Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for KATIA-17
in Mexico
10 Sep 2017 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KATIA-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States, Cuba
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 85 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (13 Sep 04:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 85 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 80 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

80 km/h

Up to 790 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Sep 2017 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States, Cuba786,695
+
United States784,321 
Cuba2,374 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 05 Sep 2017 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Sep 2017 00:00 66 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Sep 2017 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 06 Sep 2017 12:00 78 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 06 Sep 2017 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 07 Sep 2017 00:00 71 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 07 Sep 2017 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 07 Sep 2017 12:00 81 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 07 Sep 2017 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 08 Sep 2017 00:00 87 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 08 Sep 2017 06:00 78 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 08 Sep 2017 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 08 Sep 2017 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 09 Sep 2017 00:00 89 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 09 Sep 2017 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 09 Sep 2017 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 09 Sep 2017 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 10 Sep 2017 00:00 88 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 10 Sep 2017 06:00 85 -
- - - - - United States, Cuba
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 10 Sep 2017 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 05 Sep 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Sep 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 06 Sep 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 06 Sep 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 06 Sep 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 07 Sep 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 07 Sep 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 07 Sep 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 07 Sep 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 08 Sep 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 08 Sep 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 08 Sep 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 08 Sep 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 09 Sep 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 09 Sep 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 16 09 Sep 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 17 09 Sep 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 18 10 Sep 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 19 10 Sep 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Balantanche, Mexico. This height is estimated for 13 Sep 2017 04:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Sep 2017 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
13 Sep 2017 04:45 Balantanche Mexico  0.2
10 Sep 2017 06:30 La Esperanza Cuba  0.2
10 Sep 2017 06:30 Manuel Sanguily Cuba  0.2
11 Sep 2017 03:30 West Point United States  0.2
10 Sep 2017 06:30 San Cayetane Cuba  0.2
13 Sep 2017 03:15 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
10 Sep 2017 08:30 Batey la Caimana Cuba  0.1
10 Sep 2017 08:30 Coloma Cuba  0.1
11 Sep 2017 05:30 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 05:30 Hoskins United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 05:30 Port Morris United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 05:30 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 05:30 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 05:30 Sea Isle United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 05:30 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 05:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:30 Hitchcock United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:30 Bayou Vista United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:30 Virginia Point United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:30 Galveston United States  0.1
10 Sep 2017 06:30 El Venero Cuba  0.1
12 Sep 2017 18:45 Sun N Sand Beaches United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 03:30 Breton United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 05:15 Quintana United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 05:15 Surfside United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 05:15 Mims United States  0.1
13 Sep 2017 04:15 Chenkan Mexico  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:00 Fort Travis United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:00 Flake United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:00 Elmgrove United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:00 Patton United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:30 Texas City Junction United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:30 Texas City United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 05:15 Gulf Park United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 05:15 Hoskins United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 05:15 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 05:15 Valasco Heights United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 05:15 Freeport United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 03:45 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 03:45 Caplen United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 03:45 Gilchrist United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:15 Buena Vista United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 01:30 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2017 01:30 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2017 01:30 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2017 01:30 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:15 Laguna Heights United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:15 Port Isabel United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:15 Kopernik Shores United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:15 South Padre Island United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:15 Boca Chica United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 03:15 High Island United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:15 Fraccionamiento Nuevo Leon Mexico  0.1
11 Sep 2017 05:30 Chinquapin United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:00 Los Ebanos Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2017 19:00 Carrabelle United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 19:00 Lanark Village United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 19:00 Big Blackjack Landing United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 01:30 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.1
10 Sep 2017 21:30 El Tigre Honduras  0.1
10 Sep 2017 21:30 Barra Ulua Honduras  0.1
10 Sep 2017 21:30 Rio Tinto Honduras  0.1
10 Sep 2017 21:30 San Juan Honduras  0.1
10 Sep 2017 21:30 Tela Honduras  0.1
10 Sep 2017 06:30 Nombre de Dios Cuba  0.1
10 Sep 2017 09:45 Bolondron Cuba  0.1
10 Sep 2017 09:45 Julian Cuba  0.1
10 Sep 2017 09:00 Punta de Cartas Cuba  0.1
10 Sep 2017 09:30 Chacalal Mexico  0.1
10 Sep 2017 09:30 Xelha Mexico  0.1
10 Sep 2017 09:30 Palmul Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2017 22:15 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.1
12 Sep 2017 22:15 La Chacara Nicaragua  0.1
12 Sep 2017 22:15 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.1
12 Sep 2017 22:15 Condega Honduras  0.1
12 Sep 2017 22:15 Cedeno Honduras  0.1
12 Sep 2017 22:15 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.1
12 Sep 2017 22:15 Albania Honduras  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:30 Yarborough United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:15 El Martillo United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:00 El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
11 Sep 2017 05:15 Matagorda United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 00:00 Macho Creek Guatemala  0.1
11 Sep 2017 00:00 Punta Manabique Guatemala  0.1
11 Sep 2017 00:00 Puerto Barrios Guatemala  0.1
11 Sep 2017 00:00 Cambalache Guatemala  0.1
11 Sep 2017 00:00 Corozo Guatemala  0.1
11 Sep 2017 00:00 La Graciosa Guatemala  0.1
11 Sep 2017 00:00 Machacal Guatemala  0.1
11 Sep 2017 00:00 San Francisco del Mar Guatemala  0.1
10 Sep 2017 09:00 El Hondon Cuba  0.1
13 Sep 2017 04:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2017 04:15 Sabancuy Mexico  0.1
10 Sep 2017 07:30 La Bajada Cuba  0.1
10 Sep 2017 10:00 Chacmuchuch Mexico  0.1
10 Sep 2017 10:00 Cancun Mexico  0.1
10 Sep 2017 10:00 Puerto Juarez Mexico  0.1
10 Sep 2017 16:45 Sabine United States  0.1
10 Sep 2017 16:45 Sabine Pass United States  0.1
10 Sep 2017 09:00 Los Arroyos Cuba  0.1
10 Sep 2017 16:30 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.1
10 Sep 2017 16:30 Constance Beach United States  0.1
10 Sep 2017 16:30 Peveto Beach United States  0.1
10 Sep 2017 16:30 Holly Beach United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:45 Orange Grove United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:45 Peary Place United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:45 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 03:00 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 03:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 03:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 03:00 Port Aransas United States  0.1
10 Sep 2017 09:00 Pasa de Marin Cuba  0.1
10 Sep 2017 09:00 La Furnia Cuba  0.1
10 Sep 2017 09:00 Finca Majagua Cuba  0.1
10 Sep 2017 09:00 Cortes Cuba  0.1
12 Sep 2017 18:45 Yent Place United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:45 Ingleside United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:45 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:45 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:45 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:45 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:45 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 05:30 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
10 Sep 2017 06:30 Baja Cuba  0.1
10 Sep 2017 17:00 Cameron United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:15 Estes United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:15 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
10 Sep 2017 21:15 Farallones Honduras  0.1
10 Sep 2017 21:15 El Urraco Honduras  0.1
10 Sep 2017 21:15 Iriona Honduras  0.1
10 Sep 2017 21:15 La Puerta Honduras  0.1
12 Sep 2017 04:15 Rockport United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 04:15 Fulton United States  0.1
10 Sep 2017 20:45 Tasbarraya Honduras  0.1
10 Sep 2017 20:45 Baltimore Honduras  0.1
10 Sep 2017 20:45 Rio Platano Honduras  0.1
10 Sep 2017 20:45 Huarta Honduras  0.1
10 Sep 2017 20:45 Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.1
10 Sep 2017 23:15 Kaski Honduras  0.1
10 Sep 2017 23:15 Dapat Honduras  0.1
10 Sep 2017 23:15 Cauauira Honduras  0.1
10 Sep 2017 23:15 Tay Lirila Honduras  0.1
10 Sep 2017 08:45 Dimas Cuba  0.1
10 Sep 2017 09:00 Las Martinas Cuba  0.1
10 Sep 2017 21:15 Quebrada Grande Honduras  0.1
10 Sep 2017 21:15 Limera Honduras  0.1
10 Sep 2017 21:15 Balfate Honduras  0.1
10 Sep 2017 21:15 Rio Esteban Honduras  0.1