Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIKO-19
Off-shore
14 Sep 2019 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIKO-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 119 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (14 Sep 21:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 119 km/h 0.8 m 110 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 162 km/h 2.5 m 975 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 14 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Sep 2019 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 12 Sep 2019 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 13 Sep 2019 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 13 Sep 2019 06:00 90 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 5 13 Sep 2019 12:00 86 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 6 13 Sep 2019 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 14 Sep 2019 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 14 Sep 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 14 Sep 2019 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 14 Sep 2019 18:00 169 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

975 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 14 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Sep 2019 12:00 201 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 12 Sep 2019 18:00 292 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 13 Sep 2019 00:00 193 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 13 Sep 2019 06:00 153 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 13 Sep 2019 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 13 Sep 2019 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 14 Sep 2019 00:00 88 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 14 Sep 2019 06:00 189 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 14 Sep 2019 12:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 14 Sep 2019 18:00 642 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in Agua del Coyote, Mexico. This height is estimated for 14 Sep 2019 21:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Sep 2019 21:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.8
14 Sep 2019 20:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.8
14 Sep 2019 20:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.8
14 Sep 2019 21:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.7
14 Sep 2019 19:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.6
14 Sep 2019 19:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.6
14 Sep 2019 22:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.6
14 Sep 2019 18:30 Tambobiche Mexico  0.6
14 Sep 2019 18:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.6
14 Sep 2019 20:45 San Blas Mexico  0.6
14 Sep 2019 20:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.6
14 Sep 2019 20:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.6
14 Sep 2019 20:15 Novillero Mexico  0.6
14 Sep 2019 20:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.6
14 Sep 2019 21:15 Punta Mita Mexico  0.6
14 Sep 2019 21:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.6
14 Sep 2019 21:15 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.6
14 Sep 2019 20:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.6
14 Sep 2019 20:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.6
14 Sep 2019 20:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.6
14 Sep 2019 20:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.5
14 Sep 2019 19:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.5
14 Sep 2019 23:00 Monteon Mexico  0.5
14 Sep 2019 23:00 La Lima Mexico  0.5
14 Sep 2019 18:30 Datilito Mexico  0.5
14 Sep 2019 18:30 La Paz Mexico  0.5
14 Sep 2019 20:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.5
14 Sep 2019 20:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.5
14 Sep 2019 20:15 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.5
14 Sep 2019 21:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.5
14 Sep 2019 21:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.5
14 Sep 2019 19:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.5
14 Sep 2019 21:45 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.5
14 Sep 2019 19:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.5
14 Sep 2019 19:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.5
14 Sep 2019 19:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.5
14 Sep 2019 18:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.5
14 Sep 2019 18:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.5
14 Sep 2019 18:00 Los Tesos Mexico  0.5
14 Sep 2019 18:30 Rosario Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 19:15 Marmol Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 19:15 Florida Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 19:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 21:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 21:45 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 18:15 Tripui Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 18:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 18:30 Loreto Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 18:30 Ligui Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 21:00 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 18:45 La Boca Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 20:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 20:30 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 18:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 19:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 19:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 21:15 La Florida Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 18:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 18:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 23:45 La Palmita Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 23:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 21:30 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 23:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 18:15 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 19:15 Barron Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 22:30 Dimas Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 20:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 19:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 18:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 21:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 18:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 21:00 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 21:00 Ipala Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 20:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 20:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 20:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 20:00 Quinones Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 21:45 El Tomale Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 21:45 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 22:45 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 20:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 20:45 La Ventana Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 20:45 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 18:15 Altata Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 19:15 La Trinadad Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 19:15 Chamela Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 18:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 20:15 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 20:15 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 19:45 Santiago Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 19:45 Manzanillo Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 19:15 Cunano Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 18:15 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 18:15 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 19:15 Estrecho Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 22:45 Corrales Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 18:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 18:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 21:15 El Real Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 21:15 Chupadero Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 19:15 San Jose Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 19:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 19:15 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 19:15 Mulege Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 19:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 19:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 18:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 21:15 Chola Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 20:00 Pizota Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 19:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 20:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 23:00 Todos Santos Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 23:00 El Pescadero Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 18:00 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 19:15 Liliba Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 23:45 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 20:00 El Tule Mexico  0.1
14 Sep 2019 20:00 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
14 Sep 2019 21:45 La Tinaja Mexico  0.1
14 Sep 2019 21:45 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1
14 Sep 2019 21:45 San Lucas Mexico  0.1