Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TITLI-18
in India

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TITLI-18 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 153 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (10 Oct 21:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 153 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 149 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Oct 2018 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia1,912,428 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 Oct 2018 06:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 Oct 2018 12:00 134 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 Oct 2018 18:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 10 Oct 2018 00:00 142 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 10 Oct 2018 06:00 150 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 10 Oct 2018 12:00 153 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 10 Oct 2018 18:00 153 -
- - - - - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h
Download:

Rainfall

-1 mm

Up to 1.9 million can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 10 Oct 2018 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 09 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 09 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 10 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 10 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 10 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 10 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Nuralrevu, India. This height is estimated for 10 Oct 2018 21:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Oct 2018 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 Oct 2018 21:30 Nuralrevu India  0.5
10 Oct 2018 21:30 Gopalpur India  0.5
10 Oct 2018 21:30 Baruva India  0.5
10 Oct 2018 20:30 Chatrapur India  0.4
10 Oct 2018 20:30 Canjam India  0.4
10 Oct 2018 20:30 Paluru India  0.4
10 Oct 2018 20:45 Malud India  0.4
13 Oct 2018 12:30 Bamnia Bangladesh  0.4
13 Oct 2018 12:30 Munshir Hat Bangladesh  0.4
13 Oct 2018 12:30 Tulatali Bangladesh  0.4
13 Oct 2018 12:30 Char Fakura Bangladesh  0.4
13 Oct 2018 12:30 Char Chandia Bangladesh  0.4
13 Oct 2018 12:30 Akbar Hat Bangladesh  0.4
13 Oct 2018 12:30 Banskhali Bangladesh  0.4
13 Oct 2018 12:30 Bariakhali Bangladesh  0.4
13 Oct 2018 12:45 Ghoshbagh Bangladesh  0.4
13 Oct 2018 12:45 Lamchhi Prasad Bangladesh  0.4
13 Oct 2018 12:45 Ewazbalia Bangladesh  0.4
13 Oct 2018 12:45 Sandwip Bangladesh  0.4
13 Oct 2018 12:15 Dhalapara Bangladesh  0.4
13 Oct 2018 12:15 Jafarnagar Bangladesh  0.4
13 Oct 2018 12:15 Barabkunda Bangladesh  0.4
13 Oct 2018 12:15 Bansbaria Bangladesh  0.4
13 Oct 2018 12:00 Kumira Bangladesh  0.4
13 Oct 2018 12:45 Nayamasti Bangladesh  0.4
13 Oct 2018 12:45 Maitbhanga Bangladesh  0.4
11 Oct 2018 06:15 Char Faizuddin Bangladesh  0.3
11 Oct 2018 06:15 Char Krishnaprasad Bangladesh  0.3
11 Oct 2018 06:15 Jahajmara Bangladesh  0.3
11 Oct 2018 06:15 Maijchara Bangladesh  0.3
11 Oct 2018 06:15 Sagaria Bangladesh  0.3
11 Oct 2018 06:15 Char Ishwar Bangladesh  0.3
11 Oct 2018 11:45 Sitalpur Bangladesh  0.3
11 Oct 2018 11:45 Bhatiari Bangladesh  0.3
11 Oct 2018 11:45 Dakhin Kattali Bangladesh  0.3
11 Oct 2018 11:45 Chittagong Bangladesh  0.3
11 Oct 2018 11:45 Char Lakshia Bangladesh  0.3
11 Oct 2018 11:45 Janali Hat Bangladesh  0.3
10 Oct 2018 23:30 Ammalapadu India  0.3
10 Oct 2018 20:30 Panasapada India  0.3
10 Oct 2018 18:00 Bideipur India  0.3
11 Oct 2018 00:30 Agar Panchaitan India  0.3
11 Oct 2018 00:30 Srivardhan India  0.3
11 Oct 2018 00:30 Bankot India  0.3
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Rasalpur India  0.3
10 Oct 2018 18:30 Chandipur India  0.3
13 Oct 2018 00:00 Kelshi India  0.3
10 Oct 2018 23:00 Puri India  0.3
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Satabhaya India  0.3
11 Oct 2018 08:00 Ali Akbardeil Bangladesh  0.2
11 Oct 2018 08:00 Dhurung Bangladesh  0.2
10 Oct 2018 19:00 Balighai India  0.2
10 Oct 2018 19:00 Konarak India  0.2
11 Oct 2018 07:00 Dhalghata Bangladesh  0.2
11 Oct 2018 08:00 Lemsikhali Bangladesh  0.2
11 Oct 2018 08:00 Magnama Bangladesh  0.2
11 Oct 2018 08:00 Uttar Nalbila Bangladesh  0.2
11 Oct 2018 03:30 Amavasyakhali Bangladesh  0.2
11 Oct 2018 03:30 Ghatibhanga Bangladesh  0.2
11 Oct 2018 03:30 Kalarmarchara Bangladesh  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Char Algi Bangladesh  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Char Gazi Bangladesh  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Char Ramiz Bangladesh  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Char Bedama Bangladesh  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Dasher Hat Bangladesh  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Hatia Bangladesh  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Khaser Hat Bangladesh  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Nalchira Bangladesh  0.2
11 Oct 2018 14:15 Sidongyaung Myanmar  0.2
11 Oct 2018 14:15 Wadawchaung Myanmar  0.2
11 Oct 2018 14:15 Kanmaw Myanmar  0.2
11 Oct 2018 14:15 Bemagyauk Ywa Myanmar  0.2
11 Oct 2018 14:15 Medaw Myanmar  0.2
11 Oct 2018 14:15 Tawbya Myanmar  0.2
11 Oct 2018 14:15 Maingtwedaung Myanmar  0.2
10 Oct 2018 21:00 Chittivalasa India  0.2
10 Oct 2018 21:00 Bhimunipatnam India  0.2
10 Oct 2018 21:00 Konada India  0.2
10 Oct 2018 19:15 Nuliasahi India  0.2
10 Oct 2018 19:15 Nuagan India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 12:15 Anjanwel India  0.2
10 Oct 2018 22:30 Koyyam India  0.2
10 Oct 2018 22:30 Dharmavaram India  0.2
13 Oct 2018 01:30 Bijavbati India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 12:15 Guhagar India  0.2
10 Oct 2018 19:30 Hukitala India  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Chandpur Bangladesh  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Char Lakshmi Bangladesh  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Kanchanpur Bangladesh  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Rabipur Bangladesh  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Char Manpura Bangladesh  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Char Ishwar Ray Bangladesh  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Char Madhyam Lamchhidhali Bangladesh  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Hazipur Bangladesh  0.2
10 Oct 2018 18:45 Srikurman India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 12:00 Boria India  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Char Pyarimohan Bangladesh  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Char Annadaprasad Bangladesh  0.2
10 Oct 2018 21:45 Vishakhapatnam India  0.2
11 Oct 2018 03:15 Coxs Bazar Bangladesh  0.2
11 Oct 2018 03:15 Dineshpur Bangladesh  0.2
11 Oct 2018 03:15 Kelatali Bangladesh  0.2
11 Oct 2018 03:15 Khurushkul Bangladesh  0.2
10 Oct 2018 18:30 Kalingapatnam India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 12:15 Jaigarh India  0.2
11 Oct 2018 01:45 Naupada India  0.2
11 Oct 2018 14:00 Kyatchaung Myanmar  0.2
11 Oct 2018 14:00 Yedwindaung Ywa Myanmar  0.2
11 Oct 2018 01:45 Pentakota India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Tanjungberingin Indonesia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Kotapari Indonesia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Sialang Buah Indonesia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 23:45 Chipurupalle India  0.2
11 Oct 2018 10:30 Kabingyaung Myanmar  0.2
11 Oct 2018 10:30 Mayanchaung Myanmar  0.2
11 Oct 2018 10:30 Mergui Myanmar  0.2
11 Oct 2018 10:30 Kanbyin Myanmar  0.2
12 Oct 2018 12:00 Mirya India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 11:45 Ratnagiri India  0.2
11 Oct 2018 03:00 Pudimadaka India  0.2
11 Oct 2018 02:45 Pechardwip Bangladesh  0.1
11 Oct 2018 02:45 Jaliapalong Bangladesh  0.1
11 Oct 2018 02:45 Dhoapalong Bangladesh  0.1
11 Oct 2018 02:45 Inani Bangladesh  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Belawan Indonesia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 22:00 Venkatapuram India  0.1
10 Oct 2018 22:00 Pata Polvaram India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 08:15 Silkhali Bangladesh  0.1
11 Oct 2018 08:15 Bardeil Bangladesh  0.1
11 Oct 2018 08:15 Dakshim Nhila Bangladesh  0.1
11 Oct 2018 08:15 Atikhalipara Bangladesh  0.1
11 Oct 2018 08:15 Teknaf Bangladesh  0.1
11 Oct 2018 08:15 Dakhinpara Bangladesh  0.1
11 Oct 2018 08:15 Sabaigon Myanmar  0.1
11 Oct 2018 08:15 Ale Kalaywa Myanmar  0.1
11 Oct 2018 08:15 Kanyinchaung Myanmar  0.1
11 Oct 2018 08:15 Nyaunggyaung Myanmar  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Belingru Indonesia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 11:45 Purnagad India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 02:45 Monakhali Bangladesh  0.1
11 Oct 2018 10:30 Kyaukpya Myanmar  0.1
11 Oct 2018 10:30 Kye Myanmar  0.1
12 Oct 2018 11:30 Purangad India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Oedjoengdamak Indonesia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Selotong 2 Indonesia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 11:30 Kattumavadi India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 11:30 Atirampattinam India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 01:00 Kakinada India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 12:45 Sakanthit Myanmar  0.1
11 Oct 2018 02:30 Tumbru Myanmar  0.1
11 Oct 2018 02:30 Whaikhyang Bangladesh  0.1
10 Oct 2018 19:30 Madhavaram India  0.1
10 Oct 2018 19:30 Chennai India  0.1
10 Oct 2018 19:30 Tiruvottiyur India  0.1
10 Oct 2018 19:30 Ennore India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 11:30 Adiura India  0.1
10 Oct 2018 22:30 Vatturupallepalem India  0.1
10 Oct 2018 22:30 Govundlapalem India  0.1
10 Oct 2018 21:45 Foul Point Sri Lanka  0.1
12 Oct 2018 01:30 Ban Ao Kham Thailand  0.1
12 Oct 2018 01:30 Ban Hin Kong Thailand  0.1
12 Oct 2018 01:30 Ban Ba Kan Pa Thailand  0.1
12 Oct 2018 01:30 Ban Khlong Sai Thailand  0.1
11 Oct 2018 00:45 Tharawuntaungnge Myanmar  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:45 Poelaukampai Indonesia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 11:00 Yemyitkyi Myanmar  0.1