:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.3
15 Sep 2019 05:15 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.3
15 Sep 2019 05:15 Ipala Mexico  0.3
15 Sep 2019 04:15 Barron Mexico  0.3
15 Sep 2019 01:15 Mulege Mexico  0.3
15 Sep 2019 01:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.3
15 Sep 2019 05:30 Chola Mexico  0.3
15 Sep 2019 00:45 San Jose Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 00:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 01:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 00:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 00:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 04:30 Todos Santos Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 04:30 El Pescadero Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 01:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 01:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 02:15 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 02:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 00:30 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 03:00 Corrales Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 03:15 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 01:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 02:45 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 02:45 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 05:00 Manzanillo Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 05:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 05:45 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 01:45 Chamela Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 01:45 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 03:30 Estrecho Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 03:30 Santiago Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 03:00 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 03:00 San Lucas Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 01:00 Liliba Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 04:30 La Tinaja Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 05:00 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 02:15 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2019 04:00 El Tule Mexico  0.1