Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for KATIA-17
in Mexico
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KATIA-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 98 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (09 Sep 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 98 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 98 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

98 km/h

Up to 240 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Sep 2017 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico235,884 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 05 Sep 2017 18:00 64 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Sep 2017 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Sep 2017 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 06 Sep 2017 12:00 95 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 06 Sep 2017 18:00 111 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 07 Sep 2017 00:00 98 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 07 Sep 2017 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 05 Sep 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Sep 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 06 Sep 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 06 Sep 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 06 Sep 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 07 Sep 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Laja, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Sep 2017 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Sep 2017 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Sep 2017 12:00 Laja Mexico  0.4
09 Sep 2017 12:00 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.3
09 Sep 2017 12:00 Tecolutla Mexico  0.3
09 Sep 2017 12:00 Tamiahua Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2017 04:45 El Tular Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2017 04:45 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2017 12:00 El Naranjal Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2017 03:00 La Mata Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2017 03:00 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2017 10:30 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2017 20:45 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2017 20:45 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2017 23:00 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2017 23:00 Salinas Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2017 23:00 Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2017 23:00 Alvarado Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2017 23:30 La Chacara Nicaragua  0.2
08 Sep 2017 23:30 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.2
08 Sep 2017 23:30 Condega Honduras  0.2
08 Sep 2017 23:30 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.2
09 Sep 2017 01:00 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 01:00 Paso Real Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2017 20:45 Tonala Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2017 20:45 Chiltepec Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2017 00:00 Las Guayabas Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2017 00:00 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 00:30 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2017 21:00 Hidalgo Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2017 20:00 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2017 20:00 Nautla Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2017 01:00 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2017 19:15 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2017 19:15 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2017 02:45 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2017 19:15 La Presita Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2017 20:15 Conejo Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2017 19:30 Tepeguahe Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2017 19:30 La Pesca Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2017 19:15 Rancho Nuevo Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2017 19:15 Rancho de Piedra Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2017 20:00 El Laurel Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2017 20:00 Vega de Alatorre Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2017 01:15 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2017 01:15 San Pedro Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2017 22:45 Balantanche Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2017 22:30 Neyac Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2017 19:15 Los Pericos Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 00:30 El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2017 12:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2017 12:15 Dimas Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2017 19:45 Emilio Carranza Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 21:30 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 21:30 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 21:30 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 21:30 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 00:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1