Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for KATIA-17
in Mexico
09 Sep 2017 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KATIA-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States, Cuba, Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 89 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (09 Sep 01:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 89 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 80 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

80 km/h

Up to 1.3 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Sep 2017 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States, Cuba, Mexico1,278,004
+
United States607,547 
Cuba1,969 
Mexico668,488 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 05 Sep 2017 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Sep 2017 00:00 66 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Sep 2017 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 06 Sep 2017 12:00 78 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 06 Sep 2017 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 07 Sep 2017 00:00 71 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 07 Sep 2017 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 07 Sep 2017 12:00 81 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 07 Sep 2017 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 08 Sep 2017 00:00 87 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 08 Sep 2017 06:00 78 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 08 Sep 2017 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 08 Sep 2017 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 09 Sep 2017 00:00 89 -
- - - - - United States, Cuba, Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 09 Sep 2017 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 05 Sep 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Sep 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 06 Sep 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 06 Sep 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 06 Sep 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 07 Sep 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 07 Sep 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 07 Sep 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 07 Sep 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 08 Sep 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 08 Sep 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 08 Sep 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 08 Sep 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 09 Sep 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Tamiahua, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Sep 2017 01:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 Sep 2017 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Sep 2017 01:45 Tamiahua Mexico  0.6
09 Sep 2017 01:45 Laja Mexico  0.6
09 Sep 2017 01:30 El Naranjal Mexico  0.5
09 Sep 2017 01:15 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.3
09 Sep 2017 02:45 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2017 02:45 Tecolutla Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2017 01:00 La Mata Mexico  0.2
11 Sep 2017 03:15 West Point United States  0.2
11 Sep 2017 04:15 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:15 Hoskins United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:15 Port Morris United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:15 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:15 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:15 Sea Isle United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:15 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
10 Sep 2017 17:45 Balantanche Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 00:45 El Tular Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 00:45 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:45 El Martillo United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:45 Yarborough United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:15 Quintana United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:15 Surfside United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:15 Mims United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:15 Anderson Ways United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:15 Hitchcock United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:15 Bayou Vista United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:15 Virginia Point United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:15 Galveston United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:15 Gulf Park United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:15 Hoskins United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:15 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:15 Valasco Heights United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:15 Freeport United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:30 Buena Vista United States  0.1
10 Sep 2017 10:30 La Esperanza Cuba  0.1
10 Sep 2017 10:30 Manuel Sanguily Cuba  0.1
09 Sep 2017 00:15 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 00:15 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 00:15 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:00 Port Isabel United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:00 Fraccionamiento Nuevo Leon Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:00 South Padre Island United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:00 Boca Chica United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:15 Texas City Junction United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:15 Texas City United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:15 Port Bolivar United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:15 Fort Travis United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 05:15 Orange Grove United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 05:15 Peary Place United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 05:15 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 05:00 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 05:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 05:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 05:00 Port Aransas United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:00 Chenkan Mexico  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:30 Flake United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:30 Elmgrove United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:30 Crystal Beach United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:30 Patton United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:15 Chinquapin United States  0.1
10 Sep 2017 08:45 San Cayetane Cuba  0.1
11 Sep 2017 03:00 Breton United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:45 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:45 Caplen United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:45 Gilchrist United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:45 Ingleside United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:45 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:45 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:45 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:45 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:45 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
10 Sep 2017 10:00 Batey la Caimana Cuba  0.1
10 Sep 2017 10:00 Coloma Cuba  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:15 Matagorda United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:00 Estes United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 05:00 High Island United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:00 Rockport United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:00 Fulton United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 03:45 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 23:45 Cabeza de Vaca Guatemala  0.1
09 Sep 2017 23:45 Baranca Belize  0.1
09 Sep 2017 23:45 San Juan Guatemala  0.1
09 Sep 2017 23:45 Cocoli Guatemala  0.1
09 Sep 2017 23:45 Cattle Landing Belize  0.1
09 Sep 2017 23:45 Macho Creek Guatemala  0.1
09 Sep 2017 23:45 Punta Manabique Guatemala  0.1
09 Sep 2017 23:45 Puerto Barrios Guatemala  0.1
09 Sep 2017 23:45 Cambalache Guatemala  0.1
09 Sep 2017 23:45 Corozo Guatemala  0.1
09 Sep 2017 23:45 La Graciosa Guatemala  0.1
09 Sep 2017 23:45 Machacal Guatemala  0.1
09 Sep 2017 23:45 San Francisco del Mar Guatemala  0.1
09 Sep 2017 23:45 Buena Vista Guatemala  0.1
09 Sep 2017 23:45 Livingston Guatemala  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
11 Sep 2017 04:00 Sabancuy Mexico  0.1
11 Sep 2017 17:00 Sabine United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 17:00 Sabine Pass United States  0.1
10 Sep 2017 09:45 El Venero Cuba  0.1
12 Sep 2017 00:00 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2017 00:00 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2017 00:00 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2017 00:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:15 Las Guayabas Mexico  0.1
10 Sep 2017 22:00 Patlaya Honduras  0.1
10 Sep 2017 22:00 Uhi Honduras  0.1
10 Sep 2017 22:00 Pusuaya Honduras  0.1
10 Sep 2017 22:00 Yahurabila Honduras  0.1
10 Sep 2017 22:00 Barra de Caratasca Honduras  0.1
10 Sep 2017 22:00 Kaski Honduras  0.1
11 Sep 2017 16:45 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 16:45 Constance Beach United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 16:45 Peveto Beach United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 16:45 Holly Beach United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 00:30 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 02:45 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 02:45 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 02:45 Nautla Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 08:30 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.1
09 Sep 2017 08:30 La Chacara Nicaragua  0.1
09 Sep 2017 08:30 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.1
09 Sep 2017 08:30 Condega Honduras  0.1
09 Sep 2017 08:30 Cedeno Honduras  0.1
09 Sep 2017 08:30 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.1
09 Sep 2017 08:30 Albania Honduras  0.1
09 Sep 2017 22:00 Dapat Honduras  0.1
09 Sep 2017 22:00 Cauauira Honduras  0.1
09 Sep 2017 22:00 Tay Lirila Honduras  0.1
10 Sep 2017 22:00 Ferguson Bank Belize  0.1
10 Sep 2017 22:00 Belize City Belize  0.1
11 Sep 2017 02:00 Los Ebanos Mexico  0.1
10 Sep 2017 09:30 Punta de Cartas Cuba  0.1
11 Sep 2017 01:45 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.1
11 Sep 2017 16:30 Cameron United States  0.1
10 Sep 2017 09:30 El Hondon Cuba  0.1
09 Sep 2017 00:30 La Presita Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 01:45 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 01:45 Salinas Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 01:45 Buen Pais Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:45 Alvarado Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:15 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:45 El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
10 Sep 2017 09:45 Bolondron Cuba  0.1
10 Sep 2017 09:45 Julian Cuba  0.1
11 Sep 2017 03:45 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.1
10 Sep 2017 09:45 La Bajada Cuba  0.1
10 Sep 2017 10:15 Nombre de Dios Cuba  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:15 La Pesca Mexico  0.1