Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen
11 Oct 2018 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Oman, Yemen,
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 147 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (13 Oct 18:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 147 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 118 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Oct 2018 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormOman, Yemen90,169
+
Oman18,805 
Yemen71,176 
Other countries188 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 149 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 188 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 172 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 186 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 165 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 142 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 147 -
- - - - - Oman, Yemen, Other countries
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

-1 mm

Up to 90 thousand can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 11 Oct 2018 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 13 Oct 2018 18:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Oct 2018 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
13 Oct 2018 18:30 Kambhat India  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:30 Kavi India  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:30 Sarod India  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:30 Wadgam India  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Bereeda Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Tooxin Somalia  0.2
11 Oct 2018 12:30 Tabut Yemen  0.2
11 Oct 2018 12:30 Hayrut Yemen  0.2
11 Oct 2018 12:30 Nishtun Yemen  0.2
11 Oct 2018 13:00 Bargaal Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Al Fatk Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 07:15 Abd Allah Gharib Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 07:15 Jarub Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 07:15 Al Faydami Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 01:45 Mughsayl Oman  0.2
14 Oct 2018 11:15 Rasman Saudi Arabia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 11:15 Al Qunfidhah Saudi Arabia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 11:15 Makasir Saudi Arabia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 11:15 Al Qa' Saudi Arabia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 01:45 Dhalqut Oman  0.2
14 Oct 2018 01:45 Al Kharifut Oman  0.2
14 Oct 2018 01:45 Safqut Oman  0.2
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Damqawt Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 01:45 Jadib Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Hundegal Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 01:45 Hauf Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Saqr Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Haswayn Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Djibouti Djibouti  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Loyado Djibouti  0.2
11 Oct 2018 18:15 Boho Somalia  0.2
11 Oct 2018 18:15 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 02:00 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 00:45 Araft Oman  0.2
14 Oct 2018 01:30 Kharfat Oman  0.2
14 Oct 2018 01:00 Salalah Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 01:00 Al Kathir Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 01:00 Sudh Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 19:45 Lakba Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 19:45 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 19:45 Lakabi Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 19:45 Qaysad Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 01:45 Itab Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 01:45 Qishn Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Mulaax Beyle Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 14:30 Ascira Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Harag Jid Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:30 Al Qumrah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Alela Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Aseb Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Fagal Djibouti  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Takhushih Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Saylac Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 13:00 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 13:00 Filim Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:45 Hubaris Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Obock Djibouti  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Marero Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Bacaad Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Aantaara Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 15:30 Qadub Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 15:30 Hadiboh Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Lughaye Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Beylu Eritrea  0.1
11 Oct 2018 15:15 Jazirah United Arab Emirates  0.1
11 Oct 2018 15:15 Tarif United Arab Emirates  0.1
11 Oct 2018 15:15 Bu Lifiyat United Arab Emirates  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Bullaxaar Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Geeri Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Ari Adeso Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Biyafoge Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Sheikh Ali Idris Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Mayyun Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Murad Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Dhubab Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Muhammad 'Ali Bin Fatha Sumana Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Al Hajaf Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Carmaale Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Hadeytacawl Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Sabawanaag Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Qa'wa Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 17:00 Asarsa India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 17:00 Harinagar India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:30 Sharkhat Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Al Bahiyah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:45 Marbat Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:30 Taqah Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Quddam Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Anteral Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Madinat ash Shab Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Al Mukha Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:15 Tamnum Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 'Imran Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Ghadir Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Maallah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Khormaksar Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:45 Dahej India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:45 Tankari India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:45 Muler India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:00 'Ain Ba Ma'bad Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:00 'Ain al-Juwairi Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Jilah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:45 Caluula Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Yakhtul Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 17:30 Mach Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:30 Markaz ash Shurtah Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:15 Hasik Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Bandar Jedid Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Kraytar Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 'Adan Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:00 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:00 Duqm Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:30 Sadh Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Seyara Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:15 Musaina'a Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 17:00 Ghogha India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:15 Laasqoray Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Batalaale Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Hasana Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Berbera Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:30 Nahud Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Sarar Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Raida Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 17:30 Qashlu Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Balhaf Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Al Mansuri Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Buro Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 04:30 Cadayo Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Ankhor Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Dagah Gudud Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:30 Al Birk Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Al Irqah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:45 Botiala Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:30 Jirdan Yemen  0.1