Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for KATIA-17
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KATIA-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 63 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (09 Sep 01:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 63 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
ECMWF Overall 0 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

-4 km/h

Up to 2 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Sep 2017 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico2,124 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 05 Sep 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 05 Sep 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Sep 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 06 Sep 2017 12:00 89 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 07 Sep 2017 00:00 69 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 07 Sep 2017 12:00 64 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 Sep 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Sep 2017 12:00 63 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 08 Sep 2017 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 05 Sep 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 05 Sep 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 06 Sep 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 06 Sep 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Sep 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 07 Sep 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 08 Sep 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 08 Sep 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Laja, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Sep 2017 01:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Sep 2017 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Sep 2017 01:45 Laja Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2017 01:15 Tamiahua Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2017 01:15 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2017 22:45 El Tular Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2017 22:45 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2017 01:00 Tecolutla Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2017 23:00 El Naranjal Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2017 04:00 Port Mansfield United States  0.2
08 Sep 2017 22:45 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2017 03:30 El Martillo United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:30 Yarborough United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:15 Holly Beach United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:15 Laguna Vista United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:15 South Padre Island United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 17:30 La Mata Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 14:15 Fraccionamiento Nuevo Leon Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 14:15 Port Isabel United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 14:15 Kopernik Shores United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 14:15 Boca Chica United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 22:45 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 22:45 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:30 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:30 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:30 Peary Place United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 23:45 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:15 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:15 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:15 Estes United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:15 Port Aransas United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:15 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 15:00 Tupilco Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 15:00 Chiltepec Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:15 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:15 Ingleside United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:15 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:15 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:30 Rockport United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:30 Fulton United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 14:15 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 14:15 Nautla Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 14:15 El Laurel Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 13:00 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 13:00 Ursulo Galvan Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 13:00 Salmoral Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 23:00 El Americano Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 23:00 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 23:00 Los Ebanos Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 23:00 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 23:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 00:30 Veracruz Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 00:30 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:30 Lamar United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 22:15 Salinas Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 22:15 Buen Pais Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 15:15 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 13:45 Las Guayabas Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 13:30 La Presita Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 13:30 Rancho de Piedra Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 13:45 La Pesca Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 13:00 Emilio Carranza Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 18:15 Alvarado Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 18:15 Conejo Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 15:15 Hidalgo Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 13:30 Rancho Nuevo Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 14:00 El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 17:45 Tepeguahe Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 15:45 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 13:30 Los Pericos Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 21:00 San Pedro Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 08:15 Chabihau Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 08:15 Mina de Oro Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 22:30 Chisahcab Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 12:45 Vega de Alatorre Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 21:45 Cerrito Mexico  0.1